Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 10, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Pacers	47%	113	111	112.1	99	111.2
	14	Magic	53%	114	97	99.0	98	90.2

Scoring Opportunities

IND

-12

ORL

+16

-12

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.18 59.0%

ORL

0.94 47.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

11 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	37.2	16	80%	5	1	1	2	1	3	0	5	4-4	100%	0-2	0%	4-6	67%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	35.8	20	59%	7	8	0	0	4	2	0	7	7-7	100%	5-9	56%	1-6	17%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 30	32.7	20	56%	7	3	0	0	0	2	1	6	7-9	78%	5-11	45%	1-3	33%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	31.2	12	46%	8	0	0	6	3	4	1	7	3-5	60%	3-8	38%	1-3	33%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	25.4	0	0%	2	2	0	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	27.1	17	65%	6	6	2	1	2	1	0	6	1-2	50%	8-12	67%	0-0	-
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	25.4	17	85%	8	0	1	1	1	1	1	7	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	1-2	50%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	11.4	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	10.8	7	70%	3	0	1	0	0	4	2	1	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Labral Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	59%	46	20	5	3	12	21	5	41	27-33	82%	30-55	55%	8-23	35%

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11 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	37.2	16	80%	5	1	1	2	1	3	0	5	4-4	100%	0-2	0%	4-6	67%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	35.8	20	59%	7	8	0	0	4	2	0	7	7-7	100%	5-9	56%	1-6	17%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 30	32.7	20	56%	7	3	0	0	0	2	1	6	7-9	78%	5-11	45%	1-3	33%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	31.2	12	46%	8	0	0	6	3	4	1	7	3-5	60%	3-8	38%	1-3	33%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	25.4	0	0%	2	2	0	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	27.1	17	65%	6	6	2	1	2	1	0	6	1-2	50%	8-12	67%	0-0	-
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	25.4	17	85%	8	0	1	1	1	1	1	7	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	1-2	50%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	11.4	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	10.8	7	70%	3	0	1	0	0	4	2	1	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Labral Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	59%	46	20	5	3	12	21	5	41	27-33	82%	30-55	55%	8-23	35%

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14 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 21	37.9	19	40%	5	5	2	0	3	3	0	5	6-8	75%	5-12	42%	1-8	13%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 23	29.5	13	41%	4	2	2	0	1	3	0	4	3-5	60%	5-11	45%	0-3	0%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29	27.8	5	125%	1	1	0	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25	27.6	13	46%	15	2	1	1	2	3	6	9	3-3	100%	5-8	63%	0-5	0%
Caleb Houstan #2 · PG · 6'8" 205 · 21	22.1	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24	25.9	16	47%	2	3	0	0	0	3	1	1	7-8	88%	3-8	38%	1-6	17%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 36	23.0	11	110%	2	2	1	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-4	75%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 26	19.0	9	64%	7	0	0	2	1	2	3	4	0-0	-	0-3	0%	3-4	75%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27	15.9	9	56%	6	2	0	0	1	2	2	4	3-5	60%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 20	11.3	2	25%	2	0	1	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chuma Okeke #3 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Admiral Schofield #25 · PF · 6'5" 241 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Kevon Harris #8 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Strain
Jalen Suggs #4 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thigh; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	47%	46	18	7	10	12	27	13	33	22-29	76%	24-52	46%	9-36	25%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	IND	ORL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.18 59.0%

ORL

0.94 47.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

65%

ORL

53%

Midrange

IND

33%

ORL

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

12.0

35%

52%

ORL

13.5

25%

38%

Free Throws

IND

82%

ORL

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Haliburton	20	59%	10.0 / 17
P. Siakam	20	56%	10.0 / 18
T. McConnell	17	65%	8.5 / 13
O. Toppin	17	85%	8.5 / 10
A. Nesmith	16	80%	8.0 / 10
M. Turner	12	46%	6.0 / 13
I. Jackson	7	70%	3.5 / 5
B. Sheppard	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Nembhard	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Walker	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Banchero	19	40%	9.5 / 24
C. Anthony	16	47%	8.0 / 17
F. Wagner	13	41%	6.5 / 16
W. Carter	13	46%	6.5 / 14
J. Ingles	11	110%	5.5 / 5
J. Isaac	9	64%	4.5 / 7
M. Wagner	9	56%	4.5 / 8
G. Harris	5	125%	2.5 / 2
A. Black	2	25%	1.0 / 4
C. Houstan	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 120.6 22 113.0	IND 112.1 +13.1 ORL 99.0
Pace	2 102.3 27 97.4	IND 111.2 +21.0 ORL 90.2
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.7 2 15.2	IND 13.0 −3.0 ORL 16.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.8% 15 54.1%	IND 53.8% +11.2% ORL 42.6%
TO %	6 12.0% 24 14.1%	IND 12.3% ORL 11.4% −0.9%
ORB %	20 23.8% 7 25.3%	IND 13.2% ORL 24.1% +10.9%
FTrt	26 22.2 1 28.7	IND 42.3 +9.3 ORL 33.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 65.4% 22 61.0%	IND 52.6% ORL 54.5% +1.9%
STL %	15 7.5% 4 8.3%	IND 5.1% ORL 7.1% +2.0%
BLK %	14 9.5% 13 9.5%	IND 5.8% ORL 18.2% +12.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 59.4% 18 56.2%	IND 59.0% +11.9% ORL 47.1%
Rim FG%	7 65.9% 9 65.4%	IND 64.9% +11.6% ORL 53.3%
Mid FG%	1 48.8% 29 38.9%	IND 33.3% ORL 36.4% +3.1%
3P %	9 37.4% 24 35.2%	IND 34.8% +9.8% ORL 25.0%
FT %	13 78.2% 26 75.9%	IND 81.8% +5.9% ORL 75.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 36.5% 1 38.2%	IND 47.4% +13.3% ORL 34.1%
Mid Att. %	6 25.4% 5 24.9%	IND 23.1% −1.9% ORL 25.0%
3P Att. %	20 38.0% 25 36.9%	IND 29.5% ORL 40.9% +11.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.

Game Totals	IND	ORL
Possessions	99	98
Possession Minutes	21.4	26.1
Points	111	97
Rebounds	46	46
Assists	20	18
Steals	5	7
Blocks	3	10
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	12 (1)
Fouls	21	27
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (2)	13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	41 (3)	33 (4)
Field Goals	38-78	33-88
At-the-Rim FG	24-37	16-30
Midrange FG	6-18	8-22
2-Point FG	30-55	24-52
3-Point FG	8-23	9-36
Free Throws	27-33	22-29
Fast Break Pts	27	0
2nd Chance Pts	7	14
Points in Paint	54	46
Pts off Turnovers	21	10
Bench Points	43	47
Biggest Lead	16	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg