Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 5, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Pistons	19%	110	109	109.0	100	97.6
	7	Warriors	81%	123	113	114.1	99	101.5

Scoring Opportunities

DET

+16

-11

105

GSW

+13

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.04 51.9%

GSW

1.18 58.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bojan Bogdanović #44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	35.6	12	32%	5	3	2	0	1	0	2	3	0-0	-	3-11	27%	2-8	25%
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 22	35.5	30	65%	5	3	0	1	2	2	0	5	3-3	100%	12-15	80%	1-7	14%
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 20	32.8	13	93%	12	2	0	2	1	2	4	8	1-2	50%	6-6	100%	0-0	-
Jaden Ivey #23 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	23.9	12	60%	4	3	0	1	4	6	2	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Isaiah Livers #12 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 25	21.8	5	83%	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%

Kevin Knox II #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	23.1	18	69%	1	3	1	2	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	4-8	50%
Alec Burks #14 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 32	21.4	13	46%	4	2	0	1	2	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-10	30%
Killian Hayes #7 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 22	15.8	0	0%	1	5	2	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
James Wiseman #13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 23	15.2	4	33%	3	0	0	2	0	2	1	2	2-3	67%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 21	8.5	2	25%	4	1	2	0	1	3	0	4	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	6.4	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 25
Joe Harris #31 · SG · 6'6" 219 · 32
Malcolm Cazalon #20 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jared Rhoden #8 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Sprain
Monté Morris #5 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadriceps; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	52%	40	25	8	9	11	23	10	30	8-10	80%	31-54	57%	13-44	30%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

29 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bojan Bogdanović #44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	35.6	12	32%	5	3	2	0	1	0	2	3	0-0	-	3-11	27%	2-8	25%
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 22	35.5	30	65%	5	3	0	1	2	2	0	5	3-3	100%	12-15	80%	1-7	14%
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 20	32.8	13	93%	12	2	0	2	1	2	4	8	1-2	50%	6-6	100%	0-0	-
Jaden Ivey #23 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	23.9	12	60%	4	3	0	1	4	6	2	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Isaiah Livers #12 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 25	21.8	5	83%	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%

Kevin Knox II #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	23.1	18	69%	1	3	1	2	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	4-8	50%
Alec Burks #14 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 32	21.4	13	46%	4	2	0	1	2	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-10	30%
Killian Hayes #7 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 22	15.8	0	0%	1	5	2	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
James Wiseman #13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 23	15.2	4	33%	3	0	0	2	0	2	1	2	2-3	67%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 21	8.5	2	25%	4	1	2	0	1	3	0	4	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	6.4	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 25
Joe Harris #31 · SG · 6'6" 219 · 32
Malcolm Cazalon #20 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jared Rhoden #8 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Sprain
Monté Morris #5 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadriceps; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	52%	40	25	8	9	11	23	10	30	8-10	80%	31-54	57%	13-44	30%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

7 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 21	35.6	11	61%	6	1	0	0	4	2	0	6	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Klay Thompson #11 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 34	34.7	19	48%	3	4	1	2	2	2	1	2	4-4	100%	3-9	33%	3-9	33%
Stephen Curry #30 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 36	30.9	26	57%	6	4	1	1	4	0	0	6	8-9	89%	3-7	43%	4-12	33%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 39	23.5	8	80%	6	4	0	1	1	2	0	6	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Kevon Looney #5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 28	12.5	4	100%	4	1	0	0	0	2	1	3	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 21	24.6	11	69%	5	5	1	0	1	2	2	3	1-3	33%	2-5	40%	2-2	100%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 24	22.8	11	110%	9	0	0	1	2	2	2	7	1-1	100%	5-5	100%	0-0	-
Dario Šarić #20 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 30	22.5	17	77%	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	3-5	60%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 29	18.6	3	30%	2	2	0	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-2	50%
Cory Joseph #1 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32	8.6	3	75%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 22	5.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jerome Robinson #18 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 27
Lester Quinones #25 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 23
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 34	DNP - League Suspension
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Usman Garuba #12 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Gary Payton II #0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	59%	45	24	3	5	16	18	7	38	21-25	84%	22-44	50%	16-38	42%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DET	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	DET	GSW

