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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 30, 2023
5:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Heat58%116109
26Jazz42%113117
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 34.3
23
33
8
2
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
4-4
100%
2-3
6-12
67%
54%
0-0
-
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 20.6
10
11
6
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
58%
2-2
100%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 26.5
37
34
28
16
3
3
1
3
4
3
13
14-20
70%
7-13
8-15
54%
56%
0-0
-
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 23.9
39
32
25
6
6
1
1
1
1
2
4
5-5
100%
7-15
5-10
47%
52%
2-7
29%
R.J. Hampton
G · 6'4" 175 · 22.9
8
17
0
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-1
0%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 22.9
35
36
9
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
5-5
100%
2-5
6-10
40%
58%
0-4
0%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.7
32
29
11
4
4
2
1
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
59%
3-5
60%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.1
26
17
4
6
1
2
1
1
2
0
6
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
56%
0-4
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 35.3
20
15
12
6
2
0
0
0
1
2
4
2-4
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
53%
2-8
25%
Jamal Cain
F · 6'7" 191 · 24.8
11
20
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
58%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.3
17
1
1-2
53%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 26.4
4
0
1-1
64%
Orlando Robinson
C · 7'0" 235 · 23.5
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 28.3
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 26.0
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 37.8
Cole Swider
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Simone Fontecchio
F · 6'8" 209 · 28.1
31
19
12
7
2
2
0
1
0
3
4
3-6
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
51%
1-5
20%
Lauri Markkanen
F · 7'0" 230 · 26.6
26
32
12
5
1
2
1
0
0
2
3
3-4
75%
3-5
5-8
60%
58%
1-8
13%
John Collins
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.3
21
23
10
6
0
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
59%
2-6
33%
Kris Dunn
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.8
18
20
2
1
6
2
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
50%
0-1
0%
Collin Sexton
G · 6'2" 183 · 25.0
26
28
22
2
5
1
1
0
3
1
1
5-6
83%
7-10
5-9
70%
53%
1-4
25%
Keyonte George
G · 6'4" 185 · 20.1
28
19
21
6
2
0
0
0
2
0
6
4-5
80%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
5-8
63%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 32.7
28
21
19
6
10
1
1
1
3
3
3
3-3
100%
8-11
2-3
73%
59%
0-1
0%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 31.6
25
25
9
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
53%
1-5
20%
Walker Kessler
C · 7'1" 245 · 22.4
23
24
10
8
0
0
0
2
0
0
8
0-0
-
5-5
4-6
100%
68%
0-0
-
Ochai Agbaji
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.7
15
19
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
1-3
0%
56%
0-3
0%
Talen Horton-Tucker
G · 6'4" 235 · 23.1
15
1
2-4
50%
Omer Yurtseven
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.5
4
0
1-1
57%
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 24.0
2
0
0-1
57%
Micah Potter
C · 6'10" 248 · 25.7
Johnny Juzang
G · 6'6" 209 · 22.8
Taylor Hendricks
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.1
Josh Christopher
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.1
Brice Sensabaugh
F · 6'6" 235 · 20.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.