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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 1, 2024
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Cavaliers48%110121
16Raptors52%111124
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Donovan Mitchell
G · 6'3" 215 · 27.3
38.0
36.7
26
55%
7
7
4
2
0
3
1
6
6-6
100%
4-12
7-12
33%
55%
4-9
44%
Max Strus
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27.8
37.4
34.0
6
43%
6
3
1
1
1
3
0
6
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
55%
2-5
40%
Jarrett Allen
C · 6'9" 243 · 25.7
33.6
35.5
16
55%
11
4
1
1
0
0
3
8
6-8
75%
5-11
7-11
45%
66%
0-0
-
Isaac Okoro
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 22.9
27.4
31.4
16
61%
1
3
2
1
1
1
0
1
6-7
86%
5-6
3-4
83%
59%
0-4
0%
Dean Wade
F-C · 6'9" 228 · 27.1
20.7
23.8
2
50%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
60%
0-1
0%
Caris LeVert
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.4
29.3
25.2
31
70%
4
4
0
1
0
0
0
4
5-5
100%
10-13
3-6
77%
49%
2-7
29%
Sam Merrill
G · 6'4" 205 · 27.6
16.9
11.3
16
73%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
51%
4-8
50%
Georges Niang
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.5
16.3
18.0
8
80%
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-4
1-2
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 32.8
14.3
11.4
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
57%
0-0
-
Craig Porter Jr.
G · 6'1" 180 · 23.8
6.1
21.3
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Ty Jerome
G-F · 6'5" 195 · 26.5
7.4
0
1-1
51%
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 28.5
2.2
0
0-0
66%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.2
Evan Mobley
C · 6'11" 215 · 22.5
Isaiah Mobley
F · 6'8" 238 · 24.3
Emoni Bates
F · 6'9" 170 · 19.9
Darius Garland
G · 6'1" 192 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'8" 245 · 29.7
40.4
36.9
36
80%
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
5-6
83%
8-12
8-14
67%
55%
5-8
63%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.2
37.1
26.2
14
63%
11
4
0
1
3
4
4
7
4-7
57%
5-8
4-7
63%
65%
0-0
-
Scottie Barnes
F-G · 6'7" 237 · 22.4
36.0
34.9
20
50%
6
5
1
1
1
0
1
5
5-7
71%
6-12
6-10
50%
54%
1-5
20%
RJ Barrett
F-G · 6'6" 214 · 23.5
29.4
30.9
19
61%
9
1
0
1
0
5
3
6
6-8
75%
5-10
5-10
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Immanuel Quickley
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
28.0
24.6
14
49%
6
3
2
1
0
0
0
6
2-3
67%
3-8
3-5
38%
49%
2-5
40%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 175 · 30.3
29.7
32.7
12
60%
3
8
0
1
0
1
0
3
5-7
71%
2-2
3-7
100%
49%
1-5
20%
Gary Trent Jr.
G · 6'5" 204 · 25.0
26.1
31.1
9
41%
6
2
1
1
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
48%
1-5
20%
Chris Boucher
F · 6'10" 200 · 31.0
11.3
12.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
57%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 35.5
2.0
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
56%
0-0
-
Jalen McDaniels
F · 6'10" 192 · 25.9
13.8
0
1-3
53%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 30.6
8.4
0
0-1
55%
Javon Freeman-Liberty
G · 6'4" 180 · 24.2
3.1
0
0-1
51%
Jontay Porter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.1
2.8
0
0-0
55%
Gradey Dick
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 20.1
2.4
0
0-0
48%
Garrett Temple
G-F · 6'5" 195 · 37.7
0.2
0
0-0
50%
Christian Koloko
C · 7'0" 225 · 23.5
Markquis Nowell
G · 5'8" 160 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

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