Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 11, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Raptors	16%	104	119	119.0	100	110.1
	5	Nuggets	84%	119	125	126.3	99	91.7

Scoring Opportunities

TOR

+14

-11

103

DEN

+15

-9

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.16 57.8%

DEN

1.19 59.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
RJ Barrett #9 · PF · 6'6" 214 · 24	38.0	26	59%	7	9	0	0	4	1	2	5	5-5	100%	9-17	53%	1-3	33%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 28	37.6	13	43%	10	3	0	0	2	2	1	9	2-2	100%	4-11	36%	1-3	33%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 20	36.4	17	65%	4	7	2	0	1	0	1	3	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	2-4	50%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 33	28.7	24	80%	6	1	0	0	1	4	2	4	4-5	80%	7-9	78%	2-4	50%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	28.6	8	57%	2	1	0	2	0	5	1	1	0-1	0%	4-7	57%	0-0	-

Jontay Porter #34 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 24	22.0	14	78%	2	5	1	0	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-7	57%
Jalen McDaniels #2 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 26	19.5	12	60%	3	1	3	0	1	1	2	1	2-3	67%	5-6	83%	0-3	0%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 26	16.8	5	36%	7	1	0	1	0	0	1	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Javon Freeman-Liberty #0 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	12.4	0	0%	1	2	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Jahmi'us Ramsey #37 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gary Trent Jr. #33 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
Mouhamadou Gueye #15 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Scottie Barnes #4 · SF · 6'8" 237 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture; Third Metacarpal
D.J. Carton #3 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Hip Flexor Strain
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Torn Ligament; Fifth Finger
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	58%	42	30	6	4	11	16	11	31	14-17	82%	36-63	57%	11-30	37%

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30 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
RJ Barrett #9 · PF · 6'6" 214 · 24	38.0	26	59%	7	9	0	0	4	1	2	5	5-5	100%	9-17	53%	1-3	33%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 28	37.6	13	43%	10	3	0	0	2	2	1	9	2-2	100%	4-11	36%	1-3	33%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 20	36.4	17	65%	4	7	2	0	1	0	1	3	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	2-4	50%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 33	28.7	24	80%	6	1	0	0	1	4	2	4	4-5	80%	7-9	78%	2-4	50%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	28.6	8	57%	2	1	0	2	0	5	1	1	0-1	0%	4-7	57%	0-0	-

Jontay Porter #34 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 24	22.0	14	78%	2	5	1	0	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-7	57%
Jalen McDaniels #2 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 26	19.5	12	60%	3	1	3	0	1	1	2	1	2-3	67%	5-6	83%	0-3	0%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 26	16.8	5	36%	7	1	0	1	0	0	1	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Javon Freeman-Liberty #0 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	12.4	0	0%	1	2	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Jahmi'us Ramsey #37 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gary Trent Jr. #33 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
Mouhamadou Gueye #15 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Scottie Barnes #4 · SF · 6'8" 237 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture; Third Metacarpal
D.J. Carton #3 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Hip Flexor Strain
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Torn Ligament; Fifth Finger
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	58%	42	30	6	4	11	16	11	31	14-17	82%	36-63	57%	11-30	37%

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5 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	39.1	26	62%	5	12	0	2	1	1	1	4	2-5	40%	9-13	69%	2-6	33%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	38.1	35	60%	17	12	6	2	2	3	6	11	6-6	100%	13-23	57%	1-3	33%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	32.9	19	63%	8	3	1	1	0	2	3	5	1-2	50%	6-8	75%	2-6	33%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	32.5	3	25%	2	6	1	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	30.7	19	95%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	2-3	67%	7-7	100%	1-2	50%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	19.3	5	42%	2	2	0	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	15.4	7	70%	5	0	0	1	1	2	0	5	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	14.5	9	50%	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-5	20%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	9.2	2	50%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	8.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	60%	42	36	8	8	9	14	11	31	11-18	61%	42-66	64%	10-29	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.16 57.8%

DEN

1.19 59.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

66%

DEN

71%

Midrange

TOR

37%

DEN

54%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

16.5

37%

55%

DEN

15.0

34%

52%

Free Throws

TOR

82%

DEN

61%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Barrett	26	59%	13.0 / 22
K. Olynyk	24	80%	12.0 / 15
G. Dick	17	65%	8.5 / 13
J. Porter	14	78%	7.0 / 9
B. Brown	13	43%	6.5 / 15
J. McDaniels	12	60%	6.0 / 10
O. Agbaji	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Nwora	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. Freeman-Liberty	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	35	60%	17.5 / 29
J. Murray	26	62%	13.0 / 21
M. Porter	19	63%	9.5 / 15
A. Gordon	19	95%	9.5 / 10
R. Jackson	9	50%	4.5 / 9
P. Watson	7	70%	3.5 / 5
C. Braun	5	42%	2.5 / 6
K. Caldwell-Pope	3	25%	1.5 / 6
Z. Nnaji	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	24 111.9 5 117.9	TOR 119.0 DEN 126.3 +7.3
Pace	12 99.9 26 97.4	TOR 110.1 +18.4 DEN 91.7
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.9 4 15.0	TOR 13.1 −2.6 DEN 15.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.5% 8 56.2%	TOR 56.5% DEN 60.0% +3.5%
TO %	21 13.4% 7 12.1%	TOR 10.7% DEN 8.0% −2.7%
ORB %	17 24.2% 6 25.5%	TOR 26.2% DEN 26.2%
FTrt	16 24.1 24 22.4	TOR 18.3 DEN 18.9 +0.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 67.4% 5 66.9%	TOR 63.8% DEN 69.2% +5.4%
STL %	13 7.7% 20 7.3%	TOR 6.0% DEN 8.1% +2.1%
BLK %	15 9.5% 25 8.7%	TOR 6.1% DEN 12.7% +6.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.5% 11 57.5%	TOR 57.8% DEN 59.5% +1.7%
Rim FG%	13 64.8% 17 63.6%	TOR 65.9% DEN 71.1% +5.2%
Mid FG%	22 40.8% 3 47.0%	TOR 36.8% DEN 53.6% +16.8%
3P %	27 34.7% 10 37.4%	TOR 36.7% +2.2% DEN 34.5%
FT %	29 75.6% 25 76.2%	TOR 82.4% +21.3% DEN 61.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 35.6% 4 36.0%	TOR 47.3% +7.3% DEN 40.0%
Mid Att. %	17 27.5% 25 28.8%	TOR 20.4% −9.0% DEN 29.5%
3P Att. %	26 36.9% 30 35.2%	TOR 32.3% +1.7% DEN 30.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	TOR	DEN
Possessions	100	99
Possession Minutes	21.8	25.9
Points	119	125
Rebounds	42	42
Assists	30	36
Steals	6	8
Blocks	4	8
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	9 (0)
Fouls	16	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (1)	31 (2)
Field Goals	47-93	52-95
At-the-Rim FG	29-44	27-38
Midrange FG	7-19	15-28
2-Point FG	36-63	42-66
3-Point FG	11-30	10-29
Free Throws	14-17	11-18
Fast Break Pts	19	21
2nd Chance Pts	20	11
Points in Paint	66	66
Pts off Turnovers	8	19
Bench Points	31	23
Biggest Lead	22	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg