Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Heat	39%	109	104	108.3	96	97.8
	8	Clippers	61%	113	121	126.0	96	94.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 23	38.5	15	50%	4	2	4	0	2	2	3	1	3-4	75%	6-10	60%	0-3	0%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 26	35.8	21	46%	15	4	0	0	3	3	3	12	9-13	69%	6-15	40%	0-2	0%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	34.6	12	46%	6	6	2	0	3	1	0	6	0-0	-	0-5	0%	4-8	50%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	34.5	9	38%	3	1	1	1	0	3	3	0	0-0	-	3-8	38%	1-4	25%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 38	24.4	8	67%	1	3	0	0	3	3	1	0	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%

Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 30	26.1	15	75%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	6-6	100%	0-1	0%	3-7	43%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35	22.5	17	71%	4	3	0	2	1	2	2	2	2-2	100%	6-6	100%	1-5	20%
R.J. Hampton #4 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 23	11.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	3.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21	2.9	3	75%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	2.9	1	50%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25	2.9	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27	INACTIVE
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Back; Facet Syndrome
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Irritation
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	53%	35	24	7	3	13	17	12	23	23-29	79%	24-49	49%	11-34	32%

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17 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 23	38.5	15	50%	4	2	4	0	2	2	3	1	3-4	75%	6-10	60%	0-3	0%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 26	35.8	21	46%	15	4	0	0	3	3	3	12	9-13	69%	6-15	40%	0-2	0%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	34.6	12	46%	6	6	2	0	3	1	0	6	0-0	-	0-5	0%	4-8	50%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	34.5	9	38%	3	1	1	1	0	3	3	0	0-0	-	3-8	38%	1-4	25%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 38	24.4	8	67%	1	3	0	0	3	3	1	0	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%

Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 30	26.1	15	75%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	6-6	100%	0-1	0%	3-7	43%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35	22.5	17	71%	4	3	0	2	1	2	2	2	2-2	100%	6-6	100%	1-5	20%
R.J. Hampton #4 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 23	11.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	3.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21	2.9	3	75%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	2.9	1	50%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25	2.9	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27	INACTIVE
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Back; Facet Syndrome
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Irritation
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	53%	35	24	7	3	13	17	12	23	23-29	79%	24-49	49%	11-34	32%

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8 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul George #13 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 34	33.8	23	68%	3	2	1	0	3	4	0	3	6-6	100%	4-6	67%	3-8	38%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 33	33.7	24	60%	6	5	4	1	2	0	1	5	2-3	67%	8-14	57%	2-5	40%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 34	31.5	15	83%	4	10	1	2	2	1	0	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-5	60%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27	28.8	6	75%	12	1	0	0	1	4	1	11	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	17.8	12	86%	3	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	1-2	50%

Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 31	33.0	22	100%	2	2	2	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	5-6	83%	4-5	80%
Amir Coffey #7 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 27	18.5	5	83%	1	2	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Russell Westbrook #0 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 35	17.9	8	40%	4	3	2	0	2	0	2	2	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Daniel Theis #10 · C · 6'9" 243 · 32	16.3	6	75%	1	0	0	0	2	3	0	1	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Kobe Brown #21 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 24	2.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Moussa Diabaté #25 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 22	2.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Brandon Boston #4 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 22	2.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Mason Plumlee #44 · C · 7'0" 254 · 34
Bones Hyland #5 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 23
P.J. Tucker #17 · SF · 6'6" 245 · 39
Xavier Moon #22 · SG · 6'2" 165 · 29	INACTIVE
Joshua Primo #12 · SG · 6'4" 189 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jordan Miller #11 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	67%	37	25	10	3	15	20	6	31	13-14	93%	33-51	65%	14-29	48%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	LAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.05 52.5%

LAC

1.34 67.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

15

21

71%

LAC

18

26

69%

Midrange

MIA

9

28

32%

LAC

15

25

60%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

11

16.5

34

32%

49%

LAC

14

21.0

29

48%

72%

Free Throws

MIA

23

29

79%

LAC

13

14

93%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo	21	46%	10.5 / 23
K. Love	17	71%	8.5 / 12
J. Jaquez	15	50%	7.5 / 15
D. Robinson	15	75%	7.5 / 10
T. Herro	12	46%	6.0 / 13
J. Cain	9	38%	4.5 / 12
K. Lowry	8	67%	4.0 / 6
N. Jović	3	75%	1.5 / 2
C. Swider	3	150%	1.5 / 1
O. Robinson	1	50%	0.5 / 1
R. Hampton	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	24	60%	12.0 / 20
P. George	23	68%	11.5 / 17
N. Powell	22	100%	11.0 / 11
J. Harden	15	83%	7.5 / 9
T. Mann	12	86%	6.0 / 7
R. Westbrook	8	40%	4.0 / 10
I. Zubac	6	75%	3.0 / 4
D. Theis	6	75%	3.0 / 4
A. Coffey	5	83%	2.5 / 3
B. Boston Jr.	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 113.3 4 118.0	MIA 108.3 LAC 126.0 +17.7
Pace	29 97.0 20 97.9	MIA 97.8 +3.0 LAC 94.8
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.8 7 14.9	MIA 14.7 −0.5 LAC 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.8% 9 56.1%	MIA 48.8% LAC 67.5% +18.7%
TO %	9 12.2% 11 12.5%	MIA 12.8% −3.7% LAC 16.5%
ORB %	26 21.8% 16 24.4%	MIA 27.9% +7.2% LAC 20.7%
FTrt	8 25.7 10 25.6	MIA 34.9 +17.4 LAC 17.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 64.8% 24 60.4%	MIA 68.6% +15.4% LAC 53.2%
STL %	11 7.7% 7 8.0%	MIA 7.3% LAC 10.4% +3.1%
BLK %	30 7.7% 24 8.8%	MIA 5.9% LAC 6.1% +0.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.2% 7 58.4%	MIA 52.5% LAC 67.2% +14.7%
Rim FG%	23 61.6% 14 64.7%	MIA 71.4% +2.2% LAC 69.2%
Mid FG%	13 44.3% 5 45.6%	MIA 32.1% LAC 60.0% +27.9%
3P %	12 37.0% 6 38.1%	MIA 32.4% LAC 48.3% +15.9%
FT %	5 81.8% 3 82.5%	MIA 79.3% LAC 92.9% +13.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 29.5% 22 32.1%	MIA 25.3% LAC 32.5% +7.2%
Mid Att. %	28 31.1% 27 29.6%	MIA 33.7% LAC 31.3% −2.5%
3P Att. %	14 39.4% 19 38.3%	MIA 41.0% +4.7% LAC 36.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	LAC
Possessions	96	96
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.3
Points	104	121
Rebounds	35	37
Assists	24	25
Steals	7	10
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	15 (2)
Fouls	17	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (4)	6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (1)	31 (2)
Field Goals	35-83	47-80
At-the-Rim FG	15-21	18-26
Midrange FG	9-28	15-25
2-Point FG	24-49	33-51
3-Point FG	11-34	14-29
Free Throws	23-29	13-14
Fast Break Pts	4	19
2nd Chance Pts	20	9
Points in Paint	42	52
Pts off Turnovers	22	24
Bench Points	39	41
Biggest Lead	14	22

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg