Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, December 23, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Grizzlies	41%	113	125	122.5	102	97.1
	9	Hawks	59%	117	119	119.0	100	105.3

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+19

-11

110

ATL

+17

-10

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.14 56.8%

ATL

1.11 55.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	36.3	37	64%	6	6	1	1	2	0	0	6	6-6	100%	8-11	73%	5-14	36%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 24	36.1	30	60%	6	11	1	1	3	1	0	6	1-1	100%	13-22	59%	1-3	33%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SF · 6'4" 205 · 23	35.1	5	42%	11	1	2	0	1	4	2	9	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 31	29.1	8	44%	11	3	1	0	1	2	7	4	2-6	33%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 24	23.9	20	91%	2	0	0	0	2	5	2	0	3-4	75%	7-8	88%	1-2	50%

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 23	27.1	6	38%	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	4	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	23.5	8	44%	3	3	0	0	1	3	1	2	1-3	33%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Xavier Tillman #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	15.6	6	43%	3	0	1	2	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	13.3	5	83%	5	2	0	2	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
David Roddy #21 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jacob Gilyard #0 · PG · 5'9" 160 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Sprain/Illness
Derrick Rose #23 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendon Repair
Steven Adams #4 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Surgery
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	57%	51	29	6	5	11	16	15	36	14-22	64%	39-64	61%	11-33	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

20 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	36.3	37	64%	6	6	1	1	2	0	0	6	6-6	100%	8-11	73%	5-14	36%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 24	36.1	30	60%	6	11	1	1	3	1	0	6	1-1	100%	13-22	59%	1-3	33%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SF · 6'4" 205 · 23	35.1	5	42%	11	1	2	0	1	4	2	9	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 31	29.1	8	44%	11	3	1	0	1	2	7	4	2-6	33%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 24	23.9	20	91%	2	0	0	0	2	5	2	0	3-4	75%	7-8	88%	1-2	50%

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 23	27.1	6	38%	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	4	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	23.5	8	44%	3	3	0	0	1	3	1	2	1-3	33%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Xavier Tillman #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	15.6	6	43%	3	0	1	2	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	13.3	5	83%	5	2	0	2	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
David Roddy #21 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jacob Gilyard #0 · PG · 5'9" 160 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Sprain/Illness
Derrick Rose #23 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendon Repair
Steven Adams #4 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Surgery
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	57%	51	29	6	5	11	16	15	36	14-22	64%	39-64	61%	11-33	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

9 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	40.9	30	56%	5	13	1	1	2	3	0	5	5-7	71%	8-14	57%	3-10	30%
Saddiq Bey #41 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	38.1	14	54%	6	2	2	0	1	2	1	5	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	3-9	33%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 27	35.4	26	81%	4	4	2	0	3	4	1	3	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	4-6	67%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	30.3	20	83%	12	1	0	2	1	2	5	7	4-4	100%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Garrison Mathews #25 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	14.3	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%

Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	34.3	16	50%	4	3	0	0	0	2	1	3	2-3	67%	4-7	57%	2-8	25%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	27.6	10	50%	7	4	2	2	3	4	4	3	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-2	0%
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	19.1	3	21%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-6	17%
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Distal Radius; Fracture
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Stress Fracture
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	56%	41	28	8	7	10	22	13	28	16-20	80%	32-53	60%	13-43	30%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	ATL

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.14 56.8%

ATL

1.11 55.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

69%

ATL

55%

Midrange

MEM

45%

ATL

70%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

16.5

33%

50%

ATL

19.5

30%

45%

Free Throws

MEM

64%

ATL

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Bane	37	64%	18.5 / 29
J. Morant	30	60%	15.0 / 25
J. Jackson	20	91%	10.0 / 11
B. Biyombo	8	44%	4.0 / 9
Z. Williams	8	44%	4.0 / 9
S. Aldama	6	38%	3.0 / 8
X. Tillman	6	43%	3.0 / 7
V. Williams	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Konchar	5	83%	2.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Young	30	56%	15.0 / 27
D. Murray	26	81%	13.0 / 16
C. Capela	20	83%	10.0 / 12
B. Bogdanović	16	50%	8.0 / 16
S. Bey	14	54%	7.0 / 13
O. Okongwu	10	50%	5.0 / 10
S. Lundy	3	21%	1.5 / 7
G. Mathews	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 106.8 12 116.4	MEM 122.5 +3.5 ATL 119.0
Pace	17 98.6 6 100.9	MEM 97.1 ATL 105.3 +8.1
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.8 21 14.2	MEM 14.8 ATL 13.7 −1.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 50.9% 17 53.9%	MEM 57.2% +3.6% ATL 53.6%
TO %	27 14.3% 13 12.5%	MEM 10.1% ATL 9.5% −0.6%
ORB %	19 23.8% 5 27.1%	MEM 34.9% +8.4% ATL 26.5%
FTrt	18 23.8 12 25.1	MEM 22.7 +1.9 ATL 20.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 64.4% 19 61.8%	MEM 58.0% ATL 62.2% +4.2%
STL %	5 8.3% 18 7.4%	MEM 5.9% ATL 8.0% +2.1%
BLK %	1 11.9% 21 9.0%	MEM 9.4% ATL 10.9% +1.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 52.9% 16 56.3%	MEM 56.8% +1.2% ATL 55.6%
Rim FG%	30 57.8% 28 60.3%	MEM 69.0% +14.5% ATL 54.5%
Mid FG%	26 40.3% 6 45.2%	MEM 45.5% ATL 70.0% +24.5%
3P %	29 34.6% 17 36.4%	MEM 33.3% +3.1% ATL 30.2%
FT %	23 76.4% 8 79.7%	MEM 63.6% ATL 80.0% +16.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 32.3% 18 32.8%	MEM 43.3% +8.9% ATL 34.4%
Mid Att. %	4 24.9% 11 26.5%	MEM 22.7% ATL 20.8% −1.8%
3P Att. %	5 42.8% 9 40.8%	MEM 34.0% ATL 44.8% +10.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Game Totals	MEM	ATL
Possessions	102	100
Possession Minutes	25.2	22.8
Points	125	119
Rebounds	51	41
Assists	29	28
Steals	6	8
Blocks	5	7
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	10 (1)
Fouls	16	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (4)	13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (1)	28 (2)
Field Goals	50-97	45-96
At-the-Rim FG	29-42	18-33
Midrange FG	10-22	14-20
2-Point FG	39-64	32-53
3-Point FG	11-33	13-43
Free Throws	14-22	16-20
Fast Break Pts	21	12
2nd Chance Pts	19	21
Points in Paint	76	58
Pts off Turnovers	24	19
Bench Points	25	29
Biggest Lead	9	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg