Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 11, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Warriors	64%	115	112	112.0	100	106.4
	23	Spurs	36%	110	102	102.0	100	94.3

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+13

-13

100

SAS

+17

-15

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.12 56.0%

SAS

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 39	33.0	19	50%	9	8	1	0	1	4	2	7	0-0	-	8-15	53%	1-4	25%
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 21	31.1	22	58%	5	1	1	1	2	4	0	5	2-2	100%	7-15	47%	2-3	67%
Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	30.2	21	48%	2	2	1	0	1	0	1	1	1-2	50%	4-11	36%	4-10	40%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 29	30.1	16	80%	4	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	2-4	50%	4-5	80%	2-3	67%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 34	27.8	5	31%	6	4	2	0	5	6	2	4	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%

Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 21	34.5	14	70%	8	4	1	1	2	2	1	7	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	3-5	60%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 24	26.5	13	93%	10	5	0	0	1	0	3	7	1-1	100%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Gary Payton II #0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 31	14.8	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 22	12.0	2	33%	1	0	1	2	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Lester Quinones #25 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #20 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jerome Robinson #18 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 28	INACTIVE
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 22	INACTIVE
Usman Garuba #12 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 22	INACTIVE
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	56%	45	28	7	4	13	19	10	35	8-12	67%	34-66	52%	12-27	44%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

14 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 39	33.0	19	50%	9	8	1	0	1	4	2	7	0-0	-	8-15	53%	1-4	25%
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 21	31.1	22	58%	5	1	1	1	2	4	0	5	2-2	100%	7-15	47%	2-3	67%
Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	30.2	21	48%	2	2	1	0	1	0	1	1	1-2	50%	4-11	36%	4-10	40%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 29	30.1	16	80%	4	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	2-4	50%	4-5	80%	2-3	67%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 34	27.8	5	31%	6	4	2	0	5	6	2	4	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%

Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 21	34.5	14	70%	8	4	1	1	2	2	1	7	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	3-5	60%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 24	26.5	13	93%	10	5	0	0	1	0	3	7	1-1	100%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Gary Payton II #0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 31	14.8	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 22	12.0	2	33%	1	0	1	2	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Lester Quinones #25 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #20 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jerome Robinson #18 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 28	INACTIVE
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 22	INACTIVE
Usman Garuba #12 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 22	INACTIVE
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	56%	45	28	7	4	13	19	10	35	8-12	67%	34-66	52%	12-27	44%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

23 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 24	36.5	17	57%	1	1	1	0	2	2	0	1	2-2	100%	0-6	0%	5-8	63%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	31.8	6	60%	5	7	1	0	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 20	31.4	27	47%	14	3	1	2	3	1	2	12	4-9	44%	7-16	44%	3-9	33%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 21	28.2	9	45%	7	7	1	2	1	2	1	6	0-0	-	3-8	38%	1-2	50%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 23	27.6	9	90%	2	2	1	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%

Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	30.4	16	57%	6	1	0	1	0	0	2	4	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	2-6	33%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	16.9	2	13%	1	0	0	1	2	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-4	0%
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	16.6	10	63%	10	3	1	3	5	3	4	6	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	12.7	4	67%	1	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 21	7.3	2	33%	3	0	0	1	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jamaree Bouyea #15 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
RaiQuan Gray #41 · PF · 6'7" 269 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Acl; Tear
Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	50%	50	27	6	10	15	15	13	37	10-15	67%	25-56	45%	14-37	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.12 56.0%

SAS

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

58%

SAS

53%

Midrange

GSW

43%

SAS

28%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

18.0

44%

67%

SAS

21.0

38%

57%

Free Throws

GSW

67%

SAS

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Kuminga	22	58%	11.0 / 19
K. Thompson	21	48%	10.5 / 22
C. Paul	19	50%	9.5 / 19
A. Wiggins	16	80%	8.0 / 10
B. Podziemski	14	70%	7.0 / 10
T. Jackson-Davis	13	93%	6.5 / 7
D. Green	5	31%	2.5 / 8
M. Moody	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Wembanyama	27	47%	13.5 / 29
D. Vassell	17	57%	8.5 / 15
K. Johnson	16	57%	8.0 / 14
Z. Collins	10	63%	5.0 / 8
J. Sochan	9	45%	4.5 / 10
J. Champagnie	9	90%	4.5 / 5
T. Jones	6	60%	3.0 / 5
B. Wesley	4	67%	2.0 / 3
M. Branham	2	13%	1.0 / 8
D. Barlow	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 116.9 26 109.4	GSW 112.0 +10.0 SAS 102.0
Pace	11 100.0 3 101.7	GSW 106.4 +12.1 SAS 94.3
Avg. Poss. Time	17 14.4 25 14.1	GSW 13.5 −1.7 SAS 15.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.7% 23 53.2%	GSW 55.9% +6.4% SAS 49.5%
TO %	23 13.6% 26 14.3%	GSW 12.5% −0.6% SAS 13.1%
ORB %	4 27.5% 23 22.9%	GSW 21.3% SAS 27.1% +5.8%
FTrt	29 21.9 28 22.0	GSW 12.9 SAS 16.1 +3.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 67.1% 1 71.2%	GSW 60.9% SAS 69.2% +8.3%
STL %	24 6.9% 23 6.9%	GSW 7.0% +1.0% SAS 6.0%
BLK %	23 8.8% 10 9.7%	GSW 7.1% SAS 15.2% +8.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	12 57.2% 25 55.1%	GSW 56.0% +6.5% SAS 49.5%
Rim FG%	5 66.3% 16 64.1%	GSW 57.9% +5.3% SAS 52.6%
Mid FG%	19 41.4% 24 40.5%	GSW 42.9% +15.1% SAS 27.8%
3P %	7 38.0% 28 34.7%	GSW 44.4% +6.6% SAS 37.8%
FT %	17 78.0% 14 78.2%	GSW 66.7% SAS 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 31.0% 13 34.2%	GSW 40.9% SAS 40.9%
Mid Att. %	12 26.5% 9 25.7%	GSW 30.1% SAS 19.4% −10.8%
3P Att. %	6 42.5% 12 40.1%	GSW 29.0% SAS 39.8% +10.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	SAS
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.4
Points	112	102
Rebounds	45	50
Assists	28	27
Steals	7	6
Blocks	4	10
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	15 (0)
Fouls	19	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (4)	37 (0)
Field Goals	46-93	39-93
At-the-Rim FG	22-38	20-38
Midrange FG	12-28	5-18
2-Point FG	34-66	25-56
3-Point FG	12-27	14-37
Free Throws	8-12	10-15
Fast Break Pts	11	10
2nd Chance Pts	15	13
Points in Paint	52	48
Pts off Turnovers	28	9
Bench Points	29	34
Biggest Lead	17	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg