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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 17, 2024
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Heat
97
19Raptors
121
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 34.3
31
32
16
5
5
2
1
0
1
2
3
4-5
80%
6-11
6-11
55%
53%
0-0
-
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 20.6
21
22
10
7
2
0
1
1
2
3
4
1-2
50%
3-7
2-3
43%
55%
1-2
50%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 26.5
36
37
16
5
4
1
1
0
2
1
4
2-3
67%
7-13
8-15
54%
54%
0-0
-
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 24.0
32
32
16
7
3
0
1
0
3
1
6
0-0
-
5-11
5-10
45%
51%
2-9
22%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 37.8
29
22
4
2
3
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
0-6
0%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 28.3
26
26
10
3
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-5
3-5
80%
55%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.3
23
23
5
1
0
1
1
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
52%
1-4
25%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.7
21
27
14
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
57%
2-5
40%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.1
12
22
2
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
0-1
0%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 26.5
4
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
63%
0-0
-
Orlando Robinson
C · 7'0" 235 · 23.5
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
58%
0-0
-
Cole Swider
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.7
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 26.0
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 22.9
Jamal Cain
F · 6'7" 191 · 24.8
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 35.4
R.J. Hampton
G · 6'4" 175 · 22.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
RJ Barrett
F-G · 6'7" 202 · 23.5
36
33
26
8
3
0
1
0
0
3
5
7-13
54%
8-11
5-10
73%
50%
1-3
33%
Scottie Barnes
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.5
34
35
20
5
8
2
1
1
5
2
3
1-1
100%
8-10
5-9
80%
54%
1-6
17%
Jontay Porter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.2
18
17
6
4
2
0
0
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
57%
2-4
50%
Gary Trent Jr.
G-F · 6'5" 209 · 25.0
31
22
28
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
8-9
89%
Immanuel Quickley
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
30
31
17
8
9
0
1
0
2
1
7
2-2
100%
3-10
4-8
30%
50%
3-6
50%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 35.6
28
15
5
8
2
1
1
0
0
2
6
1-2
50%
2-6
2-3
33%
57%
0-0
-
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 30.3
27
29
9
1
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
50%
3-5
60%
Chris Boucher
F · 6'10" 200 · 31.0
18
14
2
7
0
0
0
1
0
2
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
59%
0-1
0%
Gradey Dick
G · 6'8" 205 · 20.2
12
4
6
0
4
2
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
2-2
100%
Javon Freeman-Liberty
G · 6'4" 180 · 24.2
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
51%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 37.7
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-1
0%
Jalen McDaniels
F · 6'10" 192 · 26.0
2
10
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-1
0%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 29.8
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 28.3
Christian Koloko
C · 7'1" 230 · 23.6
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 30.6
Markquis Nowell
G · 5'8" 160 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.