Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, December 25, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Bucks | 49% | 116 | 122 | |
9 | Knicks | 51% | 117 | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Warriors | 114 | |||
4 | Nuggets | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 63% | 112 | 126 | |
12 | Lakers | 37% | 107 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 76ers | 113 | |||
13 | Heat | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Mavericks | 44% | 115 | 128 | |
10 | Suns | 56% | 117 | 114 |
Saturday, December 23, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Bucks | 130 | |||
8 | Knicks | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 66% | 114 | 145 | |
10 | Clippers | 34% | 108 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Nuggets | 102 | |||
28 | Hornets | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Magic | 51% | 119 | 117 | |
24 | Pacers | 49% | 118 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Rockets | 106 | |||
17 | Pelicans | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Grizzlies | 41% | 113 | 125 | |
15 | Hawks | 59% | 117 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Pistons | 115 | |||
19 | Nets | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Jazz | 37% | 110 | 126 | |
23 | Raptors | 63% | 115 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Cavaliers | 109 | |||
21 | Bulls | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Lakers | 37% | 109 | 129 | |
7 | Thunder | 63% | 114 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Spurs | 119 | |||
12 | Mavericks | 144 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Trail Blazers | 28% | 107 | 106 | |
6 | Warriors | 72% | 116 | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Timberwolves | 110 | |||
16 | Kings | 98 |
Friday, December 22, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Raptors | 111 | |||
2 | 76ers | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Nuggets | 58% | 114 | 122 | |
19 | Nets | 42% | 111 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Hawks | 113 | |||
14 | Heat | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Mavericks | 38% | 109 | 96 | |
22 | Rockets | 62% | 113 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Wizards | 118 | |||
6 | Warriors | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Suns | 46% | 119 | 105 | |
18 | Kings | 54% | 120 | 120 |
Thursday, December 21, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Jazz | 119 | |||
30 | Pistons | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pelicans | 61% | 113 | 123 | |
9 | Cavaliers | 39% | 109 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Spurs | 95 | |||
22 | Bulls | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Pacers | 42% | 116 | 103 | |
14 | Grizzlies | 58% | 119 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Magic | 114 | |||
5 | Bucks | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Clippers | 34% | 109 | 115 | |
8 | Thunder | 66% | 115 | 134 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Lakers | 111 | |||
4 | Timberwolves | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Wizards | 38% | 113 | 118 | |
25 | Trail Blazers | 62% | 117 | 117 |
Wednesday, December 20, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Jazz | 116 | |||
8 | Cavaliers | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Hornets | 28% | 115 | 113 | |
24 | Pacers | 72% | 124 | 144 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Heat | 115 | |||
20 | Magic | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Timberwolves | 39% | 109 | 113 | |
2 | 76ers | 61% | 113 | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Knicks | 121 | |||
18 | Nets | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Nuggets | 58% | 112 | 113 | |
23 | Raptors | 42% | 110 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Lakers | 108 | |||
22 | Bulls | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Hawks | 47% | 114 | 134 | |
21 | Rockets | 53% | 115 | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Clippers | 120 | |||
12 | Mavericks | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 54% | 115 | 144 | |
14 | Kings | 46% | 113 | 119 |
Tuesday, December 19, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Grizzlies | 115 | |||
14 | Pelicans | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Spurs | 20% | 114 | 119 | |
5 | Bucks | 80% | 126 | 132 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 126 | |||
8 | Warriors | 132 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Suns | 65% | 116 | 104 | |
25 | Trail Blazers | 35% | 110 | 109 |
Monday, December 18, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Rockets | 38% | 103 | 130 | |
8 | Cavaliers | 62% | 108 | 135 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Clippers | 151 | |||
23 | Pacers | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Bulls | 22% | 105 | 108 | |
2 | 76ers | 78% | 116 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Pistons | 124 | |||
14 | Hawks | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Timberwolves | 56% | 110 | 112 | |
16 | Heat | 44% | 108 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Hornets | 99 | |||
21 | Raptors | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Grizzlies | 27% | 105 | 97 | |
6 | Thunder | 73% | 114 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Mavericks | 104 | |||
3 | Nuggets | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Nets | 66% | 116 | 108 | |
27 | Jazz | 34% | 110 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Wizards | 131 | |||
13 | Kings | 143 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Knicks | 52% | 111 | 114 | |
18 | Lakers | 48% | 110 | 109 |
Sunday, December 17, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Magic | 97 | |||
1 | Celtics | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pelicans | 68% | 120 | 146 | |
27 | Spurs | 32% | 113 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Rockets | 119 | |||
9 | Bucks | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Wizards | 21% | 113 | 108 | |
7 | Suns | 79% | 125 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Warriors | 118 | |||
25 | Trail Blazers | 114 |
Saturday, December 16, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Pistons | 114 | |||
4 | Bucks | 146 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 76ers | 78% | 119 | 135 | |
26 | Hornets | 22% | 108 | 82 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Hawks | 119 | |||
9 | Cavaliers | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Bulls | 40% | 108 | 116 | |
14 | Heat | 60% | 112 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Pacers | 109 | |||
3 | Timberwolves | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Nets | 38% | 110 | 120 | |
8 | Warriors | 62% | 115 | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Thunder | 118 | |||
5 | Nuggets | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Mavericks | 64% | 116 | 131 | |
25 | Trail Blazers | 36% | 110 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Jazz | 104 | |||
17 | Kings | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Knicks | 40% | 109 | 122 | |
12 | Clippers | 60% | 112 | 144 |
Friday, December 15, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Pelicans | 112 | |||
26 | Hornets | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Pistons | 13% | 107 | 92 | |
2 | 76ers | 87% | 123 | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Pacers | 123 | |||
29 | Wizards | 137 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Magic | 23% | 104 | 111 | |
1 | Celtics | 77% | 114 | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Hawks | 125 | |||
21 | Raptors | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Lakers | 67% | 116 | 115 | |
28 | Spurs | 33% | 109 | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Rockets | 103 | |||
16 | Grizzlies | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Knicks | 41% | 111 | 139 | |
5 | Suns | 59% | 115 | 122 |
Thursday, December 14, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Cavaliers | 25% | 104 | 107 | |
1 | Celtics | 75% | 114 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Bulls | 124 | |||
15 | Heat | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Timberwolves | 48% | 112 | 119 | |
9 | Mavericks | 52% | 113 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Nets | 101 | |||
5 | Nuggets | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Jazz | 32% | 106 | 122 | |
25 | Trail Blazers | 68% | 113 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Thunder | 123 | |||
20 | Kings | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Warriors | 51% | 112 | 113 | |
12 | Clippers | 49% | 111 | 121 |
Wednesday, December 13, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 76ers | 129 | |||
30 | Pistons | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Pelicans | 69% | 121 | 142 | |
29 | Wizards | 31% | 114 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Hornets | 104 | |||
13 | Heat | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Hawks | 48% | 116 | 128 | |
21 | Raptors | 52% | 117 | 135 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Grizzlies | 104 | |||
22 | Rockets | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Pacers | 33% | 122 | 126 | |
4 | Bucks | 67% | 129 | 140 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Lakers | 122 | |||
28 | Spurs | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Nets | 41% | 112 | 116 | |
3 | Suns | 59% | 116 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Knicks | 113 | |||
27 | Jazz | 117 |
Tuesday, December 12, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Cavaliers | 20% | 102 | 113 | |
1 | Celtics | 80% | 115 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Lakers | 125 | |||
11 | Mavericks | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Nuggets | 62% | 111 | 114 | |
24 | Bulls | 38% | 106 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Warriors | 116 | |||
4 | Suns | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Kings | 36% | 113 | 99 | |
9 | Clippers | 64% | 118 | 119 |