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.04 51.9%

GSW

1.18 58.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DET

71%

GSW

72%

Midrange

DET

47%

GSW

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DET

19.5

30%

44%

GSW

24.0

42%

63%

Free Throws

DET

80%

GSW

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Cunningham	30	65%	15.0 / 23
K. Knox	18	69%	9.0 / 13
J. Duren	13	93%	6.5 / 7
A. Burks	13	46%	6.5 / 14
B. Bogdanovic	12	32%	6.0 / 19
J. Ivey	12	60%	6.0 / 10
I. Livers	5	83%	2.5 / 3
J. Wiseman	4	33%	2.0 / 6
A. Thompson	2	25%	1.0 / 4
K. Hayes	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	26	57%	13.0 / 23
K. Thompson	19	48%	9.5 / 20
D. Šarić	17	77%	8.5 / 11
J. Kuminga	11	61%	5.5 / 9
B. Podziemski	11	69%	5.5 / 8
T. Jackson-Davis	11	110%	5.5 / 5
C. Paul	8	80%	4.0 / 5
K. Looney	4	100%	2.0 / 2
A. Wiggins	3	30%	1.5 / 5
C. Joseph	3	75%	1.5 / 2
M. Moody	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 109.1 10 116.9	DET 109.0 GSW 114.1 +5.1
Pace	10 100.4 11 100.0	DET 97.6 GSW 101.5 +4.0
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.1 17 14.4	DET 14.8 GSW 14.2 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 52.6% 12 55.7%	DET 51.5% GSW 56.1% +4.6%
TO %	28 14.5% 23 13.6%	DET 9.7% −7.3% GSW 17.0%
ORB %	18 23.9% 4 27.5%	DET 20.8% +1.9% GSW 18.9%
FTrt	15 24.6 29 21.9	DET 10.2 GSW 30.5 +20.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 62.3% 4 67.1%	DET 56.8% GSW 63.2% +6.4%
STL %	30 6.4% 24 6.9%	DET 8.0% +5.0% GSW 3.0%
BLK %	17 9.3% 23 8.8%	DET 20.5% +11.2% GSW 9.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 54.9% 12 57.2%	DET 51.9% GSW 58.9% +7.0%
Rim FG%	21 62.2% 5 66.3%	DET 70.8% GSW 72.2% +1.4%
Mid FG%	18 41.7% 19 41.4%	DET 46.7% +12.1% GSW 34.6%
3P %	26 34.8% 7 38.0%	DET 29.5% GSW 42.1% +12.6%
FT %	12 78.5% 17 78.0%	DET 80.0% GSW 84.0% +4.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 34.6% 25 31.0%	DET 24.5% +2.5% GSW 22.0%
Mid Att. %	26 29.5% 12 26.5%	DET 30.6% −1.1% GSW 31.7%
3P Att. %	27 36.0% 6 42.5%	DET 44.9% GSW 46.3% +1.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DET	GSW
Possessions	100	99
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	109	113
Rebounds	40	45
Assists	25	24
Steals	8	3
Blocks	9	5
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	16 (3)
Fouls	23	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (6)	7 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (2)	38 (2)
Field Goals	44-98	38-82
At-the-Rim FG	17-24	13-18
Midrange FG	14-30	9-26
2-Point FG	31-54	22-44
3-Point FG	13-44	16-38
Free Throws	8-10	21-25
Fast Break Pts	15	2
2nd Chance Pts	10	21
Points in Paint	56	40
Pts off Turnovers	28	12
Bench Points	37	45
Biggest Lead	3	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg