Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, December 30, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Knicks	48%	121	126	124.8	101	109.5
	23	Pacers	52%	122	140	137.3	102	94.7

Scoring Opportunities

NYK

+20

-13

108

IND

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NYK

1.17 58.3%

IND

1.47 73.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

9 New York Knicks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Brunson #11 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 27	40.8	28	54%	1	6	0	1	4	3	0	1	6-9	67%	5-14	36%	4-8	50%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	39.4	28	52%	12	4	0	0	5	1	6	6	9-13	69%	8-17	47%	1-5	20%
Josh Hart #3 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 29	37.6	10	50%	10	1	1	0	0	3	3	7	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	1-2	50%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 27	36.0	38	90%	6	2	4	1	1	2	2	4	1-1	100%	8-10	80%	7-11	64%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 26	32.8	2	33%	9	6	4	0	1	3	2	7	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-

Miles McBride #2 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	17.6	5	83%	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Evan Fournier #13 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	17.4	10	45%	2	2	3	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-8	25%
Taj Gibson #67 · PF · 6'9" 232 · 39	14.1	2	33%	2	1	0	0	1	4	2	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jacob Toppin #00 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 24	1.1	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Charlie Brown Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 199 · 27	1.1	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Ryan Arcidiacono #51 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 30	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dmytro Skapintsev #14 · C · 7'1" 215 · 26	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jericho Sims #45 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Quentin Grimes #6 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Non Covid- Illness
Mitchell Robinson #23 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
DaQuan Jeffries #8 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 26	Inactive - Not With Team
OG Anunoby #3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 26	Inactive - Not With Team
Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 24	Inactive - Not With Team
Malachi Flynn #22 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 26	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	58%	42	24	12	2	13	19	15	27	19-27	70%	28-58	48%	17-37	46%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

9 New York Knicks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Brunson #11 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 27	40.8	28	54%	1	6	0	1	4	3	0	1	6-9	67%	5-14	36%	4-8	50%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	39.4	28	52%	12	4	0	0	5	1	6	6	9-13	69%	8-17	47%	1-5	20%
Josh Hart #3 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 29	37.6	10	50%	10	1	1	0	0	3	3	7	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	1-2	50%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 27	36.0	38	90%	6	2	4	1	1	2	2	4	1-1	100%	8-10	80%	7-11	64%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 26	32.8	2	33%	9	6	4	0	1	3	2	7	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-

Miles McBride #2 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	17.6	5	83%	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Evan Fournier #13 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	17.4	10	45%	2	2	3	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-8	25%
Taj Gibson #67 · PF · 6'9" 232 · 39	14.1	2	33%	2	1	0	0	1	4	2	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jacob Toppin #00 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 24	1.1	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Charlie Brown Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 199 · 27	1.1	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Ryan Arcidiacono #51 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 30	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dmytro Skapintsev #14 · C · 7'1" 215 · 26	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jericho Sims #45 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Quentin Grimes #6 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Non Covid- Illness
Mitchell Robinson #23 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
DaQuan Jeffries #8 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 26	Inactive - Not With Team
OG Anunoby #3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 26	Inactive - Not With Team
Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 24	Inactive - Not With Team
Malachi Flynn #22 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 26	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	58%	42	24	12	2	13	19	15	27	19-27	70%	28-58	48%	17-37	46%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

23 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	35.7	22	61%	5	23	2	1	2	0	1	4	4-4	100%	6-7	86%	2-10	20%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	33.5	14	64%	5	5	2	0	4	4	3	2	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	30.9	28	78%	8	2	0	0	1	0	1	7	2-3	67%	4-9	44%	6-8	75%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	30.6	25	89%	1	2	1	0	2	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	7-11	64%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	20.8	9	64%	4	2	0	2	1	5	0	4	2-4	50%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%

Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	25.5	20	91%	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	3-3	100%	4-5	80%	3-5	60%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	19.9	9	75%	8	2	0	3	0	4	2	6	0-1	0%	3-5	60%	1-1	100%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 31	18.3	6	100%	2	1	1	0	1	1	0	2	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	12.3	5	83%	0	3	0	0	2	0	0	0	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	9.2	2	100%	1	0	0	1	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 20	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	140	74%	34	40	6	7	16	18	7	27	17-21	81%	27-42	64%	23-43	53%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NYK	IND
Clock	Team	Event	NYK	IND

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

NYK

1.17 58.3%

IND

1.47 73.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NYK

55%

IND

71%

Midrange

NYK

41%

IND

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NYK

25.5

46%

69%

IND

34.5

53%

80%

Free Throws

NYK

70%

IND

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Knicks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DiVincenzo	38	90%	19.0 / 21
J. Brunson	28	54%	14.0 / 26
J. Randle	28	52%	14.0 / 27
J. Hart	10	50%	5.0 / 10
E. Fournier	10	45%	5.0 / 11
M. McBride	5	83%	2.5 / 3
C. Brown	3	75%	1.5 / 2
I. Hartenstein	2	33%	1.0 / 3
T. Gibson	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Turner	28	78%	14.0 / 18
A. Nesmith	25	89%	12.5 / 14
T. Haliburton	22	61%	11.0 / 18
B. Mathurin	20	91%	10.0 / 11
A. Nembhard	14	64%	7.0 / 11
J. Smith	9	64%	4.5 / 7
O. Toppin	9	75%	4.5 / 6
B. Hield	6	100%	3.0 / 3
T. McConnell	5	83%	2.5 / 3
I. Jackson	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 117.4 2 120.6	NYK 124.8 IND 137.3 +12.5
Pace	30 96.0 2 102.3	NYK 109.5 +14.8 IND 94.7
Avg. Poss. Time	1 15.5 29 13.7	NYK 13.2 −2.1 IND 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	16 54.0% 1 57.8%	NYK 56.3% IND 72.4% +16.1%
TO %	16 12.7% 6 12.0%	NYK 11.6% −2.9% IND 14.5%
ORB %	1 29.4% 20 23.8%	NYK 35.7% +15.1% IND 20.6%
FTrt	14 24.6 26 22.2	NYK 28.4 +3.7 IND 24.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 59.0% 6 65.4%	NYK 53.3% IND 80.0% +26.7%
STL %	10 7.8% 15 7.5%	NYK 11.9% +6.0% IND 5.9%
BLK %	18 9.1% 14 9.5%	NYK 4.8% IND 12.1% +7.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 56.1% 2 59.4%	NYK 58.3% IND 73.7% +15.4%
Rim FG%	25 61.0% 7 65.9%	NYK 54.8% IND 71.0% +16.2%
Mid FG%	14 44.1% 1 48.8%	NYK 40.7% IND 45.5% +4.8%
3P %	14 36.9% 9 37.4%	NYK 45.9% IND 53.5% +7.6%
FT %	16 78.0% 13 78.2%	NYK 70.4% IND 81.0% +10.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 31.8% 3 36.5%	NYK 32.6% IND 36.5% +3.8%
Mid Att. %	20 27.8% 6 25.4%	NYK 28.4% IND 12.9% −15.5%
3P Att. %	11 40.4% 20 38.0%	NYK 38.9% IND 50.6% +11.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.

Game Totals	NYK	IND
Possessions	101	102
Possession Minutes	22.1	25.9
Points	126	140
Rebounds	42	34
Assists	24	40
Steals	12	6
Blocks	2	7
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	16 (0)
Fouls	19	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (5)	7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (2)	27 (3)
Field Goals	45-95	50-85
At-the-Rim FG	17-31	22-31
Midrange FG	11-27	5-11
2-Point FG	28-58	27-42
3-Point FG	17-37	23-43
Free Throws	19-27	17-21
Fast Break Pts	18	21
2nd Chance Pts	22	9
Points in Paint	48	50
Pts off Turnovers	22	16
Bench Points	20	42
Biggest Lead	9	17

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg