Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 17, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Magic	44%	112	104	107.2	97	89.3
	18	Hawks	56%	114	106	110.4	96	105.0

Scoring Opportunities

ORL

+18

-13

102

ATL

+13

-23

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.02 51.0%

ATL

1.23 61.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 21	38.1	26	43%	4	4	2	1	1	1	0	4	9-11	82%	7-20	35%	1-5	20%
Chuma Okeke #3 · SG · 6'8" 230 · 25	29.8	6	33%	7	1	3	1	1	1	3	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-4	0%
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 23	27.7	16	100%	4	1	0	0	2	3	2	2	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	3-3	100%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24	24.0	10	63%	10	3	1	2	1	3	7	3	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	13.9	3	19%	1	0	1	0	0	3	1	0	0-1	0%	0-0	-	1-7	14%

Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 26	30.3	10	63%	4	1	3	0	4	5	1	3	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25	24.0	18	100%	5	2	2	1	0	1	2	3	3-4	75%	3-3	100%	3-4	75%
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24	21.9	10	42%	1	1	1	3	1	1	0	1	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 36	20.2	3	30%	4	3	1	0	3	4	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 26	9.8	2	50%	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 20	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Admiral Schofield #25 · PF · 6'5" 241 · 27	INACTIVE
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Kevon Harris #8 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	51%	40	18	16	8	13	22	16	24	16-22	73%	29-53	55%	10-35	29%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

23 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 21	38.1	26	43%	4	4	2	1	1	1	0	4	9-11	82%	7-20	35%	1-5	20%
Chuma Okeke #3 · SG · 6'8" 230 · 25	29.8	6	33%	7	1	3	1	1	1	3	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-4	0%
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 23	27.7	16	100%	4	1	0	0	2	3	2	2	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	3-3	100%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24	24.0	10	63%	10	3	1	2	1	3	7	3	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	13.9	3	19%	1	0	1	0	0	3	1	0	0-1	0%	0-0	-	1-7	14%

Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 26	30.3	10	63%	4	1	3	0	4	5	1	3	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25	24.0	18	100%	5	2	2	1	0	1	2	3	3-4	75%	3-3	100%	3-4	75%
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24	21.9	10	42%	1	1	1	3	1	1	0	1	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 36	20.2	3	30%	4	3	1	0	3	4	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 26	9.8	2	50%	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 20	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Admiral Schofield #25 · PF · 6'5" 241 · 27	INACTIVE
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Kevon Harris #8 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	51%	40	18	16	8	13	22	16	24	16-22	73%	29-53	55%	10-35	29%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

18 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	38.7	18	53%	3	12	1	0	8	3	1	2	7-7	100%	4-8	50%	1-6	17%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22	38.2	10	45%	9	3	2	0	4	3	0	9	3-5	60%	2-7	29%	1-2	50%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 27	36.0	26	68%	5	5	2	0	5	1	1	4	3-3	100%	10-14	71%	1-4	25%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	35.2	7	39%	4	0	0	0	0	2	2	2	4-4	100%	0-2	0%	1-5	20%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	27.3	12	100%	3	0	1	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	6-6	100%	0-0	-

Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	27.3	15	63%	9	0	0	1	2	3	3	6	1-1	100%	7-11	64%	0-1	0%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	23.9	12	75%	4	1	1	1	1	1	1	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	13.5	6	100%	4	0	1	0	2	1	2	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Stress Fracture
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Subluxation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	62%	41	21	8	2	23	17	10	31	20-22	91%	31-51	61%	8-25	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	ATL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.02 51.0%

ATL

1.23 61.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

85%

ATL

73%

Midrange

ORL

26%

ATL

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

15.0

29%

43%

ATL

12.0

32%

48%

Free Throws

ORL

73%

ATL

91%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Banchero	26	43%	13.0 / 30
W. Carter	18	100%	9.0 / 9
J. Suggs	16	100%	8.0 / 8
G. Bitadze	10	63%	5.0 / 8
M. Fultz	10	63%	5.0 / 8
C. Anthony	10	42%	5.0 / 12
C. Okeke	6	33%	3.0 / 9
C. Houstan	3	19%	1.5 / 8
J. Ingles	3	30%	1.5 / 5
J. Isaac	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Murray	26	68%	13.0 / 19
T. Young	18	53%	9.0 / 17
O. Okongwu	15	63%	7.5 / 12
C. Capela	12	100%	6.0 / 6
B. Bogdanović	12	75%	6.0 / 8
J. Johnson	10	45%	5.0 / 11
S. Bey	7	39%	3.5 / 9
G. Mathews	6	100%	3.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 113.0 12 116.4	ORL 107.2 ATL 110.4 +3.2
Pace	27 97.4 6 100.9	ORL 89.3 ATL 105.0 +15.7
Avg. Poss. Time	2 15.2 21 14.2	ORL 16.1 ATL 13.7 −2.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.1% 17 53.9%	ORL 50.0% ATL 56.6% +6.6%
TO %	24 14.1% 13 12.5%	ORL 11.7% −9.5% ATL 21.2%
ORB %	7 25.3% 5 27.1%	ORL 34.0% +4.6% ATL 29.4%
FTrt	1 28.7 12 25.1	ORL 25.0 ATL 28.9 +3.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 61.0% 19 61.8%	ORL 46.2% ATL 53.8% +7.6%
STL %	4 8.3% 18 7.4%	ORL 16.5% +8.2% ATL 8.3%
BLK %	13 9.5% 21 9.0%	ORL 15.7% +11.9% ATL 3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.2% 16 56.3%	ORL 51.0% ATL 61.6% +10.6%
Rim FG%	9 65.4% 28 60.3%	ORL 84.6% +11.9% ATL 72.7%
Mid FG%	29 38.9% 6 45.2%	ORL 25.9% ATL 38.9% +13.0%
3P %	24 35.2% 17 36.4%	ORL 28.6% ATL 32.0% +3.4%
FT %	26 75.9% 8 79.7%	ORL 72.7% ATL 90.9% +18.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 38.2% 18 32.8%	ORL 29.5% ATL 43.4% +13.9%
Mid Att. %	5 24.9% 11 26.5%	ORL 30.7% ATL 23.7% −7.0%
3P Att. %	25 36.9% 9 40.8%	ORL 39.8% +6.9% ATL 32.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Game Totals	ORL	ATL
Possessions	97	96
Possession Minutes	26.1	21.9
Points	104	106
Rebounds	40	41
Assists	18	21
Steals	16	8
Blocks	8	2
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	23 (0)
Fouls	22	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (2)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (2)	31 (6)
Field Goals	39-88	39-76
At-the-Rim FG	22-26	24-33
Midrange FG	7-27	7-18
2-Point FG	29-53	31-51
3-Point FG	10-35	8-25
Free Throws	16-22	20-22
Fast Break Pts	14	11
2nd Chance Pts	25	11
Points in Paint	52	58
Pts off Turnovers	28	18
Bench Points	43	33
Biggest Lead	7	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg