Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 1, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Mavericks	60%	120	90	87.4	103	104.1
	25	Jazz	40%	117	127	123.3	103	101.9

Scoring Opportunities

DAL

+12

-16

UTA

+14

-12

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

0.91 45.5%

UTA

1.20 59.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

10 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 25	33.7	19	41%	6	14	1	0	4	1	0	6	4-6	67%	3-7	43%	3-13	23%
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 32	32.2	14	50%	9	4	0	1	1	3	1	8	0-1	0%	4-11	36%	2-3	67%
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 20	24.6	10	63%	6	2	1	1	0	1	2	4	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 27	24.3	6	60%	3	0	1	1	2	1	1	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Danté Exum #0 · SF · 6'5" 214 · 28	11.6	4	67%	1	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	22.7	6	33%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-6	0%
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 21	21.4	17	57%	3	1	0	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-6	17%	5-9	56%
Josh Green #8 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 23	21.3	0	0%	2	1	0	0	2	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Grant Williams #3 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 25	18.1	4	29%	0	1	1	2	3	2	0	0	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 32	10.1	4	67%	4	1	2	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Brandon Williams #00 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	6.7	4	67%	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Richaun Holmes #20 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 30	6.7	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 21	6.7	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Greg Brown III #36 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
A.J. Lawson #9 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Maxi Kleber #42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Small Toe; Dislocation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	46%	41	28	6	6	16	15	8	33	5-10	50%	26-53	49%	11-40	28%

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10 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 25	33.7	19	41%	6	14	1	0	4	1	0	6	4-6	67%	3-7	43%	3-13	23%
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 32	32.2	14	50%	9	4	0	1	1	3	1	8	0-1	0%	4-11	36%	2-3	67%
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 20	24.6	10	63%	6	2	1	1	0	1	2	4	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 27	24.3	6	60%	3	0	1	1	2	1	1	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Danté Exum #0 · SF · 6'5" 214 · 28	11.6	4	67%	1	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	22.7	6	33%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-6	0%
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 21	21.4	17	57%	3	1	0	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-6	17%	5-9	56%
Josh Green #8 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 23	21.3	0	0%	2	1	0	0	2	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Grant Williams #3 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 25	18.1	4	29%	0	1	1	2	3	2	0	0	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 32	10.1	4	67%	4	1	2	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Brandon Williams #00 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	6.7	4	67%	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Richaun Holmes #20 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 30	6.7	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 21	6.7	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Greg Brown III #36 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
A.J. Lawson #9 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Maxi Kleber #42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Small Toe; Dislocation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	46%	41	28	6	6	16	15	8	33	5-10	50%	26-53	49%	11-40	28%

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25 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Simone Fontecchio #16 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 28	29.0	24	71%	6	2	2	1	1	0	0	6	1-1	100%	7-8	88%	3-8	38%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 27	24.8	17	71%	4	1	1	1	1	0	2	2	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	4-8	50%
Kris Dunn #11 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 30	20.5	7	88%	3	7	0	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Collin Sexton #2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25	18.9	8	40%	3	6	0	0	1	1	1	2	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	0-3	0%
John Collins #20 · C · 6'9" 226 · 26	17.6	15	58%	5	1	1	0	0	1	0	5	1-1	100%	7-8	88%	0-5	0%

Keyonte George #3 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 20	28.9	14	70%	3	3	0	0	0	1	0	3	6-6	100%	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 32	27.7	20	59%	10	11	1	0	4	4	2	8	3-3	100%	7-10	70%	1-6	17%
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 22	26.6	11	79%	10	0	1	4	1	2	0	10	1-2	50%	5-5	100%	0-1	0%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 33	19.4	7	117%	5	6	3	0	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	19.0	2	17%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-5	0%
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 26	3.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 24	3.8	2	25%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Brice Sensabaugh #8 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Josh Christopher #13 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	60%	53	37	9	5	12	15	7	46	17-18	94%	37-52	71%	12-44	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	UTA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DAL

0.91 45.5%

UTA

1.20 59.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

64%

UTA

83%

Midrange

DAL

32%

UTA

57%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

16.5

28%

41%

UTA

18.0

27%

41%

Free Throws

DAL

50%

UTA

94%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Dončić	19	41%	9.5 / 23
J. Hardy	17	57%	8.5 / 15
K. Irving	14	50%	7.0 / 14
D. Lively	10	63%	5.0 / 8
D. Jones	6	60%	3.0 / 5
T. Hardaway	6	33%	3.0 / 9
D. Exum	4	67%	2.0 / 3
G. Williams	4	29%	2.0 / 7
D. Powell	4	67%	2.0 / 3
B. Williams	4	67%	2.0 / 3
R. Holmes	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Green	0	-	0.0 / 4
O. Prosper	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Fontecchio	24	71%	12.0 / 17
J. Clarkson	20	59%	10.0 / 17
L. Markkanen	17	71%	8.5 / 12
J. Collins	15	58%	7.5 / 13
K. George	14	70%	7.0 / 10
W. Kessler	11	79%	5.5 / 7
C. Sexton	8	40%	4.0 / 10
K. Dunn	7	88%	3.5 / 4
K. Olynyk	7	117%	3.5 / 3
O. Agbaji	2	17%	1.0 / 6
L. Samanic	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 117.0 18 114.6	DAL 87.4 UTA 123.3 +35.9
Pace	7 100.6 9 100.5	DAL 104.1 +2.2 UTA 101.9
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.3 16 14.6	DAL 13.8 −0.3 UTA 14.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 56.2% 18 53.9%	DAL 45.7% UTA 57.3% +11.6%
TO %	5 12.0% 30 14.8%	DAL 14.1% UTA 11.1% −3.0%
ORB %	24 22.2% 2 28.1%	DAL 14.8% UTA 17.5% +2.7%
FTrt	13 25.1 11 25.1	DAL 10.8 UTA 18.8 +8.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 59.6% 10 64.8%	DAL 75.7% +0.2% UTA 75.5%
STL %	27 6.8% 29 6.5%	DAL 5.8% UTA 8.7% +2.9%
BLK %	26 8.7% 3 11.1%	DAL 11.5% +2.1% UTA 9.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 58.1% 15 56.5%	DAL 45.5% UTA 59.9% +14.4%
Rim FG%	3 68.0% 11 65.2%	DAL 64.3% UTA 82.8% +18.5%
Mid FG%	10 44.7% 20 41.3%	DAL 32.0% UTA 56.5% +24.5%
3P %	13 36.9% 22 35.4%	DAL 27.5% +0.2% UTA 27.3%
FT %	27 75.8% 1 83.0%	DAL 50.0% UTA 94.4% +44.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30 29.3% 20 32.6%	DAL 30.1% UTA 30.2% +0.1%
Mid Att. %	13 26.6% 15 26.8%	DAL 26.9% UTA 24.0% −2.9%
3P Att. %	2 44.1% 10 40.6%	DAL 43.0% UTA 45.8% +2.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DAL	UTA
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	90	127
Rebounds	41	53
Assists	28	37
Steals	6	9
Blocks	6	5
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	12 (1)
Fouls	15	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (4)	7 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (0)	46 (2)
Field Goals	37-93	49-96
At-the-Rim FG	18-28	24-29
Midrange FG	8-25	13-23
2-Point FG	26-53	37-52
3-Point FG	11-40	12-44
Free Throws	5-10	17-18
Fast Break Pts	6	15
2nd Chance Pts	10	15
Points in Paint	48	66
Pts off Turnovers	8	18
Bench Points	37	56
Biggest Lead	3	39

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg