Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, December 23, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Timberwolves	58%	114	110	113.4	97	92.4
	12	Kings	42%	111	98	102.1	96	100.9

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

-12

SAC

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.17 58.5%

SAC

1.04 52.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

4 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	40.6	20	59%	5	1	4	1	0	4	0	5	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	3-9	33%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 31	39.2	21	81%	17	1	0	2	1	3	6	11	1-2	50%	10-13	77%	0-0	-
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 22	39.1	34	61%	5	10	1	1	5	1	0	5	5-5	100%	10-15	67%	3-12	25%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	31.6	12	60%	7	9	2	0	2	1	0	7	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	3-7	43%
Kyle Anderson #1 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 30	28.6	10	50%	5	5	0	1	2	4	1	4	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	0-0	-

Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	22.9	2	25%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	19.2	6	60%	2	2	2	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	13.8	5	63%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Troy Brown Jr. #23 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	3.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	1.6	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	59%	43	31	9	2	12	18	7	36	12-14	86%	34-54	63%	10-33	30%

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4 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	40.6	20	59%	5	1	4	1	0	4	0	5	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	3-9	33%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 31	39.2	21	81%	17	1	0	2	1	3	6	11	1-2	50%	10-13	77%	0-0	-
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 22	39.1	34	61%	5	10	1	1	5	1	0	5	5-5	100%	10-15	67%	3-12	25%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	31.6	12	60%	7	9	2	0	2	1	0	7	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	3-7	43%
Kyle Anderson #1 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 30	28.6	10	50%	5	5	0	1	2	4	1	4	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	0-0	-

Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	22.9	2	25%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	19.2	6	60%	2	2	2	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	13.8	5	63%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Troy Brown Jr. #23 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	3.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	1.6	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	59%	43	31	9	2	12	18	7	36	12-14	86%	34-54	63%	10-33	30%

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12 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 23	39.7	20	59%	7	0	3	1	1	4	1	6	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	3-7	43%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	39.0	27	54%	4	6	2	0	3	1	2	2	4-4	100%	7-12	58%	3-11	27%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	39.0	17	61%	10	10	1	0	3	3	1	9	3-5	60%	7-11	64%	0-1	0%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	30.7	12	75%	3	1	0	0	0	3	0	3	6-6	100%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	15.3	2	14%	1	1	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-2	0%

Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	27.4	10	56%	7	3	0	0	1	1	3	4	1-3	33%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	18.4	3	50%	4	0	2	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	11.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	9.0	7	58%	2	1	1	1	1	2	0	2	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28	7.6	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	2.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	INACTIVE
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Irritation
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right High Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	52%	40	23	10	5	11	20	8	32	16-21	76%	29-52	56%	8-33	24%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.17 58.5%

SAC

1.04 52.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

76%

SAC

63%

Midrange

MIN

40%

SAC

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

15.0

30%

45%

SAC

12.0

24%

36%

Free Throws

MIN

86%

SAC

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	34	61%	17.0 / 28
R. Gobert	21	81%	10.5 / 13
J. McDaniels	20	59%	10.0 / 17
M. Conley	12	60%	6.0 / 10
K. Anderson	10	50%	5.0 / 10
N. Reid	6	60%	3.0 / 5
S. Milton	5	63%	2.5 / 4
N. Alexander-Walker	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Fox	27	54%	13.5 / 25
K. Murray	20	59%	10.0 / 17
D. Sabonis	17	61%	8.5 / 14
H. Barnes	12	75%	6.0 / 8
T. Lyles	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. McGee	7	58%	3.5 / 6
C. Duarte	3	50%	1.5 / 3
K. Huerter	2	14%	1.0 / 7
K. Ellis	0	-	0.0 / 3
A. Vezenkov	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.7 13 116.3	MIN 113.4 +11.3 SAC 102.1
Pace	22 97.9 14 99.4	MIN 92.4 SAC 100.9 +8.5
Avg. Poss. Time	3 15.0 26 14.1	MIN 15.6 SAC 14.3 −1.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.9% 14 55.6%	MIN 56.3% +8.1% SAC 48.2%
TO %	22 13.6% 12 12.5%	MIN 11.4% SAC 10.5% −0.9%
ORB %	22 23.1% 14 24.5%	MIN 17.9% SAC 18.2% +0.3%
FTrt	5 27.0 22 22.9	MIN 16.1 SAC 24.7 +8.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 64.6% 7 65.4%	MIN 70.5% +8.3% SAC 62.2%
STL %	6 8.0% 14 7.6%	MIN 9.3% SAC 10.4% +1.1%
BLK %	4 11.0% 27 8.6%	MIN 3.8% SAC 9.3% +5.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.7% 14 57.0%	MIN 58.5% +6.4% SAC 52.1%
Rim FG%	15 64.3% 6 66.0%	MIN 76.5% +13.2% SAC 63.3%
Mid FG%	16 42.6% 9 44.9%	MIN 40.0% SAC 45.5% +5.5%
3P %	3 38.7% 16 36.6%	MIN 30.3% +6.1% SAC 24.2%
FT %	18 77.7% 30 74.5%	MIN 85.7% +9.5% SAC 76.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 34.1% 27 30.0%	MIN 39.1% +3.8% SAC 35.3%
Mid Att. %	16 27.5% 14 26.8%	MIN 23.0% −2.9% SAC 25.9%
3P Att. %	17 38.4% 3 43.2%	MIN 37.9% SAC 38.8% +0.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	SAC
Possessions	97	96
Possession Minutes	25.2	22.8
Points	110	98
Rebounds	43	40
Assists	31	23
Steals	9	10
Blocks	2	5
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls	18	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (2)	8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (6)	32 (4)
Field Goals	44-87	37-85
At-the-Rim FG	26-34	19-30
Midrange FG	8-20	10-22
2-Point FG	34-54	29-52
3-Point FG	10-33	8-33
Free Throws	12-14	16-21
Fast Break Pts	28	5
2nd Chance Pts	4	6
Points in Paint	66	52
Pts off Turnovers	16	10
Bench Points	13	20
Biggest Lead	22	2

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg