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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 4, 2024
10:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Nuggets
130
7Warriors
127
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 25.5
30
30
8
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
58%
2-5
40%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.3
35
27
30
9
2
0
1
1
0
5
4
6-7
86%
9-13
4-7
69%
59%
2-4
50%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.9
38
30
34
9
10
2
1
1
4
2
7
6-7
86%
11-14
7-11
79%
62%
2-2
100%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.9
35
28
8
3
4
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
51%
0-2
0%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 26.9
32
29
25
2
6
2
1
0
0
0
2
8-9
89%
7-10
5-9
70%
52%
1-6
17%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 21.3
19
22
19
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
5-6
83%
4-6
2-4
67%
57%
2-4
50%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
18
21
2
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
54%
0-2
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 33.7
16
16
2
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
49%
0-0
-
Julian Strawther
G · 6'7" 205 · 21.7
9
14
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-1
0%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.0
6
13
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
60%
0-0
-
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 34.7
8
0
0-1
50%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.5
6
0
1-1
67%
Jay Huff
F · 7'1" 240 · 26.4
6
0
0-1
58%
Braxton Key
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.9
4
0
0-1
53%
Collin Gillespie
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.5
2
0
0-0
54%
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.6
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 26.7
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'4" 202 · 24.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 33.9
35
26
24
3
3
1
0
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
49%
4-10
40%
Jonathan Kuminga
F · 6'7" 225 · 21.2
19
29
16
4
4
0
1
0
1
1
3
6-7
86%
5-6
5-8
83%
59%
0-1
0%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.9
22
16
7
4
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-1
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
60%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 35.8
35
33
30
4
6
1
1
1
2
0
4
3-3
100%
6-11
4-8
55%
55%
5-12
42%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 38.7
30
28
9
4
6
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-1
0%
3-4
2-4
75%
52%
1-3
33%
Brandin Podziemski
G · 6'5" 205 · 20.9
28
28
13
2
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
53%
3-4
75%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 28.9
27
24
11
3
0
0
1
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
4-6
3-7
67%
52%
1-4
25%
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 29.7
23
15
13
7
6
1
0
0
2
1
6
2-2
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
54%
1-2
50%
Trayce Jackson-Davis
F · 6'9" 245 · 23.9
21
23
4
2
2
0
1
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
2-4
4-6
50%
58%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 33.8
7
0
1-1
57%
Moses Moody
G · 6'5" 211 · 21.6
6
0
1-1
60%
Jerome Robinson
G · 6'5" 188 · 26.9
2
0
0-0
43%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.4
2
0
0-0
50%
Lester Quinones
G · 6'5" 208 · 23.1
2
0
0-0
52%
Usman Garuba
F · 6'8" 229 · 21.8
Gui Santos
F · 6'6" 185 · 21.5
Gary Payton II
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.