Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, January 25, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Nuggets	59%	114	84	91.3	92	97.8
	11	Knicks	41%	110	122	132.6	92	86.8

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+18

-19

NYK

+12

-8

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.92 46.2%

NYK

1.27 63.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	29.6	9	38%	2	7	0	0	3	1	0	2	2-3	67%	2-8	25%	1-3	33%
Aaron Gordon #50 · SF · 6'8" 235 · 28	29.5	12	55%	5	2	1	0	1	2	1	4	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	27.5	31	82%	11	3	0	0	7	1	4	7	3-3	100%	11-15	73%	2-3	67%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	22.3	5	42%	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 26	21.6	5	63%	6	0	0	0	2	2	3	3	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	23.6	2	14%	1	3	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-1	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	23.1	7	39%	4	3	0	2	2	2	1	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-4	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	14.6	4	40%	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	12.0	4	50%	1	0	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	11.2	0	0%	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	7.2	2	33%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	7.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	5.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	5.3	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion/Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	84	46%	40	20	2	2	19	20	13	27	11-13	85%	29-58	50%	5-26	19%

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2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	29.6	9	38%	2	7	0	0	3	1	0	2	2-3	67%	2-8	25%	1-3	33%
Aaron Gordon #50 · SF · 6'8" 235 · 28	29.5	12	55%	5	2	1	0	1	2	1	4	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	27.5	31	82%	11	3	0	0	7	1	4	7	3-3	100%	11-15	73%	2-3	67%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	22.3	5	42%	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 26	21.6	5	63%	6	0	0	0	2	2	3	3	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	23.6	2	14%	1	3	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-1	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	23.1	7	39%	4	3	0	2	2	2	1	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-4	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	14.6	4	40%	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	12.0	4	50%	1	0	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	11.2	0	0%	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	7.2	2	33%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	7.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	5.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	5.3	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion/Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	84	46%	40	20	2	2	19	20	13	27	11-13	85%	29-58	50%	5-26	19%

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11 New York Knicks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	30.4	17	57%	7	8	1	0	2	2	3	4	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	1-5	20%
OG Anunoby #8 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 27	29.3	26	65%	2	1	6	0	1	2	0	2	3-5	60%	7-9	78%	3-9	33%
Jalen Brunson #11 · SG · 6'2" 190 · 27	26.6	21	88%	1	4	0	0	2	0	0	1	6-6	100%	6-8	75%	1-2	50%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 27	26.1	16	73%	3	6	1	0	0	2	2	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	4-9	44%
Jericho Sims #45 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	25.5	2	100%	8	0	0	1	1	4	1	7	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Josh Hart #3 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 29	26.1	4	40%	7	3	1	1	0	0	0	7	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Quentin Grimes #6 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 24	22.9	19	79%	5	0	0	0	2	0	0	5	3-3	100%	5-6	83%	2-5	40%
Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 24	22.5	2	25%	10	3	0	1	0	1	6	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Miles McBride #2 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	21.4	13	65%	1	1	2	0	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	0-4	0%	4-5	80%
Ryan Arcidiacono #51 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 30	5.3	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Malachi Flynn #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 26	3.8	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Evan Fournier #13 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31
Duane Washington Jr. #1 · SG · 6'2" 197 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charlie Brown Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 199 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jacob Toppin #00 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mitchell Robinson #23 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achillies; Tendinopathy
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	64%	44	26	12	3	8	14	12	32	17-20	85%	30-47	64%	15-38	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	NYK
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	NYK

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.92 46.2%

NYK

1.27 63.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

54%

NYK

66%

Midrange

DEN

47%

NYK

61%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

7.5

19%

29%

NYK

22.5

39%

59%

Free Throws

DEN

85%

NYK

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	31	82%	15.5 / 19
A. Gordon	12	55%	6.0 / 11
J. Murray	9	38%	4.5 / 12
P. Watson	7	39%	3.5 / 9
K. Caldwell-Pope	5	42%	2.5 / 6
M. Porter	5	63%	2.5 / 4
C. Braun	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Holiday	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Huff	3	75%	1.5 / 2
R. Jackson	2	14%	1.0 / 7
J. Pickett	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Jordan	0	-	0.0 / 2
H. Tyson	0	-	0.0 / 3
Z. Nnaji	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Knicks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
O. Anunoby	26	65%	13.0 / 20
J. Brunson	21	88%	10.5 / 12
Q. Grimes	19	79%	9.5 / 12
J. Randle	17	57%	8.5 / 15
D. DiVincenzo	16	73%	8.0 / 11
M. McBride	13	65%	6.5 / 10
J. Hart	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Sims	2	100%	1.0 / 1
P. Achiuwa	2	25%	1.0 / 4
M. Flynn	2	100%	1.0 / 1
R. Arcidiacono	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.9 7 117.4	DEN 91.3 NYK 132.6 +41.3
Pace	26 97.4 30 96.0	DEN 97.8 +11.0 NYK 86.8
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.0 1 15.5	DEN 14.7 −1.9 NYK 16.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.2% 16 54.0%	DEN 43.5% NYK 61.8% +18.3%
TO %	7 12.1% 16 12.7%	DEN 17.5% NYK 9.6% −7.9%
ORB %	6 25.5% 1 29.4%	DEN 28.9% NYK 30.8% +1.9%
FTrt	24 22.4 14 24.6	DEN 15.5 NYK 23.5 +8.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 66.9% 29 59.0%	DEN 58.8% +1.0% NYK 57.8%
STL %	20 7.3% 10 7.8%	DEN 2.2% NYK 13.0% +10.8%
BLK %	25 8.7% 18 9.1%	DEN 4.3% NYK 5.2% +0.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.5% 20 56.1%	DEN 46.2% NYK 63.5% +17.3%
Rim FG%	17 63.6% 25 61.0%	DEN 53.6% NYK 65.5% +11.9%
Mid FG%	3 47.0% 14 44.1%	DEN 46.7% NYK 61.1% +14.4%
3P %	10 37.4% 14 36.9%	DEN 19.2% NYK 39.5% +20.3%
FT %	25 76.2% 16 78.0%	DEN 84.6% NYK 85.0% +0.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 36.0% 23 31.8%	DEN 33.3% NYK 34.1% +0.8%
Mid Att. %	25 28.8% 20 27.8%	DEN 35.7% NYK 21.2% −14.5%
3P Att. %	30 35.2% 11 40.4%	DEN 31.0% NYK 44.7% +13.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	NYK
Possessions	92	92
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.4
Points	84	122
Rebounds	40	44
Assists	20	26
Steals	2	12
Blocks	2	3
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	8 (2)
Fouls	20	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (5)	12 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (4)	32 (0)
Field Goals	34-84	45-85
At-the-Rim FG	15-28	19-29
Midrange FG	14-30	11-18
2-Point FG	29-58	30-47
3-Point FG	5-26	15-38
Free Throws	11-13	17-20
Fast Break Pts	5	23
2nd Chance Pts	13	22
Points in Paint	46	58
Pts off Turnovers	5	26
Bench Points	22	40
Biggest Lead	0	38

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg