Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 5, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Magic	28%	104	122	119.6	102	100.3
	2	Nuggets	72%	113	120	116.5	103	105.7

Scoring Opportunities

ORL

+12

-14

100

DEN

+16

-13

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.22 61.0%

DEN

1.13 56.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

24 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 21	40.7	32	53%	10	11	3	0	5	2	1	9	15-19	79%	7-17	41%	1-4	25%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27	37.8	19	63%	11	3	2	0	0	4	3	8	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	2-4	50%
Jalen Suggs #4 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	33.9	27	79%	4	1	0	1	2	3	2	2	2-4	50%	2-6	33%	7-9	78%
Chuma Okeke #3 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 25	28.5	3	38%	7	1	1	1	4	1	3	4	0-2	0%	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 20	4.7	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-

Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24	31.0	23	68%	2	4	1	0	3	2	0	2	4-4	100%	5-7	71%	3-8	38%
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	30.8	5	63%	5	2	2	1	0	4	1	4	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	24.1	8	57%	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Admiral Schofield #25 · PF · 6'5" 241 · 27	8.5	5	83%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24	DNP – Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinitis
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	INACTIVE
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Kevon Harris #8 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinitis
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	61%	40	25	9	3	14	20	11	29	23-34	68%	24-46	52%	17-36	47%

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24 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 21	40.7	32	53%	10	11	3	0	5	2	1	9	15-19	79%	7-17	41%	1-4	25%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27	37.8	19	63%	11	3	2	0	0	4	3	8	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	2-4	50%
Jalen Suggs #4 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	33.9	27	79%	4	1	0	1	2	3	2	2	2-4	50%	2-6	33%	7-9	78%
Chuma Okeke #3 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 25	28.5	3	38%	7	1	1	1	4	1	3	4	0-2	0%	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 20	4.7	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-

Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24	31.0	23	68%	2	4	1	0	3	2	0	2	4-4	100%	5-7	71%	3-8	38%
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	30.8	5	63%	5	2	2	1	0	4	1	4	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	24.1	8	57%	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Admiral Schofield #25 · PF · 6'5" 241 · 27	8.5	5	83%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24	DNP – Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinitis
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	INACTIVE
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Kevon Harris #8 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinitis
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	61%	40	25	9	3	14	20	11	29	23-34	68%	24-46	52%	17-36	47%

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2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	36.9	29	73%	4	8	3	0	2	3	0	4	3-4	75%	13-18	72%	0-1	0%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	36.2	16	80%	8	3	0	0	1	4	3	5	4-5	80%	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	33.4	20	42%	7	9	1	0	3	3	1	6	2-2	100%	9-17	53%	0-6	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	30.9	22	79%	3	1	2	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	5-8	63%	4-6	67%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	29.0	6	50%	3	2	1	1	3	1	1	2	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	0-3	0%

Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	17.3	11	46%	3	3	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-5	20%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	16.3	6	60%	4	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	12.8	4	33%	1	0	0	0	0	4	1	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	11.2	3	75%	2	0	1	0	2	4	1	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	10.1	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	6.0	3	50%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	57%	38	28	8	1	13	23	9	29	15-19	79%	39-62	63%	9-33	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.22 61.0%

DEN

1.13 56.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

58%

DEN

70%

Midrange

ORL

45%

DEN

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

25.5

47%

71%

DEN

13.5

27%

41%

Free Throws

ORL

68%

DEN

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Banchero	32	53%	16.0 / 30
J. Suggs	27	79%	13.5 / 17
C. Anthony	23	68%	11.5 / 17
M. Wagner	19	63%	9.5 / 15
C. Houstan	8	57%	4.0 / 7
T. Queen	5	63%	2.5 / 4
A. Schofield	5	83%	2.5 / 3
C. Okeke	3	38%	1.5 / 4
A. Black	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	29	73%	14.5 / 20
M. Porter	22	79%	11.0 / 14
J. Murray	20	42%	10.0 / 24
A. Gordon	16	80%	8.0 / 10
R. Jackson	11	46%	5.5 / 12
K. Caldwell-Pope	6	50%	3.0 / 6
C. Braun	6	60%	3.0 / 5
P. Watson	4	33%	2.0 / 6
Z. Nnaji	3	75%	1.5 / 2
B. Key	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Holiday	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 113.0 5 117.9	ORL 119.6 +3.1 DEN 116.5
Pace	27 97.4 26 97.4	ORL 100.3 DEN 105.7 +5.5
Avg. Poss. Time	2 15.2 4 15.0	ORL 14.4 DEN 13.6 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.1% 8 56.2%	ORL 60.4% +5.1% DEN 55.3%
TO %	24 14.1% 7 12.1%	ORL 13.4% DEN 11.2% −2.2%
ORB %	7 25.3% 6 25.5%	ORL 27.5% +3.8% DEN 23.7%
FTrt	1 28.7 24 22.4	ORL 41.5 +21.5 DEN 20.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 61.0% 5 66.9%	ORL 61.0% +2.7% DEN 58.3%
STL %	4 8.3% 20 7.3%	ORL 8.8% +1.0% DEN 7.8%
BLK %	13 9.5% 25 8.7%	ORL 4.8% +2.6% DEN 2.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.2% 11 57.5%	ORL 61.0% +4.4% DEN 56.6%
Rim FG%	9 65.4% 17 63.6%	ORL 58.3% DEN 70.3% +12.0%
Mid FG%	29 38.9% 3 47.0%	ORL 45.5% DEN 52.0% +6.5%
3P %	24 35.2% 10 37.4%	ORL 47.2% +19.9% DEN 27.3%
FT %	26 75.9% 25 76.2%	ORL 67.6% DEN 78.9% +11.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 38.2% 4 36.0%	ORL 29.3% DEN 38.9% +9.7%
Mid Att. %	5 24.9% 25 28.8%	ORL 26.8% DEN 26.3% −0.5%
3P Att. %	25 36.9% 30 35.2%	ORL 43.9% +9.2% DEN 34.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Game Totals	ORL	DEN
Possessions	102	103
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.4
Points	122	120
Rebounds	40	38
Assists	25	28
Steals	9	8
Blocks	3	1
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	13 (0)
Fouls	20	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (1)	9 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (2)	29 (3)
Field Goals	41-82	48-95
At-the-Rim FG	14-24	26-37
Midrange FG	10-22	13-25
2-Point FG	24-46	39-62
3-Point FG	17-36	9-33
Free Throws	23-34	15-19
Fast Break Pts	21	13
2nd Chance Pts	8	12
Points in Paint	38	66
Pts off Turnovers	17	24
Bench Points	41	27
Biggest Lead	6	18

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg