for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, January 17, 2024
FinalWin Prob.pScore
11
Heat
55%110
97
20
Raptors
45%108
121
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
103.29494.1
TOR logo TOR
130.19392.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.97
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:05.8RaptorsRaptors turnover (shot clock violation)97
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:29.6HeatCole Swider turnover (bad pass) (Garrett Temple steals)97
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:38.6RaptorsJavon Freeman-Liberty makes two point putback layup97
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:38.6RaptorsJavon Freeman-Liberty offensive rebound97
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 0:39.4RaptorsJavon Freeman-Liberty misses two point driving floating bank jump shot97
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.9HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (Jalen McDaniels steals)97
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.8HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound97
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00RaptorsJalen McDaniels misses three point running jump shot97
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07RaptorsGarrett Temple defensive rebound97
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11HeatCole Swider misses three point turnaround jump shot97
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound97
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27RaptorsJavon Freeman-Liberty misses two point pullup jump shot97
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48HeatCole Swider makes two point running dunk (Orlando Robinson assists)97
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound95
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54RaptorsGarrett Temple misses three point jump shot95
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09HeatJosh Richardson makes three point stepback jump shot95
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21RaptorsRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 292
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21RaptorsRJ Barrett misses regular free throw 1 of 292
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)92
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (lost ball) (Thaddeus Young steals)92
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41RaptorsGary Trent Jr. makes three point jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)92
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55RaptorsScottie Barnes defensive rebound92
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot92
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20RaptorsThaddeus Young makes two point layup (Scottie Barnes assists)92
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40RaptorsRJ Barrett defensive rebound92
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 192
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42RaptorsThaddeus Young shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)92
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:00RaptorsThaddeus Young makes regular free throw 2 of 290
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:00RaptorsThaddeus Young misses regular free throw 1 of 290
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:00HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Thaddeus Young draws the foul)90
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:22RaptorsScottie Barnes defensive rebound90
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot90
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35RaptorsGary Trent Jr. makes three point jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)90
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46RaptorsScottie Barnes offensive rebound90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:48RaptorsScottie Barnes misses two point pullup jump shot90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13RaptorsGary Trent Jr. defensive rebound90
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 5:16HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot90
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 5:29RaptorsScottie Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 190
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 5:29HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Scottie Barnes draws the foul)90
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 5:43HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)90
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 6:00HeatHeat defensive rebound88
0.4%
106
99.6%
Q4 - 6:01RaptorsDennis Schroder misses three point jump shot88
0.7%
106
99.3%
Q4 - 6:27HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)88
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 6:44RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot85
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 6:56HeatCaleb Martin turnover (3-second violation)85
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 7:06RaptorsDennis Schroder makes three point jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)85
1.0%
104
99.0%
Q4 - 7:24RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound85
1.5%
101
98.5%
Q4 - 7:27HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot85
1.6%
101
98.4%
Q4 - 7:45RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)85
2.0%
101
98.0%
Q4 - 8:12HeatJosh Richardson makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Caleb Martin assists)85
3.1%
99
96.9%
Q4 - 8:30RaptorsGary Trent Jr. makes three point jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)83
2.5%
99
97.5%
Q4 - 8:46HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 283
3.9%
96
96.1%
Q4 - 8:46HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 282
3.7%
96
96.3%
Q4 - 8:46RaptorsThaddeus Young shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)81
3.6%
96
96.4%
Q4 - 9:05RaptorsScottie Barnes turnover (out of bounds bad pass)81
3.9%
96
96.1%
Q4 - 9:20HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)81
3.0%
96
97.0%
Q4 - 9:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound79
2.5%
96
97.5%
Q4 - 9:28RaptorsImmanuel Quickley misses two point driving floating jump shot79
2.3%
96
97.7%
Q4 - 9:34RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound79
1.9%
96
98.1%
Q4 - 9:37HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot79
2.1%
96
97.9%
Q4 - 9:48RaptorsGradey Dick turnover (offensive foul)79
2.4%
96
97.6%
Q4 - 9:48RaptorsGradey Dick offensive foul (Off the ball) (Josh Richardson draws the foul)79
1.9%
96
98.1%
Q4 - 9:58HeatCaleb Martin makes two point putback layup79
1.9%
96
98.1%
Q4 - 10:00HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound77
1.5%
96
98.5%
Q4 - 10:02HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot77
1.7%
96
98.3%
Q4 - 10:10HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound77
2.0%
96
98.0%
Q4 - 10:13RaptorsJontay Porter misses three point jump shot77
1.9%
96
98.1%
Q4 - 10:21RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound77
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 10:26HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot77
1.7%
96
98.3%
Q4 - 10:32RaptorsScottie Barnes turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)77
2.0%
96
98.0%
Q4 - 10:41HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Scottie Barnes steals)77
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 10:57RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point driving hook shot77
2.0%
96
98.0%
Q4 - 11:10HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)77
3.0%
94
97.0%
Q4 - 11:21RaptorsGradey Dick turnover (traveling)75
2.4%
94
97.6%
Q4 - 11:44HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)75
2.0%
94
98.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.73
1.6%
94
98.4%
Q3 - 0:10.2RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound73
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q3 - 0:13.0HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot73
1.8%
94
98.2%
Q3 - 0:28.1HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound73
2.0%
94
98.0%
Q3 - 0:30.6RaptorsJosh Richardson blocks Immanuel Quickley's two point driving floating jump shot73
1.9%
94
98.1%
Q3 - 0:43.4HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)73
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q3 - 0:56.8RaptorsImmanuel Quickley makes three point jump shot (Jontay Porter assists)70
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q3 - 1:09HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)70
2.2%
91
97.8%
Q3 - 1:21HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound67
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q3 - 1:23RaptorsChris Boucher misses two point running finger roll layup67
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q3 - 1:29HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Dennis Schroder steals)67
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q3 - 1:37RaptorsRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 267
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q3 - 1:37RaptorsRJ Barrett misses regular free throw 1 of 267
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q3 - 1:37HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)67
1.3%
90
98.7%
Q3 - 1:57RaptorsRaptors defensive rebound67
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q3 - 1:57HeatJosh Richardson misses two point running finger roll layup67
1.6%
90
98.4%
Q3 - 2:02RaptorsImmanuel Quickley turnover (lost ball) (Josh Richardson steals)67
2.3%
90
97.7%
Q3 - 2:07RaptorsImmanuel Quickley defensive rebound67
1.9%
90
98.1%
Q3 - 2:10HeatJosh Richardson misses two point pullup jump shot67
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q3 - 2:32RaptorsRJ Barrett makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Immanuel Quickley assists)67
2.3%
90
97.7%
Q3 - 2:46HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Chris Boucher draws the foul)67
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q3 - 2:46RaptorsChris Boucher offensive rebound67
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q3 - 2:47RaptorsRJ Barrett misses regular free throw 2 of 267
3.1%
88
96.9%
Q3 - 2:47RaptorsRJ Barrett misses regular free throw 1 of 267
2.8%
88
97.2%
Q3 - 2:47HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)67
2.4%
88
97.6%
Q3 - 2:52RaptorsRJ Barrett defensive rebound67
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q3 - 2:56HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot67
2.8%
88
97.2%
Q3 - 3:01RaptorsGary Trent Jr. personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)67
3.7%
88
96.3%
Q3 - 3:01HeatHeat offensive rebound67
3.7%
88
96.3%
Q3 - 3:01HeatNikola Jovic misses two point putback layup67
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q3 - 3:01HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound67
3.7%
88
96.3%
Q3 - 3:01HeatNikola Jovic misses two point tip layup67
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q3 - 3:01HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound67
3.7%
88
96.3%
Q3 - 3:01HeatJimmy Butler misses two point putback layup67
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q3 - 3:05HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound67
3.7%
88
96.3%
Q3 - 3:05HeatNikola Jovic misses two point tip layup67
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q3 - 3:05HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound67
3.7%
88
96.3%
Q3 - 3:08HeatNikola Jovic misses two point layup67
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q3 - 3:11HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound67
3.7%
88
96.3%
Q3 - 3:14HeatKyle Lowry misses three point running jump shot67
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q3 - 3:19RaptorsDennis Schroder turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)67
3.7%
88
96.3%
Q3 - 3:43HeatTyler Herro makes two point tip layup67
3.0%
88
97.0%
Q3 - 3:44HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound65
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q3 - 3:45HeatJimmy Butler misses two point running layup65
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q3 - 3:50HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound65
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q3 - 3:54RaptorsImmanuel Quickley misses three point jump shot65
2.5%
88
97.5%
Q3 - 4:03RaptorsDennis Schroder defensive rebound65
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q3 - 4:04HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating bank jump shot65
2.8%
88
97.2%
Q3 - 4:23RaptorsGary Trent Jr. makes three point jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)65
3.1%
88
96.9%
Q3 - 4:38RaptorsThaddeus Young defensive rebound65
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q3 - 4:42HeatNikola Jovic misses regular free throw 2 of 265
4.3%
85
95.7%
Q3 - 4:42HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 265
4.7%
85
95.3%
Q3 - 4:42RaptorsThaddeus Young shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)64
4.5%
85
95.5%
Q3 - 4:53RaptorsRJ Barrett makes two point putback layup64
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q3 - 4:54RaptorsRJ Barrett offensive rebound64
4.8%
83
95.2%
Q3 - 4:56RaptorsRJ Barrett misses two point driving floating jump shot64
5.5%
83
94.5%
Q3 - 5:14HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)64
5.6%
83
94.4%
Q3 - 5:30RaptorsRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 261
4.2%
83
95.8%
Q3 - 5:30RaptorsRJ Barrett misses regular free throw 1 of 261
4.3%
82
95.7%
Q3 - 5:30HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)61
3.9%
82
96.1%
Q3 - 5:32RaptorsImmanuel Quickley offensive rebound61
4.1%
82
95.9%
Q3 - 5:35RaptorsImmanuel Quickley misses two point floating jump shot61
4.6%
82
95.4%
Q3 - 5:52HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)61
4.1%
82
95.9%
Q3 - 5:55HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound61
4.8%
82
95.2%
Q3 - 5:57RaptorsRJ Barrett misses three point jump shot61
4.6%
82
95.4%
Q3 - 6:20HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot61
4.6%
82
95.4%
Q3 - 6:31HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound59
4.1%
82
95.9%
Q3 - 6:34RaptorsScottie Barnes misses three point jump shot59
3.9%
82
96.1%
Q3 - 7:05HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot59
4.0%
82
96.0%
Q3 - 7:13HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound57
3.5%
82
96.5%
Q3 - 7:16RaptorsThaddeus Young misses two point fadeaway jump shot57
3.4%
82
96.6%
Q3 - 7:20RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound57
3.0%
82
97.0%
Q3 - 7:20RaptorsNikola Jovic blocks Dennis Schroder's two point driving layup57
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q3 - 7:29RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound57
3.0%
82
97.0%
Q3 - 7:29RaptorsThaddeus Young misses two point tip layup57
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q3 - 7:30RaptorsThaddeus Young offensive rebound57
3.0%
82
97.0%
Q3 - 7:31RaptorsScottie Barnes misses three point jump shot57
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q3 - 7:40HeatJimmy Butler makes two point reverse layup (Nikola Jovic assists)57
3.0%
82
97.0%
Q3 - 7:52RaptorsScottie Barnes turnover (offensive foul)55
2.6%
82
97.4%
Q3 - 7:52RaptorsScottie Barnes offensive foul (Off the ball) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)55
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q3 - 8:02HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)55
2.5%
82
97.5%
Q3 - 8:09HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound53
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q3 - 8:12RaptorsScottie Barnes misses three point jump shot53
2.1%
82
97.9%
Q3 - 8:34HeatNikola Jovic makes two point running finger roll layup53
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q3 - 8:41HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound51
1.7%
82
98.3%
Q3 - 8:43RaptorsImmanuel Quickley misses two point driving floating bank jump shot51
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q3 - 8:48RaptorsRJ Barrett offensive rebound51
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q3 - 8:50RaptorsGary Trent Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot51
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q3 - 9:07HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)51
1.7%
82
98.3%
Q3 - 9:20RaptorsRJ Barrett makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Immanuel Quickley assists)49
1.5%
82
98.5%
Q3 - 9:25RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound49
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q3 - 9:27RaptorsScottie Barnes misses two point driving floating jump shot49
1.9%
80
98.1%
Q3 - 9:54HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving hook shot49
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q3 - 10:05RaptorsRaptors turnover (shot clock violation)47
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q3 - 10:32HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Tyler Herro assists)47
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q3 - 10:40HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound45
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q3 - 10:42RaptorsRJ Barrett misses three point jump shot45
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q3 - 10:55HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)45
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q3 - 11:09RaptorsImmanuel Quickley turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)43
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q3 - 11:14RaptorsImmanuel Quickley defensive rebound43
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q3 - 11:17HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot43
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q3 - 11:40RaptorsImmanuel Quickley makes two point driving floating jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)43
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.43
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound43
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q2 - 0:00.4HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot43
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q2 - 0:03.2HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound43
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q2 - 0:03.2HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot43
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q2 - 0:06.5HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound43
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q2 - 0:12.4HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot43
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q2 - 0:31.1RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point tip layup43
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q2 - 0:31.1RaptorsScottie Barnes offensive rebound43
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q2 - 0:31.9RaptorsThaddeus Young misses two point driving finger roll layup43
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q2 - 0:39.2HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)43
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q2 - 0:39.2HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Immanuel Quickley draws the foul)43
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q2 - 0:51.5HeatHeat defensive rebound43
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q2 - 0:52.5RaptorsHaywood Highsmith blocks Immanuel Quickley's two point driving floating jump shot43
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q2 - 1:11HeatJimmy Butler makes two point reverse layup (Tyler Herro assists)43
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q2 - 1:29RaptorsRJ Barrett makes two point cutting layup (Scottie Barnes assists)41
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q2 - 1:41HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Scottie Barnes steals)41
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q2 - 1:52RaptorsGary Trent Jr. makes two point stepback jump shot (Thaddeus Young assists)41
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q2 - 2:08HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)41
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q2 - 2:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound39
2.7%
72
97.3%
Q2 - 2:22RaptorsScottie Barnes misses three point jump shot39
2.6%
72
97.4%
Q2 - 2:34HeatTyler Herro personal foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)39
2.4%
72
97.6%
Q2 - 2:50HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)39
2.4%
72
97.6%
Q2 - 3:07RaptorsRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 137
2.5%
72
97.5%
Q2 - 3:07HeatThomas Bryant shooting foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)37
2.6%
71
97.4%
Q2 - 3:10RaptorsJontay Porter defensive rebound37
3.1%
69
96.9%
Q2 - 3:13HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup37
3.2%
69
96.8%
Q2 - 3:19HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound37
3.5%
69
96.5%
Q2 - 3:22RaptorsGary Trent Jr. misses three point jump shot37
3.3%
69
96.7%
Q2 - 3:36HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving floating jump shot37
3.0%
69
97.0%
Q2 - 3:54RaptorsImmanuel Quickley makes two point driving floating bank jump shot35
2.8%
69
97.2%
Q2 - 3:59RaptorsImmanuel Quickley defensive rebound35
3.0%
67
97.0%
Q2 - 4:01HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot35
3.6%
67
96.4%
Q2 - 4:05HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound35
3.9%
67
96.1%
Q2 - 4:07RaptorsJontay Porter misses three point jump shot35
3.8%
67
96.2%
Q2 - 4:19HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)35
3.5%
67
96.5%
Q2 - 4:34HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound33
3.1%
67
96.9%
Q2 - 4:36RaptorsJontay Porter misses two point jump shot33
3.0%
67
97.0%
Q2 - 4:51HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating bank jump shot33
2.8%
67
97.2%
Q2 - 5:04RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point driving reverse layup31
2.7%
67
97.3%
Q2 - 5:21RaptorsImmanuel Quickley defensive rebound31
2.9%
65
97.1%
Q2 - 5:24HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot31
3.0%
65
97.0%
Q2 - 5:27HeatHeat offensive rebound31
3.3%
65
96.7%
Q2 - 5:27HeatJontay Porter blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving finger roll layup31
3.0%
65
97.0%
Q2 - 5:38RaptorsScottie Barnes turnover (offensive foul)31
3.3%
65
96.7%
Q2 - 5:38RaptorsScottie Barnes offensive foul (Charge) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)31
2.9%
65
97.1%
Q2 - 5:41RaptorsImmanuel Quickley defensive rebound31
2.9%
65
97.1%
Q2 - 5:43HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 231
3.0%
65
97.0%
Q2 - 5:43HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 231
3.2%
65
96.8%
Q2 - 5:43RaptorsJontay Porter shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)30
3.2%
65
96.8%
Q2 - 5:53RaptorsGary Trent Jr. makes three point jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)30
3.0%
65
97.0%
Q2 - 6:11HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 230
3.9%
62
96.1%
Q2 - 6:11HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 229
3.9%
62
96.1%
Q2 - 6:11RaptorsImmanuel Quickley shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)28
3.8%
62
96.2%
Q2 - 6:22RaptorsDennis Schroder makes three point jump shot (Immanuel Quickley assists)28
3.6%
62
96.4%
Q2 - 6:37HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running finger roll layup28
4.3%
59
95.7%
Q2 - 6:42HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound26
4.0%
59
96.0%
Q2 - 6:44RaptorsImmanuel Quickley misses three point stepback jump shot26
3.9%
59
96.1%
Q2 - 6:52HeatThomas Bryant makes two point hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)26
3.5%
59
96.5%
Q2 - 7:14RaptorsGary Trent Jr. makes three point jump shot (Immanuel Quickley assists)24
3.5%
59
96.5%
Q2 - 7:33HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point running finger roll layup (Caleb Martin assists)24
4.3%
56
95.7%
Q2 - 7:34HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound22
3.9%
56
96.1%
Q2 - 7:37RaptorsJosh Richardson blocks RJ Barrett's two point driving floating jump shot22
3.8%
56
96.2%
Q2 - 7:52HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving floating jump shot22
3.5%
56
96.5%
Q2 - 8:16RaptorsJontay Porter makes three point jump shot (RJ Barrett assists)20
3.3%
56
96.7%
Q2 - 8:29HeatJosh Richardson turnover (out of bounds step)20
4.0%
53
96.0%
Q2 - 8:44RaptorsJontay Porter makes three point jump shot (Gradey Dick assists)20
4.4%
53
95.6%
Q2 - 8:53HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Gradey Dick steals)20
5.3%
50
94.7%
Q2 - 9:03RaptorsDennis Schroder personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)20
6.1%
50
93.9%
Q2 - 9:19RaptorsRJ Barrett makes three point jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)20
6.1%
50
93.9%
Q2 - 9:26HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point tip layup20
7.4%
47
92.6%
Q2 - 9:26HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound18
6.7%
47
93.3%
Q2 - 9:30HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving floating jump shot18
6.3%
47
93.7%
Q2 - 9:41HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound18
6.7%
47
93.3%
Q2 - 9:44RaptorsChris Boucher misses three point running jump shot18
6.5%
47
93.5%
Q2 - 9:48RaptorsRJ Barrett defensive rebound18
6.1%
47
93.9%
Q2 - 9:50HeatBam Adebayo misses two point alley-oop dunk18
6.3%
47
93.7%
Q2 - 10:00HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound18
6.7%
47
93.3%
Q2 - 10:04HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot18
6.6%
47
93.4%
Q2 - 10:23RaptorsChris Boucher makes two point turnaround hook shot18
7.1%
47
92.9%
Q2 - 10:24RaptorsChris Boucher offensive rebound18
7.7%
45
92.3%
Q2 - 10:25RaptorsRJ Barrett misses two point driving layup18
8.3%
45
91.7%
Q2 - 10:35RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound18
7.7%
45
92.3%
Q2 - 10:39HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot18
8.0%
45
92.0%
Q2 - 10:44RaptorsGradey Dick personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)18
8.5%
45
91.5%
Q2 - 10:46HeatHeat offensive rebound18
8.5%
45
91.5%
Q2 - 10:47HeatChris Boucher blocks Haywood Highsmith's three point jump shot18
7.9%
45
92.1%
Q2 - 10:47HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound18
8.5%
45
91.5%
Q2 - 10:50HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point fadeaway jump shot18
7.9%
45
92.1%
Q2 - 11:01RaptorsRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 218
9.2%
45
90.8%
Q2 - 11:01RaptorsRJ Barrett misses regular free throw 1 of 218
9.4%
44
90.6%
Q2 - 11:01HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)18
8.8%
44
91.2%
Q2 - 11:19RaptorsThaddeus Young defensive rebound18
9.2%
44
90.8%
Q2 - 11:22HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot18
9.4%
44
90.6%
Q2 - 11:38RaptorsGradey Dick makes three point jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)18
10.0%
44
90.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.18
11.8%
41
88.2%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound18
13.2%
41
86.8%
Q1 - 0:00.7HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot18
12.5%
41
87.5%
Q1 - 0:10.9RaptorsRJ Barrett makes two point running dunk (Gradey Dick assists)18
13.2%
41
86.8%
Q1 - 0:14.5HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Gradey Dick steals)18
14.4%
39
85.6%
Q1 - 0:30.4RaptorsGradey Dick makes three point pullup jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)18
15.6%
39
84.4%
Q1 - 0:50.1RaptorsThaddeus Young defensive rebound18
18.2%
36
81.8%
Q1 - 0:52.1HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot18
18.7%
36
81.3%
Q1 - 1:10RaptorsRJ Barrett makes two point driving floating jump shot (Gradey Dick assists)18
20.2%
36
79.8%
Q1 - 1:23RaptorsRJ Barrett defensive rebound18
21.7%
34
78.3%
Q1 - 1:27HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot18
22.2%
34
77.8%
Q1 - 1:53RaptorsThaddeus Young makes two point running layup (RJ Barrett assists)18
23.3%
34
76.7%
Q1 - 1:58RaptorsThaddeus Young defensive rebound18
25.1%
32
74.9%
Q1 - 2:00HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving reverse layup18
25.6%
32
74.4%
Q1 - 2:15RaptorsDennis Schroder makes three point jump shot (Gradey Dick assists)18
27.8%
32
72.2%
Q1 - 2:34HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)18
31.2%
29
68.8%
Q1 - 2:51HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound15
27.7%
29
72.3%
Q1 - 2:52RaptorsThaddeus Young misses two point tip layup15
27.1%
29
72.9%
Q1 - 2:52RaptorsThaddeus Young offensive rebound15
25.6%
29
74.4%
Q1 - 2:55RaptorsImmanuel Quickley misses two point driving floating bank jump shot15
27.1%
29
72.9%
Q1 - 3:03RaptorsGary Trent Jr. defensive rebound15
25.9%
29
74.1%
Q1 - 3:08HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot15
26.6%
29
73.4%
Q1 - 3:14HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound15
28.1%
29
71.9%
Q1 - 3:16RaptorsDennis Schroder misses three point jump shot15
27.4%
29
72.6%
Q1 - 3:24HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Gary Trent Jr. steals)15
25.9%
29
74.1%
Q1 - 3:24HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound15
28.1%
29
71.9%
Q1 - 3:26RaptorsKyle Lowry blocks Gary Trent Jr.'s two point driving layup15
27.4%
29
72.6%
Q1 - 3:35RaptorsThaddeus Young defensive rebound15
25.9%
29
74.1%
Q1 - 3:38HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot15
26.6%
29
73.4%
Q1 - 3:58RaptorsScottie Barnes makes three point running jump shot (Immanuel Quickley assists)15
28.1%
29
71.9%
Q1 - 4:04RaptorsImmanuel Quickley defensive rebound15
32.7%
26
67.3%
Q1 - 4:07HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot15
33.4%
26
66.6%
Q1 - 4:25RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point cutting dunk (Thaddeus Young assists)15
34.9%
26
65.1%
Q1 - 4:34RaptorsThaddeus Young defensive rebound15
36.4%
24
63.6%
Q1 - 4:37HeatScottie Barnes blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup15
37.1%
24
62.9%
Q1 - 4:55RaptorsGary Trent Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot (Immanuel Quickley assists)15
38.7%
24
61.3%
Q1 - 5:08HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving finger roll layup15
41.2%
22
58.8%
Q1 - 5:24HeatHeat defensive rebound13
39.5%
22
60.5%
Q1 - 5:25RaptorsImmanuel Quickley misses two point driving floating bank jump shot13
38.8%
22
61.2%
Q1 - 5:52HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Nikola Jovic assists)13
37.3%
22
62.7%
Q1 - 6:02RaptorsRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 211
36.0%
22
64.0%
Q1 - 6:02RaptorsRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 211
36.3%
21
63.7%
Q1 - 6:02HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)11
36.8%
20
63.2%
Q1 - 6:18HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk11
37.8%
20
62.2%
Q1 - 6:35RaptorsRJ Barrett makes two point driving dunk (Immanuel Quickley assists)9
35.9%
20
64.1%
Q1 - 6:44RaptorsRaptors defensive rebound9
37.8%
18
62.2%
Q1 - 6:44HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot9
38.4%
18
61.6%
Q1 - 7:03RaptorsGary Trent Jr. makes three point jump shot (Immanuel Quickley assists)9
40.4%
18
59.6%
Q1 - 7:12HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 19
43.9%
15
56.1%
Q1 - 7:12RaptorsRJ Barrett shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)8
43.6%
15
56.4%
Q1 - 7:30HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound6
40.3%
15
59.7%
Q1 - 7:33RaptorsScottie Barnes misses three point jump shot6
39.7%
15
60.3%
Q1 - 7:46HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 26
38.1%
15
61.9%
Q1 - 7:46HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 25
37.9%
15
62.1%
Q1 - 7:46RaptorsJontay Porter shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)4
37.6%
15
62.4%
Q1 - 8:00RaptorsImmanuel Quickley makes two point driving finger roll layup4
36.6%
15
63.4%
Q1 - 8:25HeatKyle Lowry makes two point pullup jump shot4
38.8%
13
61.2%
Q1 - 8:37RaptorsJontay Porter personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)2
37.3%
13
62.7%
Q1 - 8:52RaptorsImmanuel Quickley makes three point jump shot (RJ Barrett assists)2
37.3%
13
62.7%
Q1 - 8:55RaptorsRJ Barrett offensive rebound2
40.6%
10
59.4%
Q1 - 8:58RaptorsImmanuel Quickley misses three point stepback jump shot2
42.2%
10
57.8%
Q1 - 9:09HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot2
41.0%
10
59.0%
Q1 - 9:26RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point driving layup (Immanuel Quickley assists)0
39.3%
10
60.7%
Q1 - 9:37RaptorsImmanuel Quickley defensive rebound0
41.0%
8
59.0%
Q1 - 9:39HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot0
41.6%
8
58.4%
Q1 - 9:45HeatHeat offensive rebound0
43.0%
8
57.0%
Q1 - 9:46HeatJontay Porter blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving finger roll layup0
41.6%
8
58.4%
Q1 - 9:57RaptorsImmanuel Quickley makes three point stepback jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)0
43.0%
8
57.0%
Q1 - 10:13HeatNikola Jovic turnover (out of bounds lost ball)0
46.8%
5
53.2%
Q1 - 10:32RaptorsImmanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 2 of 20
48.8%
5
51.2%
Q1 - 10:32RaptorsImmanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 1 of 20
49.1%
4
50.9%
Q1 - 10:32HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Immanuel Quickley draws the foul)0
49.4%
3
50.6%
Q1 - 10:34RaptorsJontay Porter defensive rebound0
50.5%
3
49.5%
Q1 - 10:38HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot0
51.1%
3
48.9%
Q1 - 10:51RaptorsScottie Barnes turnover (out of bounds bad pass)0
52.5%
3
47.5%
Q1 - 10:57RaptorsJontay Porter offensive rebound0
50.5%
3
49.5%
Q1 - 10:58RaptorsJontay Porter misses two point tip layup0
51.9%
3
48.1%
Q1 - 10:58RaptorsJontay Porter offensive rebound0
50.5%
3
49.5%
Q1 - 11:00RaptorsJontay Porter misses two point running layup0
51.9%
3
48.1%
Q1 - 11:05RaptorsScottie Barnes defensive rebound0
50.9%
3
49.1%
Q1 - 11:09HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot0
51.5%
3
48.5%
Q1 - 11:34RaptorsGary Trent Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jontay Porter assists)0
52.9%
3
47.1%
Q1 - 11:39RaptorsRJ Barrett defensive rebound0
56.1%
0
43.9%
Q1 - 11:41HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot0
56.7%
0
43.3%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Scottie Barnes (Kyle Lowry gains possession)0
58.1%
0
41.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.5%
TOR
1.22 61.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
33
58%
TOR
14
24
58%
Midrange
MIA
16
29
55%
TOR
11
26
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
28
21%
32%
TOR
20
30.0
38
53%
79%
Free Throws
MIA
9
12
75%
TOR
11
18
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo1657%8.0 / 14
T. Herro1640%8.0 / 20
J. Butler1662%8.0 / 13
D. Robinson1464%7.0 / 11
N. Jović1050%5.0 / 10
C. Martin1083%5.0 / 6
J. Richardson536%2.5 / 7
K. Lowry422%2.0 / 9
H. Highsmith250%1.0 / 2
T. Bryant2100%1.0 / 1
C. Swider250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Trent28108%14.0 / 13
R. Barrett2665%13.0 / 20
S. Barnes2063%10.0 / 16
I. Quickley1750%8.5 / 17
D. Schröder975%4.5 / 6
J. Porter643%3.0 / 7
G. Dick6150%3.0 / 2
T. Young536%2.5 / 7
C. Boucher233%1.0 / 3
J. Freeman-Liberty233%1.0 / 3
G. Temple0-0.0 / 1
J. McDaniels0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+18
-14
98
TOR
83
+16
-10
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.5%
TOR
1.22 61.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.5
112.1
MIA 103.2
TOR 130.1 +26.9
Pace
96.7
99.6
MIA 94.1 +1.2
TOR 92.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
13.9
MIA 15.3 +0.2
TOR 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.8%
53.5%
MIA 48.9%
TOR 62.5% +13.6%
TO %
12.2%
13.4%
MIA 12.8%
TOR 11.1% +1.7%
ORB %
21.8%
24.2%
MIA 27.3%
TOR 34.2% +6.9%
FTrt
25.7
24.1
MIA 13.3
TOR 20.5 +7.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.8%
67.3%
MIA 58.5%
TOR 75.6% +17.1%
STL %
7.8%
7.7%
MIA 4.3%
TOR 9.7% +5.4%
BLK %
6.9%
8.7%
MIA 10.0% +3.5%
TOR 6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.2%
55.4%
MIA 49.5%
TOR 61.1% +11.6%
Rim FG%
61.2%
64.1%
MIA 57.6%
TOR 58.3% +0.7%
Mid FG%
44.2%
41.0%
MIA 55.2% +12.9%
TOR 42.3%
3P %
37.0%
34.7%
MIA 21.4%
TOR 52.6% +31.2%
FT %
81.8%
75.6%
MIA 75.0% +13.9%
TOR 61.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
36.6%
MIA 36.7% +9.4%
TOR 27.3%
Mid Att. %
30.2%
26.5%
MIA 32.2%
TOR 29.5% +2.7%
3P Att. %
39.4%
36.9%
MIA 31.1%
TOR 43.2% +12.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points97121
Rebounds3745
Assists2434
Steals49
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)10 (2)
Fouls1314
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (6)13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (3)32 (2)
Field Goals41-9045-88
At-the-Rim FG19-3314-24
Midrange FG16-2911-26
2-Point FG35-6225-50
3-Point FG6-2820-38
Free Throws9-1211-18
Fast Break Pts1013
2nd Chance Pts619
Points in Paint6846
Pts off Turnovers1021
Bench Points3524
Biggest Lead037

BOXSCORE

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11 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
35.8
16
57%
5
4
1
0
2
3
1
4
2-3
67%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
Tyler Herro
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 24
32.4
16
40%
7
3
0
0
3
2
1
6
0-0
-
5-11
45%
2-9
22%
Jimmy Butler
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 34
30.8
16
62%
5
5
2
0
1
0
2
3
4-5
80%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 38
29.0
4
22%
2
3
0
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-6
0%
Nikola Jovic
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 21
21.0
10
50%
7
2
0
1
2
1
3
4
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
1-2
50%
Caleb Martin
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28
25.6
10
83%
3
5
0
0
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30
23.4
5
36%
1
0
1
2
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 30
21.3
14
64%
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
67%
2-5
40%
Haywood Highsmith
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27
11.5
2
50%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
Thomas Bryant
#31 · C · 6'10" 248 · 26
4.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Orlando Robinson
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24
2.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Cole Swider
#21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25
2.4
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
Dru Smith
#9 · SG · 6'2" 203 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right knee; Surgery
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
#11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Groin; Strain
Jamal Cain
#8 · SF · 6'6" 191 · 25
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kevin Love
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 35
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Contusion
R.J. Hampton
#4 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
50%
37
24
4
5
14
13
12
25
9-12
75%
35-62
56%
6-28
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.