Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 17, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Spurs	15%	105	98	100.0	98	106.6
	3	Celtics	85%	120	117	119.4	98	90.7

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+14

-10

102

BOS

+17

-12

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

0.96 48.0%

BOS

1.14 56.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

26 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 23	32.0	21	58%	2	3	1	0	1	1	0	2	7-8	88%	7-10	70%	0-5	0%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 21	30.5	5	28%	7	4	3	1	0	2	3	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-4	25%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	26.7	9	50%	4	11	0	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-5	20%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 20	26.6	27	61%	5	1	0	1	5	2	2	3	5-6	83%	8-13	62%	2-6	33%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 23	17.5	9	56%	5	0	0	0	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-2	50%

Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	23.2	5	63%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 21	21.4	5	42%	4	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	16.4	8	44%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	12.0	2	50%	5	1	0	0	0	2	2	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	11.8	2	25%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	7.4	0	0%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	4.8	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Mamadi Diakite #29 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 27	4.8	3	50%	2	1	0	1	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	4.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Acl; Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	48%	41	26	5	3	10	15	11	30	13-16	81%	32-59	54%	7-34	21%

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26 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 23	32.0	21	58%	2	3	1	0	1	1	0	2	7-8	88%	7-10	70%	0-5	0%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 21	30.5	5	28%	7	4	3	1	0	2	3	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-4	25%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	26.7	9	50%	4	11	0	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-5	20%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 20	26.6	27	61%	5	1	0	1	5	2	2	3	5-6	83%	8-13	62%	2-6	33%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 23	17.5	9	56%	5	0	0	0	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-2	50%

Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	23.2	5	63%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 21	21.4	5	42%	4	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	16.4	8	44%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	12.0	2	50%	5	1	0	0	0	2	2	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	11.8	2	25%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	7.4	0	0%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	4.8	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Mamadi Diakite #29 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 27	4.8	3	50%	2	1	0	1	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	4.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Acl; Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	48%	41	26	5	3	10	15	11	30	13-16	81%	32-59	54%	7-34	21%

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3 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jayson Tatum #0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 26	31.6	24	52%	5	2	0	0	2	2	0	5	3-5	60%	6-13	46%	3-8	38%
Jrue Holiday #4 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 34	31.3	22	79%	4	4	0	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-7	29%	6-7	86%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SG · 6'6" 223 · 27	31.3	21	62%	7	5	1	1	3	2	1	6	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	3-6	50%
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 29	30.4	6	60%	9	4	1	3	2	2	3	6	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Al Horford #42 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 38	24.6	9	113%	3	0	1	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-4	75%

Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 26	27.1	12	55%	3	4	1	0	0	2	1	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	2-4	50%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 26	20.0	7	58%	4	2	0	0	2	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 26	13.0	7	50%	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	3	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25	12.1	6	60%	8	0	0	2	0	5	4	4	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Lamar Stevens #77 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	4.8	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Svi Mykhailiuk #50 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 27	3.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Dalano Banton #45 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 24	3.9	1	17%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 20	3.0	0	0%	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 21	3.0	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Drew Peterson #13 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	57%	54	22	5	6	12	15	12	42	15-19	79%	24-52	46%	18-38	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	BOS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

0.96 48.0%

BOS

1.14 56.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

67%

BOS

63%

Midrange

SAS

35%

BOS

28%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

10.5

21%

31%

BOS

27.0

47%

71%

Free Throws

SAS

81%

BOS

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Wembanyama	27	61%	13.5 / 22
D. Vassell	21	58%	10.5 / 18
T. Jones	9	50%	4.5 / 9
J. Champagnie	9	56%	4.5 / 8
M. Branham	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. Sochan	5	28%	2.5 / 9
K. Johnson	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Barlow	5	42%	2.5 / 6
M. Diakite	3	50%	1.5 / 3
C. Osman	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. McDermott	2	25%	1.0 / 4
S. Mamukelashvili	2	50%	1.0 / 2
B. Wesley	0	-	0.0 / 2
D. Graham	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Tatum	24	52%	12.0 / 23
J. Holiday	22	79%	11.0 / 14
J. Brown	21	62%	10.5 / 17
P. Pritchard	12	55%	6.0 / 11
A. Horford	9	113%	4.5 / 4
S. Hauser	7	58%	3.5 / 6
O. Brissett	7	50%	3.5 / 7
L. Kornet	6	60%	3.0 / 5
N. Queta	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Davison	2	100%	1.0 / 1
D. Banton	1	17%	0.5 / 3
S. Mykhailiuk	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Walsh	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 109.4 1 122.2	SAS 100.0 BOS 119.4 +19.4
Pace	3 101.7 19 98.0	SAS 106.6 +15.9 BOS 90.7
Avg. Poss. Time	25 14.1 5 15.0	SAS 13.5 −2.4 BOS 15.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 53.2% 2 57.8%	SAS 45.7% BOS 56.7% +11.0%
TO %	26 14.3% 1 11.4%	SAS 9.1% −3.4% BOS 12.5%
ORB %	23 22.9% 12 24.9%	SAS 20.8% BOS 28.6% +7.8%
FTrt	28 22.0 25 22.4	SAS 17.2 BOS 21.1 +3.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 71.2% 21 61.3%	SAS 66.7% +14.3% BOS 52.4%
STL %	23 6.9% 26 6.9%	SAS 5.1% BOS 5.1%
BLK %	10 9.7% 7 10.7%	SAS 5.8% BOS 10.2% +4.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 55.1% 1 59.5%	SAS 48.0% BOS 56.8% +8.8%
Rim FG%	16 64.1% 2 68.1%	SAS 66.7% +3.7% BOS 63.0%
Mid FG%	24 40.5% 15 43.5%	SAS 34.8% +6.8% BOS 28.0%
3P %	28 34.7% 2 38.8%	SAS 20.6% BOS 47.4% +26.8%
FT %	14 78.2% 7 80.7%	SAS 81.3% +2.4% BOS 78.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 34.2% 26 30.1%	SAS 38.7% +8.7% BOS 30.0%
Mid Att. %	9 25.7% 1 22.8%	SAS 24.7% −3.0% BOS 27.8%
3P Att. %	12 40.1% 1 47.1%	SAS 36.6% BOS 42.2% +5.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.

Game Totals	SAS	BOS
Possessions	98	98
Possession Minutes	22.1	25.9
Points	98	117
Rebounds	41	54
Assists	26	22
Steals	5	5
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	12 (2)
Fouls	15	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (3)	42 (1)
Field Goals	39-93	42-90
At-the-Rim FG	24-36	17-27
Midrange FG	8-23	7-25
2-Point FG	32-59	24-52
3-Point FG	7-34	18-38
Free Throws	13-16	15-19
Fast Break Pts	10	13
2nd Chance Pts	11	15
Points in Paint	58	42
Pts off Turnovers	13	17
Bench Points	27	35
Biggest Lead	2	30

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg