Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, December 30, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	76ers	52%	109	92	100.0	92	92.3
	24	Bulls	48%	108	105	114.1	92	92.9

Scoring Opportunities

PHI

+16

-7

101

CHI

+19

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

0.91 45.5%

CHI

1.11 55.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23	35.4	20	42%	0	7	1	0	2	4	0	0	2-5	40%	6-14	43%	2-8	25%
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 31	34.3	15	42%	7	4	0	1	0	1	3	4	3-4	75%	6-13	46%	0-3	0%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 28	28.2	11	42%	5	2	2	1	0	2	3	2	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	0-5	0%
Paul Reed #44 · C · 6'9" 210 · 25	27.8	11	50%	7	3	4	1	1	3	4	3	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	1-2	50%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 26	26.1	9	50%	3	0	4	0	0	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-9	33%

Patrick Beverley #22 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 35	23.9	4	40%	2	3	1	2	1	4	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Nicolas Batum #40 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35	19.1	9	75%	3	2	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
Marcus Morris Sr. #5 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 34	17.2	4	40%	2	1	0	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Mo Bamba #7 · C · 7'0" 231 · 26	13.2	5	83%	5	2	0	0	1	0	2	3	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
KJ Martin #1 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	7.6	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Robert Covington #33 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 33	4.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Furkan Korkmaz #30 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 26	2.3	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Danuel House Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 31
Terquavion Smith #23 · PG · 6'4" 160 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kenneth Lofton Jr. #6 · PF · 6'7" 275 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ricky Council IV #16 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaden Springer #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	46%	36	24	12	5	7	22	12	24	11-15	73%	27-54	50%	9-38	24%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

14 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23	35.4	20	42%	0	7	1	0	2	4	0	0	2-5	40%	6-14	43%	2-8	25%
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 31	34.3	15	42%	7	4	0	1	0	1	3	4	3-4	75%	6-13	46%	0-3	0%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 28	28.2	11	42%	5	2	2	1	0	2	3	2	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	0-5	0%
Paul Reed #44 · C · 6'9" 210 · 25	27.8	11	50%	7	3	4	1	1	3	4	3	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	1-2	50%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 26	26.1	9	50%	3	0	4	0	0	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-9	33%

Patrick Beverley #22 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 35	23.9	4	40%	2	3	1	2	1	4	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Nicolas Batum #40 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35	19.1	9	75%	3	2	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
Marcus Morris Sr. #5 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 34	17.2	4	40%	2	1	0	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Mo Bamba #7 · C · 7'0" 231 · 26	13.2	5	83%	5	2	0	0	1	0	2	3	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
KJ Martin #1 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	7.6	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Robert Covington #33 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 33	4.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Furkan Korkmaz #30 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 26	2.3	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Danuel House Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 31
Terquavion Smith #23 · PG · 6'4" 160 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kenneth Lofton Jr. #6 · PF · 6'7" 275 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ricky Council IV #16 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaden Springer #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	46%	36	24	12	5	7	22	12	24	11-15	73%	27-54	50%	9-38	24%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

24 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Coby White #0 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 24	39.5	20	59%	8	2	0	0	5	3	2	6	5-6	83%	6-10	60%	1-5	20%
DeMar DeRozan #11 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 34	37.2	24	60%	6	5	0	0	2	0	0	6	6-7	86%	9-15	60%	0-2	0%
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 22	33.3	13	59%	3	3	0	0	2	0	2	1	0-0	-	5-8	63%	1-3	33%
Andre Drummond #3 · C · 6'11" 279 · 30	29.6	15	58%	23	2	2	3	3	4	3	20	3-10	30%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Alex Caruso #6 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 30	28.1	14	78%	2	5	1	1	3	2	0	2	3-5	60%	1-2	50%	3-5	60%

Ayo Dosunmu #12 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 24	29.3	6	27%	3	2	0	1	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-4	0%
Terry Taylor #32 · PF · 6'5" 230 · 24	17.3	6	100%	6	1	1	0	0	0	3	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 28	13.2	4	33%	2	1	1	0	0	3	0	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Dalen Terry #25 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 21	11.4	3	75%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 20	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Adama Sanogo #21 · C · 6'9" 245 · 22
Torrey Craig #13 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 33	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Plantar Fascia; Sprain
Henri Drell #77 · SF · 6'8" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Onuralp Bitim #17 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nasal; Fracture
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Inflammation
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	55%	53	21	5	5	16	15	12	41	18-30	60%	33-54	61%	7-25	28%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	CHI
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	CHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

0.91 45.5%

CHI

1.11 55.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHI

67%

CHI

72%

Midrange

PHI

24%

CHI

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHI

13.5

24%

36%

CHI

10.5

28%

42%

Free Throws

PHI

73%

CHI

60%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Maxey	20	42%	10.0 / 24
T. Harris	15	42%	7.5 / 18
K. Oubre	11	42%	5.5 / 13
P. Reed	11	50%	5.5 / 11
D. Melton	9	50%	4.5 / 9
N. Batum	9	75%	4.5 / 6
M. Bamba	5	83%	2.5 / 3
P. Beverley	4	40%	2.0 / 5
M. Morris	4	40%	2.0 / 5
K. Martin	2	50%	1.0 / 2
F. Korkmaz	2	100%	1.0 / 1
R. Covington	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	24	60%	12.0 / 20
C. White	20	59%	10.0 / 17
A. Drummond	15	58%	7.5 / 13
A. Caruso	14	78%	7.0 / 9
P. Williams	13	59%	6.5 / 11
A. Dosunmu	6	27%	3.0 / 11
T. Taylor	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Carter	4	33%	2.0 / 6
D. Terry	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 116.2 19 114.1	PHI 100.0 CHI 114.1 +14.1
Pace	18 98.2 28 97.1	PHI 92.3 CHI 92.9 +0.6
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.8 14 14.7	PHI 15.6 CHI 15.5 −0.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.2% 22 53.4%	PHI 44.0% CHI 55.1% +11.1%
TO %	1 11.4% 4 11.9%	PHI 7.5% −8.1% CHI 15.6%
ORB %	13 24.8% 9 25.1%	PHI 22.6% CHI 33.3% +10.7%
FTrt	6 26.4 19 23.6	PHI 16.3 CHI 38.0 +21.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	25 60.0% 28 59.4%	PHI 66.7% +14.2% CHI 52.5%
STL %	1 8.6% 8 7.9%	PHI 13.0% +7.6% CHI 5.4%
BLK %	5 10.8% 9 9.9%	PHI 9.3% CHI 9.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 56.1% 23 55.4%	PHI 45.5% CHI 55.3% +9.8%
Rim FG%	27 60.9% 26 60.9%	PHI 66.7% CHI 72.4% +5.7%
Mid FG%	17 42.0% 7 45.2%	PHI 23.8% CHI 48.0% +24.2%
3P %	18 36.3% 20 35.8%	PHI 23.7% CHI 28.0% +4.3%
FT %	2 82.6% 10 79.1%	PHI 73.3% +13.3% CHI 60.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 34.8% 17 33.0%	PHI 35.9% CHI 36.7% +0.8%
Mid Att. %	21 28.0% 29 31.2%	PHI 22.8% −8.8% CHI 31.6%
3P Att. %	23 37.3% 29 35.8%	PHI 41.3% +9.7% CHI 31.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	PHI	CHI
Possessions	92	92
Possession Minutes	23.9	23.8
Points	92	105
Rebounds	36	53
Assists	24	21
Steals	12	5
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	7 (1)	16 (1)
Fouls	22	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (4)	12 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (1)	41 (1)
Field Goals	36-92	40-79
At-the-Rim FG	22-33	21-29
Midrange FG	5-21	12-25
2-Point FG	27-54	33-54
3-Point FG	9-38	7-25
Free Throws	11-15	18-30
Fast Break Pts	15	8
2nd Chance Pts	20	17
Points in Paint	46	62
Pts off Turnovers	18	13
Bench Points	26	19
Biggest Lead	1	18

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg