Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, December 25, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	76ers	47%	111	113	111.9	101	99.3
	13	Heat	53%	112	119	117.8	101	102.7

Scoring Opportunities

PHI

+14

-7

108

MIA

+15

-14

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.05 52.3%

MIA

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

17 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23	43.5	12	26%	3	5	1	1	0	4	0	3	3-6	50%	3-12	25%	1-8	13%
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 31	41.6	27	71%	7	6	1	0	2	3	1	6	3-3	100%	6-11	55%	4-7	57%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 28	39.6	25	74%	7	3	1	1	1	3	1	6	1-3	33%	3-7	43%	6-9	67%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 26	36.5	15	42%	7	5	4	1	0	2	2	5	3-3	100%	3-8	38%	2-9	22%
Paul Reed #44 · C · 6'9" 210 · 25	17.4	4	50%	2	1	0	1	0	5	0	2	0-2	0%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%

Mo Bamba #7 · C · 7'0" 231 · 26	25.5	18	100%	6	2	2	0	1	2	1	5	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	3-3	100%
Patrick Beverley #22 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 35	12.8	9	75%	3	0	0	0	2	2	0	3	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Marcus Morris Sr. #5 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 34	10.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Danuel House Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 31	6.2	1	13%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
KJ Martin #1 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	5.5	2	100%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jaden Springer #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 21	0.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Robert Covington #33 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Furkan Korkmaz #30 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kenneth Lofton Jr. #35 · PF · 6'7" 275 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Terquavion Smith #23 · PG · 6'4" 160 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ricky Council IV #16 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Nicolas Batum #40 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	52%	36	23	11	7	7	22	5	31	16-25	64%	23-49	47%	17-45	38%

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17 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23	43.5	12	26%	3	5	1	1	0	4	0	3	3-6	50%	3-12	25%	1-8	13%
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 31	41.6	27	71%	7	6	1	0	2	3	1	6	3-3	100%	6-11	55%	4-7	57%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 28	39.6	25	74%	7	3	1	1	1	3	1	6	1-3	33%	3-7	43%	6-9	67%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 26	36.5	15	42%	7	5	4	1	0	2	2	5	3-3	100%	3-8	38%	2-9	22%
Paul Reed #44 · C · 6'9" 210 · 25	17.4	4	50%	2	1	0	1	0	5	0	2	0-2	0%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%

Mo Bamba #7 · C · 7'0" 231 · 26	25.5	18	100%	6	2	2	0	1	2	1	5	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	3-3	100%
Patrick Beverley #22 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 35	12.8	9	75%	3	0	0	0	2	2	0	3	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Marcus Morris Sr. #5 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 34	10.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Danuel House Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 31	6.2	1	13%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
KJ Martin #1 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	5.5	2	100%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jaden Springer #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 21	0.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Robert Covington #33 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Furkan Korkmaz #30 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kenneth Lofton Jr. #35 · PF · 6'7" 275 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Terquavion Smith #23 · PG · 6'4" 160 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ricky Council IV #16 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Nicolas Batum #40 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	52%	36	23	11	7	7	22	5	31	16-25	64%	23-49	47%	17-45	38%

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13 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	39.5	31	82%	10	1	2	0	0	3	5	5	8-8	100%	10-12	83%	1-3	33%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	38.0	22	42%	6	5	1	1	4	1	2	4	2-3	67%	4-14	29%	4-11	36%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 26	36.2	26	62%	15	5	0	3	4	1	3	12	8-12	67%	9-15	60%	0-0	-
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 38	33.4	12	86%	1	4	1	2	3	4	0	1	1-1	100%	4-4	100%	1-3	33%
Caleb Martin #16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 28	8.7	1	50%	5	1	0	0	2	1	1	4	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-

Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 30	34.0	16	62%	4	2	1	0	0	3	0	4	1-1	100%	0-3	0%	5-10	50%
R.J. Hampton #4 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 23	17.4	0	0%	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	16.7	3	38%	5	0	0	1	0	4	1	4	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35	16.0	8	80%	10	5	0	0	1	0	1	9	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| low back; Discomfort
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Acl; 3rd Degree Sprain
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Head; Cold - Non-Covid
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	58%	56	27	5	4	14	17	13	43	27-35	77%	28-52	54%	12-32	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.05 52.3%

MIA

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHI

54%

MIA

63%

Midrange

PHI

38%

MIA

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHI

25.5

38%

57%

MIA

18.0

38%

56%

Free Throws

PHI

64%

MIA

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Harris	27	71%	13.5 / 19
K. Oubre	25	74%	12.5 / 17
M. Bamba	18	100%	9.0 / 9
D. Melton	15	42%	7.5 / 18
T. Maxey	12	26%	6.0 / 23
P. Beverley	9	75%	4.5 / 6
P. Reed	4	50%	2.0 / 4
K. Martin	2	100%	1.0 / 1
D. House	1	13%	0.5 / 4
M. Morris	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jaquez	31	82%	15.5 / 19
B. Adebayo	26	62%	13.0 / 21
T. Herro	22	42%	11.0 / 26
D. Robinson	16	62%	8.0 / 13
K. Lowry	12	86%	6.0 / 7
K. Love	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Cain	3	38%	1.5 / 4
C. Martin	1	50%	0.5 / 1
R. Hampton	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 116.2 21 113.3	PHI 111.9 MIA 117.8 +5.9
Pace	18 98.2 29 97.0	PHI 99.3 MIA 102.7 +3.3
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.8 10 14.8	PHI 14.5 MIA 14.0 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.2% 20 53.8%	PHI 51.6% MIA 54.8% +3.2%
TO %	1 11.4% 9 12.2%	PHI 7.1% −5.2% MIA 12.3%
ORB %	13 24.8% 26 21.8%	PHI 10.4% MIA 29.5% +19.1%
FTrt	6 26.4 8 25.7	PHI 26.6 MIA 41.7 +15.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	25 60.0% 11 64.8%	PHI 57.5% MIA 67.5% +10.0%
STL %	1 8.6% 11 7.7%	PHI 10.9% +5.9% MIA 5.0%
BLK %	5 10.8% 30 7.7%	PHI 13.5% +5.3% MIA 8.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 56.1% 17 56.2%	PHI 52.3% MIA 58.3% +6.0%
Rim FG%	27 60.9% 23 61.6%	PHI 53.6% MIA 63.0% +9.4%
Mid FG%	17 42.0% 13 44.3%	PHI 38.1% MIA 44.0% +5.9%
3P %	18 36.3% 12 37.0%	PHI 37.8% +0.3% MIA 37.5%
FT %	2 82.6% 5 81.8%	PHI 64.0% MIA 77.1% +13.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 34.8% 29 29.5%	PHI 29.8% MIA 32.1% +2.4%
Mid Att. %	21 28.0% 28 31.1%	PHI 22.3% −7.4% MIA 29.8%
3P Att. %	23 37.3% 14 39.4%	PHI 47.9% +9.8% MIA 38.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	PHI	MIA
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	113	119
Rebounds	36	56
Assists	23	27
Steals	11	5
Blocks	7	4
Turnovers (Team)	7 (1)	14 (0)
Fouls	22	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (9)	13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (0)	43 (0)
Field Goals	40-94	40-84
At-the-Rim FG	15-28	17-27
Midrange FG	8-21	11-25
2-Point FG	23-49	28-52
3-Point FG	17-45	12-32
Free Throws	16-25	27-35
Fast Break Pts	22	14
2nd Chance Pts	16	13
Points in Paint	46	50
Pts off Turnovers	21	4
Bench Points	30	27
Biggest Lead	10	21

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg