Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 1, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Hornets	11%	101	93	97.9	95	89.7
	5	Nuggets	89%	119	111	116.8	95	100.9

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+13

-12

DEN

-10

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

0.97 48.4%

DEN

1.21 60.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 26	36.0	26	81%	9	5	1	0	2	1	0	9	3-5	60%	7-9	78%	3-5	60%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	31.8	15	44%	5	1	0	0	2	1	0	5	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	3-9	33%
Nick Richards #4 · C · 6'11" 245 · 26	29.9	15	58%	8	1	1	1	0	2	2	6	1-2	50%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 35	29.1	10	42%	3	4	0	0	4	2	1	2	0-0	-	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Bryce McGowens #7 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 21	23.3	10	63%	2	3	0	0	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-3	67%

P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	25.6	6	60%	6	0	0	0	2	2	1	5	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Cody Martin #11 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 28	24.7	2	13%	3	6	2	2	0	0	1	2	2-4	50%	0-3	0%	0-3	0%
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 20	18.9	5	31%	3	2	0	1	2	2	2	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-3	33%
Nathan Mensah #31 · C · 6'10" 230 · 26	12.3	2	50%	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 21	4.1	2	50%	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
James Bouknight #2 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	4.1	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Frank Ntilikina #44 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 25	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Tibia; Non-displaced fracture
Amari Bailey #10 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Leaky Black #12 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Contusion
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Terry Rozier #3 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Gordon Hayward #20 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	48%	45	24	4	9	12	15	8	37	11-16	69%	26-60	43%	10-26	38%

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30 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 26	36.0	26	81%	9	5	1	0	2	1	0	9	3-5	60%	7-9	78%	3-5	60%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	31.8	15	44%	5	1	0	0	2	1	0	5	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	3-9	33%
Nick Richards #4 · C · 6'11" 245 · 26	29.9	15	58%	8	1	1	1	0	2	2	6	1-2	50%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 35	29.1	10	42%	3	4	0	0	4	2	1	2	0-0	-	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Bryce McGowens #7 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 21	23.3	10	63%	2	3	0	0	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-3	67%

P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	25.6	6	60%	6	0	0	0	2	2	1	5	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Cody Martin #11 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 28	24.7	2	13%	3	6	2	2	0	0	1	2	2-4	50%	0-3	0%	0-3	0%
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 20	18.9	5	31%	3	2	0	1	2	2	2	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-3	33%
Nathan Mensah #31 · C · 6'10" 230 · 26	12.3	2	50%	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 21	4.1	2	50%	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
James Bouknight #2 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	4.1	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Frank Ntilikina #44 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 25	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Tibia; Non-displaced fracture
Amari Bailey #10 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Leaky Black #12 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Contusion
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Terry Rozier #3 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Gordon Hayward #20 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	48%	45	24	4	9	12	15	8	37	11-16	69%	26-60	43%	10-26	38%

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5 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	30.5	22	61%	8	1	0	0	1	1	1	7	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	4-11	36%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	29.1	5	42%	3	4	1	0	0	3	0	3	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	27.5	13	93%	11	6	1	1	3	2	0	11	1-1	100%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	26.8	25	66%	3	7	2	1	2	1	0	3	6-7	86%	2-7	29%	5-9	56%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	24.6	10	83%	2	0	1	1	0	0	1	1	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	23.9	9	64%	4	2	1	2	1	1	1	3	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	20.5	2	20%	3	1	0	3	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	19.2	8	67%	4	1	1	1	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	17.1	15	68%	4	4	1	0	0	2	0	4	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	2-3	67%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	12.6	2	50%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	4.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	4.1	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	60%	44	27	9	5	10	15	4	40	14-18	78%	26-45	58%	15-38	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

CHA

0.97 48.4%

DEN

1.21 60.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

39%

DEN

70%

Midrange

CHA

48%

DEN

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

15.0

38%

58%

DEN

22.5

39%

59%

Free Throws

CHA

69%

DEN

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Bridges	26	81%	13.0 / 16
B. Miller	15	44%	7.5 / 17
N. Richards	15	58%	7.5 / 13
I. Smith	10	42%	5.0 / 12
B. McGowens	10	63%	5.0 / 8
P. Washington	6	60%	3.0 / 5
N. Smith	5	31%	2.5 / 8
C. Martin	2	13%	1.0 / 8
N. Mensah	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Thor	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Bouknight	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	25	66%	12.5 / 19
M. Porter	22	61%	11.0 / 18
R. Jackson	15	68%	7.5 / 11
N. Jokić	13	93%	6.5 / 7
A. Gordon	10	83%	5.0 / 6
C. Braun	9	64%	4.5 / 7
P. Watson	8	67%	4.0 / 6
K. Caldwell-Pope	5	42%	2.5 / 6
Z. Nnaji	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Strawther	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Pickett	0	-	0.0 / 1
B. Key	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	28 108.7 5 117.9	CHA 97.9 DEN 116.8 +18.9
Pace	23 97.8 26 97.4	CHA 89.7 DEN 100.9 +11.2
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.7 4 15.0	CHA 16.0 DEN 14.3 −1.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 52.9% 8 56.2%	CHA 47.7% DEN 58.4% +10.7%
TO %	20 13.2% 7 12.1%	CHA 13.1% DEN 10.8% −2.3%
ORB %	27 21.1% 6 25.5%	CHA 16.7% +6.9% DEN 9.8%
FTrt	30 21.2 24 22.4	CHA 18.6 DEN 21.7 +3.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 62.0% 5 66.9%	CHA 66.7% +0.8% DEN 65.9%
STL %	22 7.0% 20 7.3%	CHA 4.2% DEN 9.5% +5.3%
BLK %	29 8.5% 25 8.7%	CHA 20.0% +11.7% DEN 8.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 54.6% 11 57.5%	CHA 48.4% DEN 60.3% +11.9%
Rim FG%	20 63.0% 17 63.6%	CHA 39.4% DEN 69.6% +30.2%
Mid FG%	23 40.5% 3 47.0%	CHA 48.1% +2.6% DEN 45.5%
3P %	21 35.5% 10 37.4%	CHA 38.5% DEN 39.5% +1.0%
FT %	11 78.6% 25 76.2%	CHA 68.8% DEN 77.8% +9.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 33.2% 4 36.0%	CHA 38.4% +10.7% DEN 27.7%
Mid Att. %	19 27.7% 25 28.8%	CHA 31.4% DEN 26.5% −4.9%
3P Att. %	15 39.1% 30 35.2%	CHA 30.2% DEN 45.8% +15.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CHA	DEN
Possessions	95	95
Possession Minutes	25.4	22.6
Points	93	111
Rebounds	45	44
Assists	24	27
Steals	4	9
Blocks	9	5
Turnovers (Team)	12 (2)	10 (1)
Fouls	15	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (5)	4 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (1)	40 (0)
Field Goals	36-86	41-83
At-the-Rim FG	13-33	16-23
Midrange FG	13-27	10-22
2-Point FG	26-60	26-45
3-Point FG	10-26	15-38
Free Throws	11-16	14-18
Fast Break Pts	4	14
2nd Chance Pts	11	5
Points in Paint	40	42
Pts off Turnovers	13	20
Bench Points	17	36
Biggest Lead	4	27

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg