Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, December 26, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Hawks	53%	115	113	115.3	98	98.4
	21	Bulls	47%	113	118	119.2	99	98.6

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+17

-15

100

CHI

+21

-8

112

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.13 56.5%

CHI

1.05 52.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

10 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	39.5	21	53%	2	13	1	0	6	3	0	2	6-7	86%	3-5	60%	3-12	25%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 27	34.4	17	50%	6	4	2	1	3	4	0	6	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	2-9	22%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	33.6	13	65%	8	0	1	0	0	1	4	4	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	2-6	33%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22	29.2	10	63%	9	4	1	0	2	1	3	6	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	26.8	13	59%	5	1	0	1	1	3	3	2	3-4	75%	5-9	56%	0-0	-

Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	31.4	22	50%	3	1	0	0	0	2	1	2	3-3	100%	5-9	56%	3-12	25%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	21.2	11	79%	6	0	1	0	1	3	1	5	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	13.0	6	150%	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	6.1	0	0%	0	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	3.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Stress Fracture
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	56%	40	24	6	3	15	21	12	28	18-21	86%	28-44	64%	13-45	29%

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10 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	39.5	21	53%	2	13	1	0	6	3	0	2	6-7	86%	3-5	60%	3-12	25%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 27	34.4	17	50%	6	4	2	1	3	4	0	6	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	2-9	22%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	33.6	13	65%	8	0	1	0	0	1	4	4	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	2-6	33%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22	29.2	10	63%	9	4	1	0	2	1	3	6	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	26.8	13	59%	5	1	0	1	1	3	3	2	3-4	75%	5-9	56%	0-0	-

Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	31.4	22	50%	3	1	0	0	0	2	1	2	3-3	100%	5-9	56%	3-12	25%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	21.2	11	79%	6	0	1	0	1	3	1	5	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	13.0	6	150%	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	6.1	0	0%	0	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	3.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Stress Fracture
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	56%	40	24	6	3	15	21	12	28	18-21	86%	28-44	64%	13-45	29%

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21 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #11 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 34	40.3	25	63%	2	6	1	0	1	3	0	2	7-7	100%	6-14	43%	2-3	67%
Andre Drummond #3 · C · 6'11" 279 · 30	38.5	24	86%	25	1	3	2	2	4	10	15	2-2	100%	11-13	85%	0-0	-
Coby White #0 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 24	36.8	19	37%	5	5	0	0	1	2	0	5	5-8	63%	7-15	47%	0-7	0%
Alex Caruso #6 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 30	29.2	11	42%	5	5	2	0	1	2	2	3	6-6	100%	1-5	20%	1-5	20%
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 22	25.1	6	38%	1	0	1	0	1	2	1	0	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	0-1	0%

Ayo Dosunmu #12 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 24	35.3	19	56%	7	4	3	0	0	1	4	3	5-6	83%	4-10	40%	2-4	50%
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 28	20.1	10	83%	2	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Terry Taylor #32 · PF · 6'5" 230 · 24	8.0	4	100%	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Dalen Terry #25 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 21	6.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Adama Sanogo #21 · C · 6'9" 245 · 22
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 20
Torrey Craig #13 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 33	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Plantar Fascia; Sprain
Henri Drell #77 · SF · 6'8" 185 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Sprain
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Contusion
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Inflammation
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Onuralp Bitim #17 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nasal; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	53%	48	23	10	2	8	17	18	30	27-31	87%	35-67	52%	7-25	28%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	CHI
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	CHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.13 56.5%

CHI

1.05 52.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

75%

CHI

56%

Midrange

ATL

44%

CHI

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

19.5

29%

43%

CHI

10.5

28%

42%

Free Throws

ATL

86%

CHI

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Bogdanović	22	50%	11.0 / 22
T. Young	21	53%	10.5 / 20
D. Murray	17	50%	8.5 / 17
S. Bey	13	65%	6.5 / 10
C. Capela	13	59%	6.5 / 11
O. Okongwu	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. Johnson	10	63%	5.0 / 8
G. Mathews	6	150%	3.0 / 2
S. Lundy	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	25	63%	12.5 / 20
A. Drummond	24	86%	12.0 / 14
C. White	19	37%	9.5 / 26
A. Dosunmu	19	56%	9.5 / 17
A. Caruso	11	42%	5.5 / 13
J. Carter	10	83%	5.0 / 6
P. Williams	6	38%	3.0 / 8
T. Taylor	4	100%	2.0 / 2
D. Terry	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 116.4 19 114.1	ATL 115.3 CHI 119.2 +3.9
Pace	6 100.9 28 97.1	ATL 98.4 CHI 98.6 +0.3
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.2 14 14.7	ATL 14.6 CHI 14.6 −0.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 53.9% 22 53.4%	ATL 53.4% +3.9% CHI 49.5%
TO %	13 12.5% 4 11.9%	ATL 14.0% CHI 8.6% −5.4%
ORB %	5 27.1% 9 25.1%	ATL 28.6% CHI 39.1% +10.5%
FTrt	12 25.1 19 23.6	ATL 23.6 CHI 33.7 +10.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 61.8% 28 59.4%	ATL 58.5% +3.7% CHI 54.8%
STL %	18 7.4% 8 7.9%	ATL 6.1% CHI 10.1% +4.0%
BLK %	21 9.0% 9 9.9%	ATL 4.5% CHI 4.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 56.3% 23 55.4%	ATL 56.5% +3.8% CHI 52.7%
Rim FG%	28 60.3% 26 60.9%	ATL 75.0% +19.4% CHI 55.6%
Mid FG%	6 45.2% 7 45.2%	ATL 43.8% CHI 48.4% +4.6%
3P %	17 36.4% 20 35.8%	ATL 28.9% +0.9% CHI 28.0%
FT %	8 79.7% 10 79.1%	ATL 85.7% CHI 87.1% +1.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 32.8% 17 33.0%	ATL 31.5% CHI 39.1% +7.7%
Mid Att. %	11 26.5% 29 31.2%	ATL 18.0% −15.7% CHI 33.7%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 29 35.8%	ATL 50.6% +23.4% CHI 27.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	CHI
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	113	118
Rebounds	40	48
Assists	24	23
Steals	6	10
Blocks	3	2
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	8 (2)
Fouls	21	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (5)	18 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (2)	30 (3)
Field Goals	41-89	42-92
At-the-Rim FG	21-28	20-36
Midrange FG	7-16	15-31
2-Point FG	28-44	35-67
3-Point FG	13-45	7-25
Free Throws	18-21	27-31
Fast Break Pts	7	9
2nd Chance Pts	21	24
Points in Paint	52	56
Pts off Turnovers	16	17
Bench Points	39	33
Biggest Lead	12	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg