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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 1, 2024
9:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Hornets12%10193
3Nuggets88%119111
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bryce McGowens
G · 6'6" 175 · 21.1
23
21
10
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
48%
2-3
67%
Miles Bridges
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.8
36
35
26
9
5
1
1
0
2
0
9
3-5
60%
7-9
5-10
78%
54%
3-5
60%
Nick Richards
C · 6'11" 245 · 26.1
30
29
15
8
1
1
0
1
0
2
6
1-2
50%
7-12
4-6
58%
63%
0-0
-
Brandon Miller
F · 6'9" 200 · 21.1
32
27
15
5
1
0
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
2-8
3-7
25%
49%
3-9
33%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 35.5
29
14
10
3
4
0
0
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
5-12
1-3
42%
45%
0-0
-
P.J. Washington
F · 6'7" 236 · 25.4
26
26
6
6
0
0
1
0
2
1
5
1-1
100%
1-2
3-5
50%
52%
1-3
33%
Cody Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 28.3
25
22
2
3
6
2
1
2
0
1
2
2-4
50%
0-3
2-3
0%
51%
0-3
0%
Nick Smith Jr.
G · 6'5" 185 · 19.7
19
15
5
3
2
0
0
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
48%
1-3
33%
Nathan Mensah
C · 6'10" 230 · 25.7
12
6
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
JT Thor
F · 6'9" 203 · 21.3
4
5
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
James Bouknight
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.3
4
3
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Frank Ntilikina
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.4
6
0
0-1
42%
Mark Williams
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.0
LaMelo Ball
G · 6'8" 180 · 22.4
Amari Bailey
G · 6'5" 185 · 19.9
Leaky Black
F · 6'9" 209 · 24.6
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.8
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 33.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 25.5
31
29
22
8
1
0
1
0
1
1
7
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
61%
4-11
36%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.3
25
30
10
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-4
5-8
75%
62%
1-1
100%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.9
28
32
13
11
6
1
1
1
3
0
11
1-1
100%
6-7
8-13
86%
66%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.9
29
27
5
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
54%
0-3
0%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 26.9
27
31
25
3
7
2
1
1
2
0
3
6-7
86%
2-7
6-10
29%
55%
5-9
56%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
24
18
9
4
2
1
1
2
1
1
3
2-3
67%
2-3
2-4
67%
58%
1-3
33%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.0
21
6
2
3
1
0
0
3
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
65%
0-2
0%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 21.3
19
25
8
4
1
1
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
61%
2-4
50%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 33.7
17
16
15
4
4
1
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
4-8
2-4
50%
52%
2-3
67%
Julian Strawther
G · 6'7" 205 · 21.7
13
15
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
58%
0-1
0%
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'4" 202 · 24.2
4
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
58%
0-1
0%
Braxton Key
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.9
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
59%
0-0
-
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 34.7
13
0
1-1
53%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.4
10
0
2-2
70%
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 26.7
Collin Gillespie
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.5
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.6
Jay Huff
F · 7'1" 240 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.