Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 5, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Hawks	46%	125	116	108.4	107	102.9
	18	Pacers	54%	126	150	141.5	106	111.3

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+16

-14

109

IND

+10

-14

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.05 52.7%

IND

1.47 73.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

13 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 27	34.3	30	79%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	11-16	69%	2-3	67%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	30.1	9	50%	4	2	0	0	1	1	3	1	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	1-6	17%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22	29.0	12	55%	8	3	1	0	0	1	1	7	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	1-4	25%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	28.0	13	33%	2	6	2	0	3	2	0	2	4-5	80%	3-7	43%	1-11	9%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	19.4	9	45%	7	0	0	1	1	2	5	2	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	0-0	-

Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	23.4	16	42%	4	3	2	0	3	2	0	4	9-10	90%	2-5	40%	1-9	11%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	20.8	3	75%	6	1	0	1	0	1	4	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	19.4	6	100%	3	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	14.4	6	60%	2	2	1	0	2	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	7.0	6	100%	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	7.0	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	7.0	3	50%	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Subluxation
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Stress Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	53%	39	21	6	3	14	11	14	25	26-30	87%	30-51	59%	10-42	24%

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13 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 27	34.3	30	79%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	11-16	69%	2-3	67%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	30.1	9	50%	4	2	0	0	1	1	3	1	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	1-6	17%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22	29.0	12	55%	8	3	1	0	0	1	1	7	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	1-4	25%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	28.0	13	33%	2	6	2	0	3	2	0	2	4-5	80%	3-7	43%	1-11	9%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	19.4	9	45%	7	0	0	1	1	2	5	2	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	0-0	-

Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	23.4	16	42%	4	3	2	0	3	2	0	4	9-10	90%	2-5	40%	1-9	11%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	20.8	3	75%	6	1	0	1	0	1	4	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	19.4	6	100%	3	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	14.4	6	60%	2	2	1	0	2	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	7.0	6	100%	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	7.0	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	7.0	3	50%	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Subluxation
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Stress Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	53%	39	21	6	3	14	11	14	25	26-30	87%	30-51	59%	10-42	24%

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18 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	25.2	10	83%	8	18	2	1	2	1	1	7	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	22.9	11	79%	2	2	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-3	33%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	22.3	27	84%	5	3	1	1	1	0	2	3	5-5	100%	8-11	73%	2-3	67%
Bruce Brown #11 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 27	22.3	17	94%	3	2	0	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	7-8	88%	1-1	100%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	22.3	15	68%	2	3	1	1	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	6-9	67%	1-2	50%

T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	22.8	10	83%	3	10	3	0	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	22.1	9	75%	3	2	1	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	17.5	18	82%	3	4	0	0	0	2	1	2	4-4	100%	4-5	80%	2-4	50%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 31	16.8	11	61%	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-8	38%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 20	12.0	8	67%	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	9.8	7	88%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	9.0	3	50%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	8.2	2	33%	1	1	3	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	6.8	2	33%	3	0	0	0	1	3	1	2	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Mid-back; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	150	74%	39	50	12	3	14	24	8	31	11-13	85%	41-55	75%	19-39	49%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	IND
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.05 52.7%

IND

1.47 73.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

64%

IND

71%

Midrange

ATL

54%

IND

80%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

15.0

24%

36%

IND

28.5

49%

73%

Free Throws

ATL

87%

IND

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Murray	30	79%	15.0 / 19
B. Bogdanović	16	42%	8.0 / 19
T. Young	13	33%	6.5 / 20
J. Johnson	12	55%	6.0 / 11
S. Bey	9	50%	4.5 / 9
C. Capela	9	45%	4.5 / 10
G. Mathews	6	100%	3.0 / 3
T. Forrest	6	60%	3.0 / 5
B. Fernando	6	100%	3.0 / 3
O. Okongwu	3	75%	1.5 / 2
S. Lundy	3	75%	1.5 / 2
A. Griffin	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Turner	27	84%	13.5 / 16
B. Mathurin	18	82%	9.0 / 11
B. Brown	17	94%	8.5 / 9
A. Nesmith	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Smith	11	79%	5.5 / 7
B. Hield	11	61%	5.5 / 9
T. Haliburton	10	83%	5.0 / 6
T. McConnell	10	83%	5.0 / 6
O. Toppin	9	75%	4.5 / 6
J. Walker	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Nwora	7	88%	3.5 / 4
B. Sheppard	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Johnson	2	33%	1.0 / 3
I. Jackson	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 116.4 2 120.6	ATL 108.4 IND 141.5 +33.1
Pace	6 100.9 2 102.3	ATL 102.9 IND 111.3 +8.4
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.2 29 13.7	ATL 14.0 IND 12.9 −1.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 53.9% 1 57.8%	ATL 48.4% IND 73.9% +25.5%
TO %	13 12.5% 6 12.0%	ATL 11.6% −2.2% IND 13.8%
ORB %	5 27.1% 20 23.8%	ATL 31.1% +6.9% IND 24.2%
FTrt	12 25.1 26 22.2	ATL 32.3 +18.5 IND 13.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 61.8% 6 65.4%	ATL 52.5% IND 83.3% +30.8%
STL %	18 7.4% 15 7.5%	ATL 5.6% IND 11.3% +5.7%
BLK %	21 9.0% 14 9.5%	ATL 5.5% IND 5.9% +0.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 56.3% 2 59.4%	ATL 52.7% IND 73.5% +20.8%
Rim FG%	28 60.3% 7 65.9%	ATL 64.0% IND 71.4% +7.4%
Mid FG%	6 45.2% 1 48.8%	ATL 53.8% IND 80.0% +26.2%
3P %	17 36.4% 9 37.4%	ATL 23.8% IND 48.7% +24.9%
FT %	8 79.7% 13 78.2%	ATL 86.7% +2.1% IND 84.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 32.8% 3 36.5%	ATL 26.9% IND 37.2% +10.4%
Mid Att. %	11 26.5% 6 25.4%	ATL 28.0% IND 21.3% −6.7%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 20 38.0%	ATL 45.2% +3.7% IND 41.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.

Game Totals	ATL	IND
Possessions	107	106
Possession Minutes	25.0	22.9
Points	116	150
Rebounds	39	39
Assists	21	50
Steals	6	12
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	14 (2)
Fouls	11	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (2)	8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (0)	31 (8)
Field Goals	40-93	60-94
At-the-Rim FG	16-25	25-35
Midrange FG	14-26	16-20
2-Point FG	30-51	41-55
3-Point FG	10-42	19-39
Free Throws	26-30	11-13
Fast Break Pts	23	23
2nd Chance Pts	13	14
Points in Paint	58	66
Pts off Turnovers	15	14
Bench Points	43	70
Biggest Lead	6	38

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg