Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Nuggets	47%	112	130	138.3	94	97.4
	8	Warriors	53%	113	127	132.3	96	92.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	38.4	34	89%	9	10	2	1	4	2	2	7	6-7	86%	11-14	79%	2-2	100%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	35.2	30	75%	9	2	0	1	0	2	5	4	6-7	86%	9-13	69%	2-4	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	34.8	8	50%	3	4	1	1	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	32.0	25	66%	2	6	2	0	0	4	0	2	8-9	89%	7-10	70%	1-6	17%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	30.5	8	67%	4	0	0	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%

Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	19.2	19	73%	5	0	0	0	0	1	1	4	5-6	83%	4-6	67%	2-4	50%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	18.5	2	25%	0	1	1	1	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	15.9	2	17%	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	9.3	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	6.2	2	100%	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	66%	36	28	7	4	7	15	11	25	25-29	86%	39-59	66%	9-26	35%

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6 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	38.4	34	89%	9	10	2	1	4	2	2	7	6-7	86%	11-14	79%	2-2	100%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	35.2	30	75%	9	2	0	1	0	2	5	4	6-7	86%	9-13	69%	2-4	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	34.8	8	50%	3	4	1	1	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	32.0	25	66%	2	6	2	0	0	4	0	2	8-9	89%	7-10	70%	1-6	17%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	30.5	8	67%	4	0	0	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%

Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	19.2	19	73%	5	0	0	0	0	1	1	4	5-6	83%	4-6	67%	2-4	50%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	18.5	2	25%	0	1	1	1	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	15.9	2	17%	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	9.3	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	6.2	2	100%	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	66%	36	28	7	4	7	15	11	25	25-29	86%	39-59	66%	9-26	35%

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8 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Klay Thompson #11 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 34	35.1	24	67%	3	3	1	1	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	4-10	40%
Stephen Curry #30 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 36	34.6	30	63%	4	6	1	1	2	1	0	4	3-3	100%	6-11	55%	5-12	42%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 39	30.2	9	64%	4	6	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Kevon Looney #5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 28	22.3	7	88%	4	3	0	0	0	5	2	2	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 21	18.9	16	80%	4	4	0	0	1	1	1	3	6-7	86%	5-6	83%	0-1	0%

Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 21	28.3	13	65%	2	5	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	3-4	75%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 29	27.3	11	55%	3	0	0	1	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-4	25%
Dario Šarić #20 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 30	22.7	13	81%	7	6	1	0	2	1	1	6	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 24	20.5	4	50%	2	2	0	0	2	4	2	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 22
Jerome Robinson #18 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 27
Cory Joseph #1 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32
Lester Quinones #25 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 23
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 34	DNP - League Suspension
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Usman Garuba #12 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Gary Payton II #0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	63%	33	35	4	3	8	20	9	24	14-16	88%	34-54	63%	15-36	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	GSW

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.31 65.7%

GSW

1.26 62.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

23

32

72%

GSW

22

28

79%

Midrange

DEN

16

27

59%

GSW

12

26

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

9

13.5

26

35%

52%

GSW

15

22.5

36

42%

63%

Free Throws

DEN

25

29

86%

GSW

14

16

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	34	89%	17.0 / 19
A. Gordon	30	75%	15.0 / 20
J. Murray	25	66%	12.5 / 19
P. Watson	19	73%	9.5 / 13
K. Caldwell-Pope	8	50%	4.0 / 8
M. Porter	8	67%	4.0 / 6
C. Braun	2	25%	1.0 / 4
R. Jackson	2	17%	1.0 / 6
Z. Nnaji	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Strawther	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	30	63%	15.0 / 24
K. Thompson	24	67%	12.0 / 18
J. Kuminga	16	80%	8.0 / 10
B. Podziemski	13	65%	6.5 / 10
D. Šarić	13	81%	6.5 / 8
A. Wiggins	11	55%	5.5 / 10
C. Paul	9	64%	4.5 / 7
K. Looney	7	88%	3.5 / 4
T. Jackson-Davis	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.9 10 116.9	DEN 138.3 +6.0 GSW 132.3
Pace	26 97.4 11 100.0	DEN 97.4 +4.6 GSW 92.8
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.0 17 14.4	DEN 14.8 −0.7 GSW 15.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.2% 12 55.7%	DEN 61.8% GSW 62.8% +1.0%
TO %	7 12.1% 23 13.6%	DEN 8.4% −0.9% GSW 9.3%
ORB %	6 25.5% 4 27.5%	DEN 31.4% +4.9% GSW 26.5%
FTrt	24 22.4 29 21.9	DEN 34.1 +16.3 GSW 17.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 66.9% 4 67.1%	DEN 58.3% GSW 71.4% +13.1%
STL %	20 7.3% 24 6.9%	DEN 7.4% +3.2% GSW 4.2%
BLK %	25 8.7% 23 8.8%	DEN 7.4% +2.3% GSW 5.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.5% 12 57.2%	DEN 65.7% +2.8% GSW 62.9%
Rim FG%	17 63.6% 5 66.3%	DEN 71.9% GSW 78.6% +6.7%
Mid FG%	3 47.0% 19 41.4%	DEN 59.3% +13.1% GSW 46.2%
3P %	10 37.4% 7 38.0%	DEN 34.6% GSW 41.7% +7.1%
FT %	25 76.2% 17 78.0%	DEN 86.2% GSW 87.5% +1.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 36.0% 25 31.0%	DEN 37.6% +6.5% GSW 31.1%
Mid Att. %	25 28.8% 12 26.5%	DEN 31.8% GSW 28.9% −2.9%
3P Att. %	30 35.2% 6 42.5%	DEN 30.6% GSW 40.0% +9.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	GSW
Possessions	94	96
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	130	127
Rebounds	36	33
Assists	28	35
Steals	7	4
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	7 (2)	8 (2)
Fouls	15	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (1)	9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (4)	24 (2)
Field Goals	48-85	49-90
At-the-Rim FG	23-32	22-28
Midrange FG	16-27	12-26
2-Point FG	39-59	34-54
3-Point FG	9-26	15-36
Free Throws	25-29	14-16
Fast Break Pts	6	4
2nd Chance Pts	15	14
Points in Paint	60	56
Pts off Turnovers	18	13
Bench Points	25	41
Biggest Lead	10	18

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg