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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 30, 2023
6:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Raptors68%117127
28Pistons32%110129
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Scottie Barnes
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.4
36.3
35.3
22
50%
9
2
2
1
1
1
2
7
5-5
100%
7-15
6-10
47%
55%
1-5
20%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 29.7
40.0
36.3
35
64%
5
4
0
1
0
2
1
4
5-8
63%
12-22
7-13
55%
56%
2-2
100%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 28.2
34.7
22.2
4
50%
14
5
1
1
3
0
2
12
0-0
-
2-4
4-6
50%
65%
0-0
-
Gary Trent Jr.
G-F · 6'5" 209 · 24.9
39.5
27.3
24
71%
1
4
4
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
49%
6-9
67%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 30.3
37.0
31.5
30
74%
0
9
0
1
0
1
0
0
5-5
100%
8-12
3-7
67%
49%
3-6
50%
Jalen McDaniels
F · 6'10" 192 · 25.9
17.4
12.6
2
26%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
54%
0-1
0%
Chris Boucher
F · 6'10" 200 · 31.0
16.7
9.7
4
55%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
4-6
67%
0-0
1-2
-
58%
0-1
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 35.5
11.0
2.0
6
60%
1
1
2
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
0-0
60%
57%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 30.6
7.5
9.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Gradey Dick
G · 6'8" 205 · 20.1
3.3
0
0-0
51%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 37.6
0.6
0
0-0
50%
Markquis Nowell
G · 5'8" 160 · 24.0
Javon Freeman-Liberty
G · 6'4" 180 · 24.2
Christian Koloko
C · 7'1" 230 · 23.5
Immanuel Quickley
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
Jontay Porter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.1
RJ Barrett
F-G · 6'7" 202 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.7
36.5
36.3
19
59%
7
3
0
1
0
4
0
7
3-5
60%
5-8
5-9
63%
54%
2-6
33%
Kevin Knox II
F · 6'9" 212 · 24.4
30.8
13.9
17
61%
2
2
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
53%
3-8
38%
Jalen Duren
C · 6'11" 250 · 20.1
34.2
31.9
18
66%
17
2
0
1
0
1
2
15
6-6
100%
6-11
6-9
55%
64%
0-0
-
Jaden Ivey
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.9
29.1
28.9
12
58%
5
4
1
1
0
1
4
1
9-12
75%
0-2
4-8
0%
51%
1-3
33%
Cade Cunningham
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.3
37.8
35.7
30
61%
3
12
1
1
0
0
0
3
10-10
100%
7-16
7-14
44%
51%
2-4
50%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 32.4
18.5
22.1
16
98%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
5-5
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
3-3
100%
Isaiah Livers
F · 6'6" 232 · 25.4
17.4
13.4
3
75%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
1-2
50%
James Wiseman
C · 7'1" 240 · 22.7
13.4
12.3
8
100%
4
0
0
0
3
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
60%
0-0
-
Ausar Thompson
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.9
12.0
13.8
6
61%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
55%
0-2
0%
Killian Hayes
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.4
10.2
9.3
0
0%
1
4
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 24.8
8.4
0
2-3
58%
Marcus Sasser
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.3
6.2
0
1-1
53%
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 32.3
3.2
0
0-0
50%
Malcolm Cazalon
G · 6'6" 185 · 22.3
Stanley Umude
G · 6'6" 210 · 24.7
Isaiah Stewart
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 22.6
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 28.5
Jared Rhoden
G · 6'6" 210 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.