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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 20, 2024
7:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Heat37%105107
15Cavaliers63%109104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 34.5
37.0
16.7
30
68%
4
5
4
1
0
2
1
3
6-7
86%
9-15
3-5
60%
52%
2-4
50%
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 20.8
33.3
9.4
14
58%
6
1
0
0
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
52%
4-10
40%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 26.6
15.0
13.1
6
51%
10
0
0
0
1
0
1
9
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
62%
0-2
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 35.6
25.3
14.9
10
41%
1
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
3-3
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
1-8
13%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.0
33.1
32.2
24
69%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
3-3
100%
3-10
5-10
30%
50%
5-6
83%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 28.5
32.1
30.9
4
25%
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
53%
0-4
0%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 23.1
31.2
30.4
7
64%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-4
4-7
75%
55%
0-1
0%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 31.9
15.4
13.0
2
33%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Orlando Robinson
C · 7'0" 235 · 23.7
12.6
2.5
8
90%
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
1-1
100%
2-3
0-0
67%
54%
1-1
100%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.3
4.9
18.9
2
100%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Jamal Cain
F · 6'7" 191 · 25.0
2.6
0
0-1
52%
Alondes Williams
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
2.2
0
0-0
46%
Cole Swider
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.9
1.9
0
0-0
50%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 26.7
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.5
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 24.2
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.9
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 35.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Isaac Okoro
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.1
38.4
32.0
7
58%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
59%
1-3
33%
Georges Niang
F · 6'6" 231 · 30.8
34.8
28.3
18
55%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
58%
3-11
27%
Jarrett Allen
C · 6'11" 234 · 25.9
38.8
30.9
25
80%
20
3
0
1
0
2
2
18
5-6
83%
10-13
7-10
77%
65%
0-0
-
Caris LeVert
G-F · 6'7" 203 · 29.6
36.9
32.3
16
64%
5
12
2
1
1
5
1
4
7-8
88%
3-5
4-7
60%
50%
1-4
25%
Darius Garland
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.1
40.8
33.3
20
54%
1
9
0
1
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
52%
5-12
42%
Sam Merrill
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.8
20.6
24.0
12
67%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
4-9
44%
Marcus Morris Sr.
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.5
16.3
19.1
4
52%
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 33.0
9.4
12.3
0
0%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
58%
0-0
-
Craig Porter Jr.
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.1
4.0
8.4
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
54%
0-1
0%
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 28.7
8.1
0
1-1
67%
Emoni Bates
F · 6'9" 170 · 20.1
5.3
0
0-1
54%
Ty Jerome
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.7
4.1
0
0-1
51%
Evan Mobley
C · 7'0" 215 · 22.8
Isaiah Mobley
F · 6'8" 238 · 24.5
Pete Nance
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.1
Dean Wade
F · 6'10" 228 · 27.3
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.0
Donovan Mitchell
G · 6'3" 215 · 27.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.