Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 20, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Heat	37%	105	107	121.6	88	85.9
	15	Cavaliers	63%	110	104	115.6	90	92.3

Scoring Opportunities

MIA

-7

CLE

+10

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.19 59.4%

CLE

1.17 58.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

21 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 35	37.0	30	71%	4	5	4	0	2	1	1	3	6-7	86%	9-15	60%	2-4	50%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21	33.4	14	58%	6	1	0	1	1	2	0	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-10	40%
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30	33.1	24	71%	3	2	1	0	2	3	0	3	3-3	100%	3-10	30%	5-6	83%
Patty Mills #88 · SG · 6'0" 185 · 36	25.4	10	42%	1	4	2	0	0	1	1	0	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	1-8	13%
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	15.0	6	50%	10	0	0	1	0	4	1	9	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%

Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28	32.1	4	25%	6	2	0	0	0	4	1	5	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	31.2	7	70%	1	2	0	0	1	4	0	1	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Delon Wright #4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32	15.4	2	33%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	12.6	8	100%	2	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27	4.9	2	100%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25
Alondes Williams #15 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Contusion
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Medial Tendinitis
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Discomfort
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	59%	37	19	7	2	7	20	7	30	18-19	95%	25-47	53%	13-36	36%

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21 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 35	37.0	30	71%	4	5	4	0	2	1	1	3	6-7	86%	9-15	60%	2-4	50%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21	33.4	14	58%	6	1	0	1	1	2	0	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-10	40%
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30	33.1	24	71%	3	2	1	0	2	3	0	3	3-3	100%	3-10	30%	5-6	83%
Patty Mills #88 · SG · 6'0" 185 · 36	25.4	10	42%	1	4	2	0	0	1	1	0	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	1-8	13%
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	15.0	6	50%	10	0	0	1	0	4	1	9	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%

Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28	32.1	4	25%	6	2	0	0	0	4	1	5	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	31.2	7	70%	1	2	0	0	1	4	0	1	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Delon Wright #4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32	15.4	2	33%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	12.6	8	100%	2	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27	4.9	2	100%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25
Alondes Williams #15 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Contusion
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Medial Tendinitis
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Discomfort
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	59%	37	19	7	2	7	20	7	30	18-19	95%	25-47	53%	13-36	36%

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15 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 24	40.8	20	56%	1	9	0	0	1	2	1	0	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	5-12	42%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 26	38.8	25	78%	20	3	0	0	2	2	2	18	5-6	83%	10-13	77%	0-0	-
Isaac Okoro #35 · SF · 6'4" 225 · 23	38.5	7	58%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 30	36.9	16	67%	5	12	2	1	5	3	1	4	7-8	88%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 31	34.8	18	56%	3	1	1	0	1	2	0	3	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	3-11	27%

Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 28	20.6	12	67%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-9	44%
Marcus Morris Sr. #24 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 35	16.3	4	50%	2	3	0	0	1	2	1	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Tristan Thompson #13 · PF · 6'9" 254 · 33	9.4	0	0%	4	1	0	1	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 24	4.0	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Damian Jones #30 · C · 7'0" 245 · 29
Emoni Bates #21 · SF · 6'9" 202 · 20
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Surgery
Isaiah Mobley #15 · PF · 6'8" 238 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Pete Nance #8 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Evan Mobley #4 · C · 6'11" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Strain
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nasal; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	58%	37	30	3	2	11	19	6	31	19-22	86%	20-33	61%	15-42	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	CLE
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	CLE

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.19 59.4%

CLE

1.17 58.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

58%

CLE

71%

Midrange

MIA

48%

CLE

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

19.5

36%

54%

CLE

22.5

36%

54%

Free Throws

MIA

95%

CLE

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	30	71%	15.0 / 21
T. Rozier	24	71%	12.0 / 17
N. Jović	14	58%	7.0 / 12
P. Mills	10	42%	5.0 / 12
O. Robinson	8	100%	4.0 / 4
J. Jaquez	7	70%	3.5 / 5
T. Bryant	6	50%	3.0 / 6
C. Martin	4	25%	2.0 / 8
D. Wright	2	33%	1.0 / 3
H. Highsmith	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Allen	25	78%	12.5 / 16
D. Garland	20	56%	10.0 / 18
G. Niang	18	56%	9.0 / 16
C. LeVert	16	67%	8.0 / 12
S. Merrill	12	67%	6.0 / 9
I. Okoro	7	58%	3.5 / 6
M. Morris	4	50%	2.0 / 4
C. Porter	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Thompson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 113.3 16 114.8	MIA 121.6 +6.0 CLE 115.6
Pace	29 97.0 24 97.6	MIA 85.9 CLE 92.3 +6.5
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.8 8 14.9	MIA 16.8 CLE 15.6 −1.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.8% 13 55.7%	MIA 53.6% CLE 56.7% +3.1%
TO %	9 12.2% 17 13.0%	MIA 8.1% −4.3% CLE 12.4%
ORB %	26 21.8% 21 23.2%	MIA 18.4% +1.7% CLE 16.7%
FTrt	8 25.7 21 23.4	MIA 22.9 CLE 29.3 +6.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 64.8% 3 67.1%	MIA 50.0% CLE 85.7% +35.7%
STL %	11 7.7% 16 7.5%	MIA 8.0% +4.7% CLE 3.3%
BLK %	30 7.7% 22 9.0%	MIA 6.1% +1.8% CLE 4.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.2% 13 57.1%	MIA 59.4% +1.0% CLE 58.4%
Rim FG%	23 61.6% 18 63.5%	MIA 57.7% CLE 70.8% +13.1%
Mid FG%	13 44.3% 8 44.9%	MIA 47.6% +14.3% CLE 33.3%
3P %	12 37.0% 15 36.7%	MIA 36.1% +0.4% CLE 35.7%
FT %	5 81.8% 22 76.5%	MIA 94.7% +8.3% CLE 86.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 29.5% 8 34.8%	MIA 31.3% CLE 32.0% +0.7%
Mid Att. %	28 31.1% 2 23.0%	MIA 25.3% CLE 12.0% −13.3%
3P Att. %	14 39.4% 7 42.2%	MIA 43.4% CLE 56.0% +12.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	CLE
Possessions	88	90
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	107	104
Rebounds	37	37
Assists	19	30
Steals	7	3
Blocks	2	2
Turnovers (Team)	7 (1)	11 (1)
Fouls	20	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (2)	6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (2)	31 (5)
Field Goals	38-83	35-75
At-the-Rim FG	15-26	17-24
Midrange FG	10-21	3-9
2-Point FG	25-47	20-33
3-Point FG	13-36	15-42
Free Throws	18-19	19-22
Fast Break Pts	6	4
2nd Chance Pts	12	13
Points in Paint	38	36
Pts off Turnovers	18	14
Bench Points	23	18
Biggest Lead	11	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg