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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 17, 2024
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Magic44%111104
18Hawks56%114106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caleb Houstan
G · 6'8" 205 · 21.0
13.9
26.5
3
20%
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-1
0%
0-0
1-1
-
55%
1-7
14%
Paolo Banchero
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.2
38.1
33.8
26
44%
4
4
2
1
1
1
0
4
9-11
82%
7-20
8-15
35%
51%
1-5
20%
Goga Bitadze
C · 6'11" 245 · 24.5
24.0
23.1
10
63%
10
3
1
1
2
1
7
3
0-0
-
5-7
3-5
71%
63%
0-1
0%
Chuma Okeke
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.4
29.8
23.9
6
33%
7
1
3
1
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
51%
0-4
0%
Jalen Suggs
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.6
27.7
23.1
16
102%
4
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
52%
3-3
100%
Markelle Fultz
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.6
30.3
19.3
10
63%
4
1
3
1
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
53%
0-0
-
Wendell Carter Jr.
F · 6'10" 251 · 24.8
24.0
12.5
18
103%
5
2
2
0
1
0
2
3
3-4
75%
3-3
1-2
100%
59%
3-4
75%
Cole Anthony
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.7
22.0
24.1
10
43%
1
1
1
1
3
1
0
1
3-4
75%
2-4
3-7
50%
50%
1-6
17%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 36.3
20.2
15.4
3
30%
4
3
1
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
55%
1-5
20%
Jonathan Isaac
F · 6'10" 210 · 26.3
9.9
13.8
2
50%
0
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
53%
0-0
-
Anthony Black
G · 6'7" 200 · 20.0
0.1
13.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
58%
0-0
-
Moritz Wagner
F · 7'0" 241 · 26.7
15.6
0
3-4
66%
Trevelin Queen
G · 6'6" 190 · 26.9
9.7
0
1-1
54%
Kevon Harris
G · 6'6" 216 · 26.6
Franz Wagner
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.4
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.3
Admiral Schofield
F · 6'5" 241 · 26.8
Jett Howard
G · 6'8" 215 · 20.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Saddiq Bey
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.8
35.2
30.2
7
40%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
4-4
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
1-5
20%
Jalen Johnson
F · 6'8" 210 · 22.1
38.2
34.4
10
45%
9
3
2
1
0
4
0
9
3-5
60%
2-7
5-8
29%
61%
1-2
50%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 29.7
27.3
24.3
12
100%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
6-6
4-7
100%
61%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 27.3
36.0
31.5
26
67%
5
5
2
1
0
5
1
4
3-3
100%
10-14
5-10
71%
52%
1-4
25%
Trae Young
G · 6'2" 178 · 25.3
38.7
34.9
18
53%
3
12
1
1
0
8
1
2
7-7
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
50%
1-6
17%
Onyeka Okongwu
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 23.1
27.3
23.0
15
60%
9
0
0
1
1
2
3
6
1-1
100%
7-11
3-5
64%
65%
0-1
0%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.4
23.9
24.5
12
76%
4
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
52%
2-4
50%
Garrison Mathews
G · 6'5" 204 · 27.2
13.5
11.3
6
100%
4
0
1
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
2-3
67%
Trent Forrest
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.6
13.4
0
1-3
50%
Bruno Fernando
F · 6'10" 233 · 25.4
4.7
0
1-1
56%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 35.4
4.5
0
0-0
45%
AJ Griffin
F · 6'6" 220 · 20.4
3.5
0
0-1
53%
Seth Lundy
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.8
2.9
0
0-0
51%
De'Andre Hunter
F · 6'7" 225 · 26.1
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 37.3
Kobe Bufkin
G · 6'5" 195 · 20.3
Mouhamed Gueye
F · 6'11" 210 · 21.2
Vit Krejci
G · 6'8" 195 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.