Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, February 2, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Blazers	18%	104	108	120.0	90	101.8
	3	Nuggets	82%	117	120	130.4	92	82.4

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+15

-8

DEN

+21

-11

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.11 55.7%

DEN

1.18 58.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 25	36.9	29	58%	4	4	2	0	2	2	1	3	3-4	75%	7-13	54%	4-10	40%
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	35.5	11	39%	8	6	0	0	0	2	3	5	1-3	33%	5-11	45%	0-2	0%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 26	26.8	8	57%	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	2	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Toumani Camara #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	23.8	10	63%	2	0	2	1	1	1	0	2	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Jabari Walker #34 · PF · 6'7" 237 · 22	21.3	7	50%	8	0	0	0	1	2	4	4	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%

Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	37.1	30	71%	5	2	0	0	2	3	2	3	11-12	92%	5-8	63%	3-7	43%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 27	23.1	3	30%	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	20.5	10	83%	4	1	1	1	1	3	1	3	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	2-2	100%
Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 23	13.6	0	0%	2	0	1	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	0.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	0.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jerami Grant #9 · SF · 6'7" 213 · 30	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Tightness
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Abdominal; Strain
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	56%	37	14	7	4	8	16	13	24	24-30	80%	27-52	52%	10-28	36%

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28 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 25	36.9	29	58%	4	4	2	0	2	2	1	3	3-4	75%	7-13	54%	4-10	40%
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	35.5	11	39%	8	6	0	0	0	2	3	5	1-3	33%	5-11	45%	0-2	0%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 26	26.8	8	57%	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	2	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Toumani Camara #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	23.8	10	63%	2	0	2	1	1	1	0	2	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Jabari Walker #34 · PF · 6'7" 237 · 22	21.3	7	50%	8	0	0	0	1	2	4	4	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%

Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	37.1	30	71%	5	2	0	0	2	3	2	3	11-12	92%	5-8	63%	3-7	43%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 27	23.1	3	30%	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	20.5	10	83%	4	1	1	1	1	3	1	3	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	2-2	100%
Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 23	13.6	0	0%	2	0	1	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	0.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	0.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jerami Grant #9 · SF · 6'7" 213 · 30	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Tightness
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Abdominal; Strain
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	56%	37	14	7	4	8	16	13	24	24-30	80%	27-52	52%	10-28	36%

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3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	38.3	27	75%	22	12	1	2	4	3	7	15	4-4	100%	10-15	67%	1-1	100%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	35.0	13	46%	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-10	30%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	33.8	16	73%	1	2	0	1	0	3	0	1	7-7	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	32.7	13	31%	9	10	0	2	2	1	4	5	0-0	-	2-6	33%	3-15	20%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	27.7	18	90%	4	5	0	0	3	4	2	2	3-3	100%	6-8	75%	1-1	100%

Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	24.3	13	65%	0	3	0	0	0	3	0	0	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	1-3	33%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	21.8	14	88%	5	0	0	1	0	4	1	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-2	100%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	11.6	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	8.1	2	50%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	4.6	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	0.7	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	0.7	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	0.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	59%	48	34	3	6	11	20	16	32	16-17	94%	34-55	62%	12-36	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.11 55.7%

DEN

1.18 58.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

63%

DEN

68%

Midrange

POR

35%

DEN

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

15.0

36%

54%

DEN

18.0

33%

50%

Free Throws

POR

80%

DEN

94%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Henderson	30	71%	15.0 / 21
A. Simons	29	58%	14.5 / 25
M. Brogdon	11	39%	5.5 / 14
T. Camara	10	63%	5.0 / 8
D. Reath	10	83%	5.0 / 6
D. Ayton	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Walker	7	50%	3.5 / 7
M. Thybulle	3	30%	1.5 / 5
K. Murray	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	27	75%	13.5 / 18
A. Gordon	18	90%	9.0 / 10
K. Caldwell-Pope	16	73%	8.0 / 11
P. Watson	14	88%	7.0 / 8
M. Porter	13	46%	6.5 / 14
J. Murray	13	31%	6.5 / 21
R. Jackson	13	65%	6.5 / 10
C. Braun	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Jordan	2	100%	1.0 / 1
C. Gillespie	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Holiday	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 107.7 5 117.9	POR 120.0 DEN 130.4 +10.4
Pace	21 97.9 26 97.4	POR 101.8 +19.4 DEN 82.4
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.6 4 15.0	POR 14.1 −3.3 DEN 17.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 50.3% 8 56.2%	POR 52.5% DEN 57.1% +4.6%
TO %	29 14.6% 7 12.1%	POR 9.7% −1.2% DEN 10.9%
ORB %	3 27.5% 6 25.5%	POR 28.9% DEN 40.0% +11.1%
FTrt	23 22.8 24 22.4	POR 37.5 +18.8 DEN 18.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 58.7% 5 66.9%	POR 37.8% DEN 73.9% +36.1%
STL %	12 7.7% 20 7.3%	POR 7.8% +4.5% DEN 3.3%
BLK %	20 9.0% 25 8.7%	POR 7.3% DEN 11.5% +4.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.28 and 2.28.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	30 52.6% 11 57.5%	POR 55.7% DEN 58.8% +3.1%
Rim FG%	29 58.1% 17 63.6%	POR 62.5% DEN 67.6% +5.1%
Mid FG%	30 38.7% 3 47.0%	POR 35.0% DEN 52.4% +17.4%
3P %	30 34.5% 10 37.4%	POR 35.7% +2.4% DEN 33.3%
FT %	9 79.1% 25 76.2%	POR 80.0% DEN 94.1% +14.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 34.7% 4 36.0%	POR 40.0% +2.6% DEN 37.4%
Mid Att. %	23 28.3% 25 28.8%	POR 25.0% DEN 23.1% −1.9%
3P Att. %	24 37.0% 30 35.2%	POR 35.0% DEN 39.6% +4.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Game Totals	POR	DEN
Possessions	90	92
Possession Minutes	21.2	26.8
Points	108	120
Rebounds	37	48
Assists	14	34
Steals	7	3
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	8 (2)	11 (1)
Fouls	16	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (2)	16 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (0)	32 (1)
Field Goals	37-80	46-91
At-the-Rim FG	20-32	23-34
Midrange FG	7-20	11-21
2-Point FG	27-52	34-55
3-Point FG	10-28	12-36
Free Throws	24-30	16-17
Fast Break Pts	18	11
2nd Chance Pts	11	20
Points in Paint	50	60
Pts off Turnovers	17	10
Bench Points	43	33
Biggest Lead	2	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg