Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 8, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Jazz	31%	113	132	134.7	98	92.4
	9	Bucks	69%	120	116	116.0	100	106.5

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

+13

-10

101

MIL

+15

-9

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.31 65.3%

MIL

1.09 54.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 27	31.9	21	55%	14	2	1	2	0	1	4	10	7-8	88%	1-5	20%	4-10	40%
Simone Fontecchio #16 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 28	31.6	5	42%	3	1	1	1	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
John Collins #20 · C · 6'9" 226 · 26	26.8	19	63%	3	1	1	0	3	3	0	3	0-0	-	5-8	63%	3-7	43%
Kris Dunn #11 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 30	24.2	5	125%	4	13	1	2	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Collin Sexton #2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25	18.2	19	73%	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	5-7	71%	3-6	50%

Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 32	31.1	21	66%	4	6	0	1	1	0	1	3	5-5	100%	5-11	45%	2-3	67%
Keyonte George #3 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 20	22.4	19	73%	6	4	0	0	2	0	0	6	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	4-9	44%
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 22	21.2	8	67%	6	0	1	2	0	1	2	4	2-4	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 33	17.4	13	81%	6	3	0	0	2	4	2	4	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	2-2	100%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	15.1	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Brice Sensabaugh #8 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Josh Christopher #13 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	65%	47	33	6	8	10	15	10	37	18-22	82%	27-46	59%	20-44	45%

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25 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 27	31.9	21	55%	14	2	1	2	0	1	4	10	7-8	88%	1-5	20%	4-10	40%
Simone Fontecchio #16 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 28	31.6	5	42%	3	1	1	1	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
John Collins #20 · C · 6'9" 226 · 26	26.8	19	63%	3	1	1	0	3	3	0	3	0-0	-	5-8	63%	3-7	43%
Kris Dunn #11 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 30	24.2	5	125%	4	13	1	2	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Collin Sexton #2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25	18.2	19	73%	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	5-7	71%	3-6	50%

Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 32	31.1	21	66%	4	6	0	1	1	0	1	3	5-5	100%	5-11	45%	2-3	67%
Keyonte George #3 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 20	22.4	19	73%	6	4	0	0	2	0	0	6	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	4-9	44%
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 22	21.2	8	67%	6	0	1	2	0	1	2	4	2-4	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 33	17.4	13	81%	6	3	0	0	2	4	2	4	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	2-2	100%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	15.1	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Brice Sensabaugh #8 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Josh Christopher #13 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	65%	47	33	6	8	10	15	10	37	18-22	82%	27-46	59%	20-44	45%

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9 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 29	38.4	25	52%	10	11	0	0	4	5	4	6	5-9	56%	10-18	56%	0-2	0%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 36	37.8	13	59%	6	3	0	2	0	2	1	5	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-6	50%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 32	33.6	23	64%	3	8	2	1	3	1	0	3	6-6	100%	4-10	40%	3-6	50%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 22	26.4	7	50%	5	3	0	2	1	2	2	3	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Malik Beasley #5 · PG · 6'5" 196 · 27	24.3	17	71%	4	2	1	1	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	5-8	63%

Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 31	21.9	6	100%	2	1	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	16.0	8	36%	3	0	0	0	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-2	0%
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	14.7	6	50%	2	0	1	0	1	1	1	1	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	14.3	3	25%	2	3	2	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	11.1	8	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 31	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Robin Lopez #42 · C · 7'0" 277 · 36	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
TyTy Washington Jr. #23 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cameron Payne #15 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	INACTIVE
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Surgery
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 33	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	55%	38	31	6	6	9	20	11	27	15-19	79%	25-58	43%	17-36	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.31 65.3%

MIL

1.09 54.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

64%

MIL

64%

Midrange

UTA

54%

MIL

23%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

30.0

45%

68%

MIL

25.5

47%

71%

Free Throws

UTA

82%

MIL

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Markkanen	21	55%	10.5 / 19
J. Clarkson	21	66%	10.5 / 16
J. Collins	19	63%	9.5 / 15
C. Sexton	19	73%	9.5 / 13
K. George	19	73%	9.5 / 13
K. Olynyk	13	81%	6.5 / 8
W. Kessler	8	67%	4.0 / 6
S. Fontecchio	5	42%	2.5 / 6
K. Dunn	5	125%	2.5 / 2
O. Agbaji	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	25	52%	12.5 / 24
K. Middleton	23	64%	11.5 / 18
M. Beasley	17	71%	8.5 / 12
B. Lopez	13	59%	6.5 / 11
B. Portis	8	36%	4.0 / 11
A. Green	8	100%	4.0 / 4
A. Jackson	7	50%	3.5 / 7
P. Connaughton	6	100%	3.0 / 3
C. Livingston	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Beauchamp	3	25%	1.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 114.6 6 117.6	UTA 134.7 +18.7 MIL 116.0
Pace	9 100.5 8 100.6	UTA 92.4 MIL 106.5 +14.1
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.6 19 14.4	UTA 15.6 MIL 13.5 −2.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 53.9% 4 56.8%	UTA 63.3% +9.6% MIL 53.7%
TO %	30 14.8% 10 12.2%	UTA 9.9% MIL 8.1% −1.8%
ORB %	2 28.1% 25 21.8%	UTA 27.0% +4.1% MIL 22.9%
FTrt	11 25.1 4 27.0	UTA 24.4 +4.2 MIL 20.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	10 64.8% 20 61.5%	UTA 70.2% MIL 73.8% +3.6%
STL %	29 6.5% 28 6.7%	UTA 6.1% +0.1% MIL 6.0%
BLK %	3 11.1% 28 8.5%	UTA 13.8% +0.8% MIL 13.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 56.5% 6 58.8%	UTA 65.3% +10.6% MIL 54.7%
Rim FG%	11 65.2% 4 67.9%	UTA 63.6% MIL 64.3% +0.7%
Mid FG%	20 41.3% 11 44.5%	UTA 54.2% +30.9% MIL 23.3%
3P %	22 35.4% 11 37.3%	UTA 45.5% MIL 47.2% +1.7%
FT %	1 83.0% 19 77.4%	UTA 81.8% +2.9% MIL 78.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 32.6% 24 31.5%	UTA 24.4% MIL 29.8% +5.3%
Mid Att. %	15 26.8% 7 25.4%	UTA 26.7% −5.2% MIL 31.9%
3P Att. %	10 40.6% 4 43.0%	UTA 48.9% +10.6% MIL 38.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	UTA	MIL
Possessions	98	100
Possession Minutes	25.5	22.5
Points	132	116
Rebounds	47	38
Assists	33	31
Steals	6	6
Blocks	8	6
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	9 (0)
Fouls	15	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (2)	27 (3)
Field Goals	47-90	42-94
At-the-Rim FG	14-22	18-28
Midrange FG	13-24	7-30
2-Point FG	27-46	25-58
3-Point FG	20-44	17-36
Free Throws	18-22	15-19
Fast Break Pts	7	21
2nd Chance Pts	20	13
Points in Paint	40	46
Pts off Turnovers	9	10
Bench Points	63	31
Biggest Lead	33	1

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg