Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 1, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Blazers	32%	107	88	87.1	101	94.8
	21	Suns	68%	114	109	107.9	101	108.0

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+10

-18

PHX

+13

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

0.95 47.3%

PHX

1.11 55.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	33.8	17	43%	3	6	1	2	5	1	0	3	2-4	50%	6-15	40%	1-3	33%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SF · 6'5" 202 · 27	29.0	3	30%	4	0	2	2	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	25.2	15	54%	1	3	1	1	3	1	0	1	2-3	67%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · SG · 6'5" 229 · 31	21.1	10	56%	2	5	0	0	2	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	15.7	2	50%	6	1	0	1	2	2	0	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 21	25.1	10	50%	9	0	1	0	1	2	2	7	4-6	67%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	23.4	4	100%	5	1	0	1	2	6	0	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 23	19.0	6	60%	2	1	1	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	18.0	6	33%	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-5	0%
Skylar Mays #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 26	17.5	7	44%	2	3	0	1	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Ish Wainright #23 · SF · 6'5" 250 · 29	12.2	8	67%	1	0	0	1	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinitis
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| General; Illness
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	47%	36	21	6	5	18	19	6	30	14-19	74%	25-50	50%	8-30	27%

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27 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	33.8	17	43%	3	6	1	2	5	1	0	3	2-4	50%	6-15	40%	1-3	33%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SF · 6'5" 202 · 27	29.0	3	30%	4	0	2	2	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	25.2	15	54%	1	3	1	1	3	1	0	1	2-3	67%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · SG · 6'5" 229 · 31	21.1	10	56%	2	5	0	0	2	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	15.7	2	50%	6	1	0	1	2	2	0	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 21	25.1	10	50%	9	0	1	0	1	2	2	7	4-6	67%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	23.4	4	100%	5	1	0	1	2	6	0	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 23	19.0	6	60%	2	1	1	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	18.0	6	33%	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-5	0%
Skylar Mays #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 26	17.5	7	44%	2	3	0	1	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Ish Wainright #23 · SF · 6'5" 250 · 29	12.2	8	67%	1	0	0	1	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinitis
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| General; Illness
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	47%	36	21	6	5	18	19	6	30	14-19	74%	25-50	50%	8-30	27%

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21 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 31	34.2	21	58%	4	1	1	1	4	2	0	4	4-4	100%	7-13	54%	1-3	33%
Devin Booker #1 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 27	30.9	10	29%	8	6	1	0	2	2	3	5	1-2	50%	3-12	25%	1-4	25%
Grayson Allen #8 · SF · 6'3" 198 · 28	27.9	12	75%	2	4	2	1	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Chimezie Metu #4 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 27	26.1	14	70%	5	1	1	0	2	3	2	3	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Jusuf Nurkić #20 · C · 6'11" 290 · 29	25.1	18	82%	7	5	1	2	2	3	1	6	5-6	83%	5-6	83%	1-2	50%

Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 35	20.2	12	50%	3	1	1	0	1	0	0	3	2-5	40%	2-4	50%	2-6	33%
Bol Bol #11 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 24	19.9	11	79%	9	1	0	0	2	5	2	7	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Josh Okogie #2 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 25	18.5	3	50%	2	3	0	1	1	1	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Keita Bates-Diop #21 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 28	16.7	3	150%	3	1	2	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Drew Eubanks #14 · C · 6'10" 245 · 27	5.6	1	25%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	1-4	25%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan Goodwin #0 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 25	5.6	2	50%	1	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Yuta Watanabe #18 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 29	5.6	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Udoka Azubuike #27 · C · 7'0" 280 · 24	3.6	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-2	0%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Nassir Little #25 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Saben Lee #38 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Theo Maledon #12 · PG · 6'5" 175 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Damion Lee #10 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Meniscus; Surgery
Kevin Durant #35 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	56%	47	24	10	10	16	20	9	38	22-33	67%	27-51	53%	11-29	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	PHX
Clock	Team	Event	POR	PHX

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

0.95 47.3%

PHX

1.11 55.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

60%

PHX

73%

Midrange

POR

43%

PHX

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

12.0

27%

40%

PHX

16.5

38%

57%

Free Throws

POR

74%

PHX

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Henderson	17	43%	8.5 / 20
J. Grant	15	54%	7.5 / 14
M. Brogdon	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Walker	10	50%	5.0 / 10
I. Wainright	8	67%	4.0 / 6
S. Mays	7	44%	3.5 / 8
K. Murray	6	60%	3.0 / 5
S. Sharpe	6	33%	3.0 / 9
I. Badji	4	100%	2.0 / 2
M. Thybulle	3	30%	1.5 / 5
M. Brown	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Suns

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Beal	21	58%	10.5 / 18
J. Nurkić	18	82%	9.0 / 11
C. Metu	14	70%	7.0 / 10
G. Allen	12	75%	6.0 / 8
E. Gordon	12	50%	6.0 / 12
B. Bol	11	79%	5.5 / 7
D. Booker	10	29%	5.0 / 17
J. Okogie	3	50%	1.5 / 3
K. Bates-Diop	3	150%	1.5 / 1
J. Goodwin	2	50%	1.0 / 2
Y. Watanabe	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Eubanks	1	25%	0.5 / 2
U. Azubuike	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 107.7 9 116.9	POR 87.1 PHX 107.9 +20.8
Pace	21 97.9 15 98.9	POR 94.8 PHX 108.0 +13.2
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.6 6 14.9	POR 15.2 PHX 13.3 −1.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 50.3% 6 56.5%	POR 46.3% PHX 54.4% +8.1%
TO %	29 14.6% 25 14.2%	POR 17.7% PHX 14.5% −3.2%
ORB %	3 27.5% 11 25.0%	POR 13.6% PHX 23.1% +9.5%
FTrt	23 22.8 3 27.1	POR 23.8 PHX 41.3 +17.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 58.7% 14 63.7%	POR 63.6% +0.4% PHX 63.2%
STL %	12 7.7% 17 7.5%	POR 5.9% PHX 9.9% +4.0%
BLK %	20 9.0% 6 10.7%	POR 9.8% PHX 20.0% +10.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.28 and 2.28.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	30 52.6% 4 58.9%	POR 47.3% PHX 55.6% +8.3%
Rim FG%	29 58.1% 12 65.2%	POR 60.0% PHX 72.7% +12.7%
Mid FG%	30 38.7% 2 47.7%	POR 43.3% +5.4% PHX 37.9%
3P %	30 34.5% 5 38.2%	POR 26.7% PHX 37.9% +11.2%
FT %	9 79.1% 6 80.8%	POR 73.7% +7.0% PHX 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 34.7% 28 29.8%	POR 25.0% PHX 27.5% +2.5%
Mid Att. %	23 28.3% 30 32.4%	POR 37.5% PHX 36.3% −1.3%
3P Att. %	24 37.0% 21 37.8%	POR 37.5% +1.3% PHX 36.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Game Totals	POR	PHX
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	25.6	22.4
Points	88	109
Rebounds	36	47
Assists	21	24
Steals	6	10
Blocks	5	10
Turnovers (Team)	18 (1)	16 (0)
Fouls	19	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (4)	9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (4)	38 (2)
Field Goals	33-80	38-80
At-the-Rim FG	12-20	16-22
Midrange FG	13-30	11-29
2-Point FG	25-50	27-51
3-Point FG	8-30	11-29
Free Throws	14-19	22-33
Fast Break Pts	19	19
2nd Chance Pts	6	12
Points in Paint	36	38
Pts off Turnovers	15	30
Bench Points	41	34
Biggest Lead	9	26

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg