Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Hawks	68%	125	130	120.4	108	102.6
	26	Wizards	32%	118	126	115.6	109	116.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	39.8	40	74%	3	13	3	0	5	2	0	3	14-19	74%	7-11	64%	4-8	50%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22	36.6	24	86%	13	4	0	0	1	2	0	13	4-5	80%	7-8	88%	2-4	50%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 27	34.2	32	70%	6	3	0	0	1	1	1	5	3-5	60%	10-15	67%	3-6	50%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	32.9	11	42%	17	3	1	1	3	4	7	10	1-4	25%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	32.2	11	50%	11	0	0	1	1	3	3	8	1-3	33%	2-5	40%	2-5	40%

Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	27.3	12	32%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	4-11	36%	1-8	13%
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	15.0	0	0%	3	2	1	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	13.8	0	0%	2	1	0	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35	8.2	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Stress Fracture
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	59%	58	27	5	9	12	18	12	46	24-37	65%	35-63	56%	12-32	38%

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8 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	39.8	40	74%	3	13	3	0	5	2	0	3	14-19	74%	7-11	64%	4-8	50%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22	36.6	24	86%	13	4	0	0	1	2	0	13	4-5	80%	7-8	88%	2-4	50%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 27	34.2	32	70%	6	3	0	0	1	1	1	5	3-5	60%	10-15	67%	3-6	50%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	32.9	11	42%	17	3	1	1	3	4	7	10	1-4	25%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	32.2	11	50%	11	0	0	1	1	3	3	8	1-3	33%	2-5	40%	2-5	40%

Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	27.3	12	32%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	4-11	36%	1-8	13%
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	15.0	0	0%	3	2	1	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	13.8	0	0%	2	1	0	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35	8.2	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Stress Fracture
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	59%	58	27	5	9	12	18	12	46	24-37	65%	35-63	56%	12-32	38%

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26 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 28	33.5	38	61%	8	5	0	0	2	4	2	6	1-1	100%	8-13	62%	7-18	39%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 23	31.2	17	65%	12	2	1	1	3	5	1	11	5-8	63%	3-3	100%	2-6	33%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	28.7	13	46%	3	6	0	1	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-7	14%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 25	28.3	10	83%	9	0	2	4	0	2	2	7	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 28	27.4	14	64%	0	8	1	1	1	1	0	0	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	3-7	43%

Mike Muscala #35 · C · 6'11" 240 · 33	19.5	10	63%	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Landry Shamet #20 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	18.5	4	33%	2	2	1	2	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32	17.7	3	75%	0	2	0	0	3	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 25	17.6	15	63%	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	4-5	80%	4-5	80%	1-5	20%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 19	17.4	2	25%	4	3	0	0	0	2	1	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Ryan Rollins #9 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 21
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 31
Jules Bernard #14 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 27
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Danilo Gallinari #88 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back Spasm
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	57%	42	35	5	3	9	21	6	36	17-21	81%	29-45	64%	17-53	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	WAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.17 58.6%

WAS

1.15 57.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

17

24

71%

WAS

22

26

85%

Midrange

ATL

18

39

46%

WAS

7

19

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

12

18.0

32

38%

56%

WAS

17

25.5

53

32%

48%

Free Throws

ATL

24

37

65%

WAS

17

21

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Young	40	74%	20.0 / 27
D. Murray	32	70%	16.0 / 23
J. Johnson	24	86%	12.0 / 14
B. Bogdanović	12	32%	6.0 / 19
C. Capela	11	42%	5.5 / 13
S. Bey	11	50%	5.5 / 11
B. Fernando	0	-	0.0 / 2
P. Mills	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Kuzma	38	61%	19.0 / 31
D. Avdija	17	65%	8.5 / 13
C. Kispert	15	63%	7.5 / 12
T. Jones	14	64%	7.0 / 11
J. Poole	13	46%	6.5 / 14
D. Gafford	10	83%	5.0 / 6
M. Muscala	10	63%	5.0 / 8
L. Shamet	4	33%	2.0 / 6
D. Wright	3	75%	1.5 / 2
B. Coulibaly	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 116.4 25 110.3	ATL 120.4 +4.8 WAS 115.6
Pace	6 100.9 1 103.0	ATL 102.6 WAS 116.4 +13.8
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.2 30 13.6	ATL 14.0 WAS 12.4 −1.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 53.9% 19 53.8%	ATL 55.8% +0.2% WAS 55.6%
TO %	13 12.5% 19 13.1%	ATL 9.7% WAS 7.7% −2.0%
ORB %	5 27.1% 29 20.0%	ATL 25.0% +13.5% WAS 11.5%
FTrt	12 25.1 27 22.1	ATL 38.9 +17.5 WAS 21.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 61.8% 9 64.9%	ATL 57.4% WAS 76.1% +18.7%
STL %	18 7.4% 19 7.3%	ATL 4.6% WAS 4.6%
BLK %	21 9.0% 16 9.4%	ATL 20.0% +15.2% WAS 4.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 56.3% 21 55.8%	ATL 58.6% +1.3% WAS 57.3%
Rim FG%	28 60.3% 8 65.7%	ATL 70.8% WAS 84.6% +13.8%
Mid FG%	6 45.2% 28 39.8%	ATL 46.2% +9.4% WAS 36.8%
3P %	17 36.4% 25 34.8%	ATL 37.5% +5.4% WAS 32.1%
FT %	8 79.7% 24 76.4%	ATL 64.9% WAS 81.0% +16.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 32.8% 7 35.4%	ATL 25.3% WAS 26.5% +1.3%
Mid Att. %	11 26.5% 8 25.7%	ATL 41.1% WAS 19.4% −21.7%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 16 38.9%	ATL 33.7% WAS 54.1% +20.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	WAS
Possessions	108	109
Possession Minutes	25.3	22.5
Points	130	126
Rebounds	58	42
Assists	27	35
Steals	5	5
Blocks	9	3
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	9 (0)
Fouls	18	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (3)	6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	46 (0)	36 (1)
Field Goals	47-95	46-98
At-the-Rim FG	17-24	22-26
Midrange FG	18-39	7-19
2-Point FG	35-63	29-45
3-Point FG	12-32	17-53
Free Throws	24-37	17-21
Fast Break Pts	12	24
2nd Chance Pts	20	7
Points in Paint	54	56
Pts off Turnovers	12	18
Bench Points	12	34
Biggest Lead	15	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg