Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 5, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Blazers	35%	111	103	94.5	109	109.4
	22	Mavericks	65%	117	139	127.5	109	108.6

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+14

-18

105

DAL

+11

-17

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

0.98 49.0%

DAL

1.35 67.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	33.2	17	57%	3	10	1	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	4-8	50%	3-7	43%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	26.9	16	62%	7	2	0	0	3	3	4	3	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	1-3	33%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	24.2	10	50%	7	1	1	0	2	2	1	6	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	2-7	29%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 25	23.1	6	33%	5	4	0	0	2	1	0	5	3-3	100%	0-4	0%	1-4	25%
Jerami Grant #9 · SF · 6'7" 213 · 30	22.6	18	69%	1	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	4-5	80%	4-8	50%	2-3	67%

Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	23.7	15	44%	5	2	0	1	2	2	1	4	4-4	100%	4-9	44%	1-6	17%
Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 23	20.0	10	63%	4	1	2	0	1	0	2	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	18.6	7	70%	3	0	0	0	2	3	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	17.7	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	16.4	4	22%	3	3	1	0	3	0	0	3	0-2	0%	2-4	50%	0-4	0%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 27	13.7	0	0%	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Skylar Mays #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ish Wainright #23 · SF · 6'5" 250 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinitis
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Sprain
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	49%	42	27	9	3	18	15	10	32	12-17	71%	26-55	47%	13-40	33%

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27 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	33.2	17	57%	3	10	1	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	4-8	50%	3-7	43%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	26.9	16	62%	7	2	0	0	3	3	4	3	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	1-3	33%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	24.2	10	50%	7	1	1	0	2	2	1	6	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	2-7	29%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 25	23.1	6	33%	5	4	0	0	2	1	0	5	3-3	100%	0-4	0%	1-4	25%
Jerami Grant #9 · SF · 6'7" 213 · 30	22.6	18	69%	1	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	4-5	80%	4-8	50%	2-3	67%

Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	23.7	15	44%	5	2	0	1	2	2	1	4	4-4	100%	4-9	44%	1-6	17%
Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 23	20.0	10	63%	4	1	2	0	1	0	2	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	18.6	7	70%	3	0	0	0	2	3	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	17.7	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	16.4	4	22%	3	3	1	0	3	0	0	3	0-2	0%	2-4	50%	0-4	0%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 27	13.7	0	0%	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Skylar Mays #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ish Wainright #23 · SF · 6'5" 250 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinitis
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Sprain
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	49%	42	27	9	3	18	15	10	32	12-17	71%	26-55	47%	13-40	33%

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22 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 22	32.5	19	68%	9	9	1	0	4	2	2	7	0-0	-	5-7	71%	3-7	43%
Kyrie Irving #11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 32	28.9	24	67%	9	5	2	2	1	0	0	9	1-1	100%	7-11	64%	3-7	43%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 32	25.7	6	50%	9	3	1	1	2	0	2	7	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Josh Green #8 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 23	25.3	14	88%	5	5	1	0	1	0	2	3	0-0	-	7-8	88%	0-0	-
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 27	20.5	12	100%	3	0	3	0	3	4	0	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-3	67%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	26.6	19	68%	2	4	1	1	2	3	0	2	0-1	0%	5-7	71%	3-7	43%
A.J. Lawson #9 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 23	24.9	14	70%	5	2	2	0	2	5	1	4	5-6	83%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 33	20.0	9	50%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 22	13.8	8	57%	6	3	0	0	0	3	1	5	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Greg Brown III #13 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 22	11.9	7	70%	2	1	0	3	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Brandon Williams #00 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	9.9	7	88%	0	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Grant Williams #3 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Contusion
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Swelling
Maxi Kleber #42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Small Toe; Dislocation
Richaun Holmes #20 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 30	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	139	68%	52	35	11	8	17	21	10	42	10-15	67%	39-58	67%	17-38	45%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

POR

0.98 49.0%

DAL

1.35 67.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

53%

DAL

79%

Midrange

POR

40%

DAL

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

19.5

33%

49%

DAL

25.5

45%

67%

Free Throws

POR

71%

DAL

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Grant	18	69%	9.0 / 13
S. Henderson	17	57%	8.5 / 15
D. Reath	16	62%	8.0 / 13
S. Sharpe	15	44%	7.5 / 17
T. Camara	10	50%	5.0 / 10
K. Murray	10	63%	5.0 / 8
R. Rupert	7	70%	3.5 / 5
A. Simons	6	33%	3.0 / 9
M. Brogdon	4	22%	2.0 / 9
I. Badji	0	-	0.0 / 1
M. Thybulle	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Irving	24	67%	12.0 / 18
J. Hardy	19	68%	9.5 / 14
T. Hardaway	19	68%	9.5 / 14
J. Green	14	88%	7.0 / 8
A. Lawson	14	70%	7.0 / 10
D. Jones	12	100%	6.0 / 6
S. Curry	9	50%	4.5 / 9
O. Prosper	8	57%	4.0 / 7
G. Brown III	7	70%	3.5 / 5
B. Williams	7	88%	3.5 / 4
D. Powell	6	50%	3.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 107.7 8 117.0	POR 94.5 DAL 127.5 +33.0
Pace	21 97.9 7 100.6	POR 109.4 +0.7 DAL 108.6
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.6 20 14.3	POR 13.2 −0.1 DAL 13.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 50.3% 7 56.2%	POR 47.9% DAL 67.2% +19.3%
TO %	29 14.6% 5 12.0%	POR 15.6% DAL 14.2% −1.4%
ORB %	3 27.5% 24 22.2%	POR 19.2% DAL 23.8% +4.6%
FTrt	23 22.8 13 25.1	POR 17.9 +2.3 DAL 15.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 58.7% 26 59.6%	POR 69.2% +6.7% DAL 62.5%
STL %	12 7.7% 27 6.8%	POR 8.3% DAL 10.1% +1.8%
BLK %	20 9.0% 26 8.7%	POR 5.2% DAL 14.5% +9.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.28 and 2.28.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	30 52.6% 8 58.1%	POR 49.0% DAL 67.5% +18.5%
Rim FG%	29 58.1% 3 68.0%	POR 53.3% DAL 79.4% +26.1%
Mid FG%	30 38.7% 10 44.7%	POR 40.0% DAL 50.0% +10.0%
3P %	30 34.5% 13 36.9%	POR 32.5% DAL 44.7% +12.2%
FT %	9 79.1% 27 75.8%	POR 70.6% +3.9% DAL 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 34.7% 30 29.3%	POR 31.6% DAL 35.4% +3.8%
Mid Att. %	23 28.3% 13 26.6%	POR 26.3% DAL 25.0% −1.3%
3P Att. %	24 37.0% 2 44.1%	POR 42.1% +2.5% DAL 39.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Game Totals	POR	DAL
Possessions	109	109
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	103	139
Rebounds	42	52
Assists	27	35
Steals	9	11
Blocks	3	8
Turnovers (Team)	18 (1)	17 (0)
Fouls	15	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (1)	42 (3)
Field Goals	39-95	56-96
At-the-Rim FG	16-30	27-34
Midrange FG	10-25	12-24
2-Point FG	26-55	39-58
3-Point FG	13-40	17-38
Free Throws	12-17	10-15
Fast Break Pts	12	36
2nd Chance Pts	21	8
Points in Paint	44	64
Pts off Turnovers	21	20
Bench Points	36	64
Biggest Lead	5	39

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg