Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, January 25, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Jazz | 65% | 121 | 123 | |
| 27 | Wizards | 35% | 116 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 76ers | 62% | 118 | 122 | |
| 23 | Pacers | 38% | 114 | 134 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nuggets | 59% | 114 | 84 | |
| 11 | Knicks | 41% | 110 | 122 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 71% | 114 | 143 | |
| 15 | Heat | 29% | 106 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Timberwolves | 58% | 108 | 96 | |
| 21 | Nets | 42% | 105 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kings | 49% | 116 | 134 | |
| 13 | Warriors | 51% | 117 | 133 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 42% | 106 | 132 | |
| 14 | Lakers | 58% | 109 | 141 | |
Wednesday, January 24, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hornets | 42% | 111 | 106 | |
| 29 | Pistons | 58% | 114 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 74% | 116 | 118 | |
| 27 | Wizards | 26% | 106 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 30% | 101 | 105 | |
| 11 | Heat | 70% | 109 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Blazers | 25% | 103 | 137 | |
| 18 | Rockets | 75% | 113 | 131 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 44% | 113 | 116 | |
| 7 | Bucks | 56% | 116 | 126 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 59% | 118 | 132 | |
| 17 | Mavericks | 41% | 114 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 69% | 118 | 140 | |
| 26 | Spurs | 31% | 111 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 36% | 114 | 112 | |
| 14 | Warriors | 64% | 119 | 134 | |
Tuesday, January 23, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nuggets | 69% | 120 | 114 | |
| 21 | Pacers | 31% | 113 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Knicks | 52% | 111 | 108 | |
| 15 | Nets | 48% | 110 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Blazers | 17% | 105 | 109 | |
| 4 | Thunder | 83% | 119 | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Jazz | 35% | 113 | 124 | |
| 9 | Pelicans | 65% | 119 | 153 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 27% | 107 | 116 | |
| 5 | Clippers | 73% | 116 | 127 | |
Monday, January 22, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bucks | 73% | 123 | 122 | |
| 29 | Pistons | 27% | 113 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 59% | 107 | 126 | |
| 17 | Magic | 41% | 103 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Spurs | 16% | 107 | 123 | |
| 3 | 76ers | 84% | 122 | 133 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 38% | 105 | 108 | |
| 21 | Raptors | 62% | 110 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hornets | 16% | 99 | 128 | |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 84% | 114 | 125 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 58% | 117 | 119 | |
| 13 | Mavericks | 42% | 114 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 33% | 106 | 113 | |
| 4 | Suns | 67% | 112 | 115 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hawks | 35% | 115 | 107 | |
| 14 | Kings | 65% | 121 | 122 | |
Sunday, January 21, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 32% | 108 | 114 | |
| 6 | Clippers | 68% | 115 | 125 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nuggets | 82% | 123 | 113 | |
| 27 | Wizards | 18% | 110 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 53% | 106 | 87 | |
| 19 | Magic | 47% | 105 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 79% | 114 | 116 | |
| 24 | Rockets | 21% | 102 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 29% | 114 | 110 | |
| 4 | Suns | 71% | 122 | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Blazers | 25% | 105 | 110 | |
| 13 | Lakers | 75% | 115 | 134 | |
Saturday, January 20, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 74% | 122 | 141 | |
| 29 | Pistons | 26% | 112 | 135 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 76ers | 85% | 120 | 97 | |
| 30 | Hornets | 15% | 105 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Spurs | 41% | 115 | 131 | |
| 26 | Wizards | 59% | 119 | 127 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 58% | 115 | 116 | |
| 19 | Hawks | 42% | 113 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 33% | 108 | 100 | |
| 10 | Knicks | 67% | 114 | 126 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Thunder | 44% | 108 | 102 | |
| 4 | Timberwolves | 56% | 111 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 40% | 101 | 96 | |
| 23 | Bulls | 60% | 105 | 125 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Jazz | 46% | 112 | 126 | |
| 22 | Rockets | 54% | 114 | 127 | |
Friday, January 19, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Spurs | 47% | 113 | 120 | |
| 27 | Hornets | 53% | 114 | 124 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 65% | 111 | 124 | |
| 23 | Magic | 35% | 105 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nuggets | 39% | 110 | 102 | |
| 1 | Celtics | 61% | 114 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hawks | 34% | 109 | 109 | |
| 11 | Heat | 66% | 115 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 42% | 113 | 123 | |
| 7 | Pelicans | 58% | 116 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 67% | 118 | 115 | |
| 30 | Blazers | 33% | 112 | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 41% | 108 | 130 | |
| 12 | Lakers | 59% | 111 | 112 | |
Thursday, January 18, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 49% | 108 | 116 | |
| 20 | Raptors | 51% | 109 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 22% | 108 | 109 | |
| 10 | Knicks | 78% | 120 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 65% | 119 | 134 | |
| 21 | Jazz | 35% | 114 | 129 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 36% | 117 | 126 | |
| 14 | Kings | 64% | 122 | 121 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 25% | 98 | 103 | |
| 4 | Timberwolves | 75% | 107 | 118 | |
Wednesday, January 17, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Timberwolves | 83% | 116 | 124 | |
| 30 | Pistons | 17% | 102 | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Spurs | 15% | 105 | 98 | |
| 3 | Celtics | 85% | 120 | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 44% | 112 | 104 | |
| 18 | Hawks | 56% | 114 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 36% | 111 | 95 | |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 64% | 116 | 135 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Rockets | 38% | 105 | 94 | |
| 13 | Knicks | 62% | 110 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 55% | 110 | 97 | |
| 20 | Raptors | 45% | 108 | 121 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hornets | 16% | 104 | 112 | |
| 7 | Pelicans | 84% | 118 | 132 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 52% | 117 | 110 | |
| 15 | Lakers | 48% | 116 | 127 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 69% | 112 | 103 | |
| 28 | Blazers | 31% | 104 | 105 | |
Tuesday, January 16, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nuggets | 51% | 114 | 121 | |
| 6 | 76ers | 49% | 113 | 126 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 40% | 116 | 117 | |
| 9 | Suns | 60% | 120 | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 39% | 112 | 117 | |
| 4 | Clippers | 61% | 116 | 128 | |
Monday, January 15, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Rockets | 27% | 106 | 115 | |
| 6 | 76ers | 73% | 115 | 124 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pelicans | 57% | 116 | 120 | |
| 21 | Mavericks | 43% | 113 | 125 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 33% | 103 | 98 | |
| 11 | Knicks | 67% | 110 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pistons | 38% | 115 | 129 | |
| 26 | Wizards | 62% | 119 | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Spurs | 31% | 115 | 99 | |
| 20 | Hawks | 69% | 123 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Warriors | 61% | 111 | 107 | |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 39% | 107 | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 36% | 105 | 91 | |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 64% | 110 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 47% | 108 | 96 | |
| 15 | Nets | 53% | 110 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 67% | 116 | 105 | |
| 17 | Raptors | 33% | 109 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 38% | 117 | 105 | |
| 19 | Jazz | 62% | 122 | 132 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 58% | 115 | 105 | |
| 14 | Lakers | 42% | 112 | 112 | |
Sunday, January 14, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 27% | 112 | 109 | |
| 2 | Nuggets | 73% | 121 | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hornets | 20% | 103 | 87 | |
| 13 | Heat | 80% | 115 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 46% | 107 | 105 | |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 54% | 109 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 41% | 117 | 142 | |
| 10 | Bucks | 59% | 120 | 143 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 75% | 117 | 127 | |
| 28 | Blazers | 25% | 107 | 116 | |
Saturday, January 13, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Rockets | 19% | 102 | 113 | |
| 1 | Celtics | 81% | 115 | 145 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 33% | 117 | 127 | |
| 15 | Hawks | 67% | 123 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 25% | 105 | 100 | |
| 6 | Thunder | 75% | 114 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | 66% | 110 | 106 | |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 34% | 104 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 28% | 112 | 118 | |
| 10 | Bucks | 72% | 121 | 129 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pelicans | 44% | 111 | 118 | |
| 18 | Mavericks | 56% | 113 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 67% | 114 | 122 | |
| 28 | Spurs | 33% | 107 | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 46% | 112 | 125 | |
| 19 | Jazz | 54% | 114 | 132 | |
Friday, January 12, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 41% | 113 | 93 | |
| 11 | 76ers | 59% | 117 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Rockets | 75% | 116 | 112 | |
| 30 | Pistons | 25% | 106 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 39% | 120 | 126 | |
| 13 | Hawks | 61% | 124 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hornets | 42% | 111 | 99 | |
| 27 | Spurs | 58% | 114 | 135 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Blazers | 10% | 96 | 93 | |
| 3 | Timberwolves | 90% | 115 | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 62% | 111 | 128 | |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 38% | 106 | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Warriors | 48% | 109 | 140 | |
| 16 | Bulls | 52% | 110 | 131 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 40% | 104 | 96 | |
| 17 | Heat | 60% | 107 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 52% | 116 | 113 | |
| 22 | Jazz | 48% | 115 | 145 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pelicans | 41% | 110 | 113 | |
| 4 | Nuggets | 59% | 114 | 125 | |