Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, February 2, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 27 | Pistons | 27% | 111 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Heat | 67% | 116 | 110 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Raptors | 41% | 107 | 106 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Magic | 33% | 100 | 108 |
 | 4 | Timberwolves | 67% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Hornets | 12% | 102 | 106 |
 | 9 | Thunder | 88% | 119 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Pelicans | 70% | 118 | 114 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Thursday, February 1, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Lakers | 14% | 103 | 114 |
 | 1 | Celtics | 86% | 119 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 40% | 114 | 105 |
 | 8 | Knicks | 60% | 118 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 24 | Grizzlies | 32% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, January 31, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Bulls | 68% | 110 | 117 |
| 30 | Hornets | 32% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 17% | 104 | 121 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 83% | 118 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | 69% | 119 | 125 |
| 27 | Wizards | 31% | 112 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kings | 49% | 114 | 106 |
| 15 | Heat | 51% | 115 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pelicans | 49% | 110 | 110 |
| 18 | Rockets | 51% | 111 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Mavericks | 19% | 103 | 87 |
| 3 | Timberwolves | 81% | 116 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 63% | 111 | 108 |
| 24 | Spurs | 37% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 41% | 109 | 100 |
| 7 | Thunder | 59% | 112 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suns | 52% | 112 | 136 |
 | 12 | Nets | 48% | 111 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Bucks | 71% | 119 | 116 |
| 26 | Blazers | 29% | 111 | 119 |
Tuesday, January 30, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 40% | 116 | 122 |
| 17 | Hawks | 60% | 120 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pacers | 25% | 113 | 124 |
| 1 | Celtics | 75% | 123 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Jazz | 33% | 110 | 103 |
| 9 | Knicks | 67% | 116 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 41% | 106 | 118 |
| 19 | Bulls | 59% | 110 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 33% | 109 | 107 |
| 8 | Warriors | 67% | 116 | 119 |
Monday, January 29, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Knicks | 83% | 114 | 113 |
| 30 | Hornets | 17% | 100 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 43% | 107 | 108 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 57% | 110 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pelicans | 29% | 107 | 112 |
| 1 | Celtics | 71% | 115 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Jazz | 45% | 113 | 114 |
| 17 | Nets | 55% | 115 | 147 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 44% | 111 | 118 |
| 16 | Heat | 56% | 114 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 53% | 111 | 119 |
| 22 | Rockets | 47% | 110 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kings | 64% | 112 | 103 |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 36% | 107 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | 46% | 107 | 107 |
| 4 | Thunder | 54% | 109 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 46% | 116 | 118 |
| 26 | Spurs | 54% | 118 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 44% | 110 | 129 |
| 18 | Mavericks | 56% | 112 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bucks | 39% | 113 | 107 |
| 2 | Nuggets | 61% | 118 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 59% | 109 | 104 |
| 27 | Blazers | 41% | 106 | 130 |
Sunday, January 28, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 81% | 121 | 104 |
| 29 | Pistons | 19% | 108 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 42% | 109 | 110 |
| 22 | Pacers | 58% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 41% | 114 | 125 |
| 20 | Hawks | 59% | 118 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 54% | 111 | 98 |
| 18 | Magic | 46% | 109 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 60% | 110 | 104 |
| 27 | Blazers | 40% | 106 | 96 |
Saturday, January 27, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 47% | 117 | 118 |
| 29 | Pistons | 53% | 118 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 38% | 106 | 109 |
| 10 | Knicks | 62% | 111 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 32% | 106 | 105 |
| 3 | Nuggets | 68% | 113 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Rockets | 41% | 106 | 104 |
| 17 | Nets | 59% | 109 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 28% | 107 | 115 |
| 1 | Celtics | 72% | 116 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Jazz | 78% | 118 | 134 |
| 30 | Hornets | 22% | 107 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pelicans | 43% | 114 | 117 |
| 7 | Bucks | 57% | 117 | 141 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | 75% | 114 | 112 |
| 27 | Spurs | 25% | 104 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lakers | 46% | 114 | 145 |
| 12 | Warriors | 54% | 116 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kings | 53% | 119 | 120 |
| 18 | Mavericks | 47% | 118 | 115 |
Friday, January 26, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mavericks | 52% | 119 | 148 |
| 23 | Hawks | 48% | 118 | 143 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Rockets | 67% | 111 | 138 |
| 30 | Hornets | 33% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 62% | 119 | 131 |
| 21 | Pacers | 38% | 115 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 66% | 116 | 127 |
| 24 | Raptors | 34% | 110 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Magic | 54% | 103 | 106 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 46% | 101 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 51% | 116 | 112 |
| 8 | Bucks | 49% | 115 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 49% | 114 | 107 |
| 9 | Pelicans | 51% | 115 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Blazers | 44% | 111 | 100 |
| 26 | Spurs | 56% | 113 | 116 |
Thursday, January 25, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 76ers | 62% | 118 | 122 |
| 23 | Pacers | 38% | 114 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Jazz | 65% | 121 | 123 |
| 27 | Wizards | 35% | 116 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Timberwolves | 58% | 108 | 96 |
| 21 | Nets | 42% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 71% | 114 | 143 |
| 15 | Heat | 29% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nuggets | 59% | 114 | 84 |
| 11 | Knicks | 41% | 110 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kings | 49% | 116 | 134 |
| 13 | Warriors | 51% | 117 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 42% | 106 | 132 |
| 14 | Lakers | 58% | 109 | 141 |
Wednesday, January 24, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hornets | 42% | 111 | 106 |
| 29 | Pistons | 58% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 74% | 116 | 118 |
| 27 | Wizards | 26% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 30% | 101 | 105 |
| 11 | Heat | 70% | 109 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Blazers | 25% | 103 | 137 |
| 18 | Rockets | 75% | 113 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 44% | 113 | 116 |
| 7 | Bucks | 56% | 116 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 59% | 118 | 132 |
| 17 | Mavericks | 41% | 114 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 69% | 118 | 140 |
| 26 | Spurs | 31% | 111 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 36% | 114 | 112 |
| 14 | Warriors | 64% | 119 | 134 |
Tuesday, January 23, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nuggets | 69% | 120 | 114 |
| 21 | Pacers | 31% | 113 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Knicks | 52% | 111 | 108 |
| 15 | Nets | 48% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Jazz | 35% | 113 | 124 |
| 9 | Pelicans | 65% | 119 | 153 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Blazers | 17% | 105 | 109 |
| 4 | Thunder | 83% | 119 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 27% | 107 | 116 |
| 5 | Clippers | 73% | 116 | 127 |
Monday, January 22, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bucks | 73% | 123 | 122 |
| 29 | Pistons | 27% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 59% | 107 | 126 |
| 17 | Magic | 41% | 103 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Spurs | 16% | 107 | 123 |
| 3 | 76ers | 84% | 122 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 38% | 105 | 108 |
| 21 | Raptors | 62% | 110 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hornets | 16% | 99 | 128 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 84% | 114 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 58% | 117 | 119 |
| 13 | Mavericks | 42% | 114 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 33% | 106 | 113 |
| 4 | Suns | 67% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hawks | 35% | 115 | 107 |
| 14 | Kings | 65% | 121 | 122 |
Sunday, January 21, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 32% | 108 | 114 |
| 6 | Clippers | 68% | 115 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 53% | 106 | 87 |
| 19 | Magic | 47% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nuggets | 82% | 123 | 113 |
| 27 | Wizards | 18% | 110 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 79% | 114 | 116 |
| 24 | Rockets | 21% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 29% | 114 | 110 |
| 4 | Suns | 71% | 122 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Blazers | 25% | 105 | 110 |
| 13 | Lakers | 75% | 115 | 134 |
Saturday, January 20, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 74% | 122 | 141 |
| 29 | Pistons | 26% | 112 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 76ers | 85% | 120 | 97 |
| 30 | Hornets | 15% | 105 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Spurs | 41% | 115 | 131 |
| 26 | Wizards | 59% | 119 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 58% | 115 | 116 |
| 19 | Hawks | 42% | 113 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 33% | 108 | 100 |
| 10 | Knicks | 67% | 114 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 40% | 101 | 96 |
| 23 | Bulls | 60% | 105 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Jazz | 46% | 112 | 126 |
| 22 | Rockets | 54% | 114 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Thunder | 44% | 108 | 102 |
| 4 | Timberwolves | 56% | 111 | 97 |