Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, March 20, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Heat | 37% | 105 | 107 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Pistons | 26% | 114 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Bucks | 25% | 109 | 119 |
 | 1 | Celtics | 75% | 119 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 29 | Raptors | 28% | 110 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 4 | Thunder | 84% | 123 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, March 19, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Hornets | 24% | 100 | 92 |
 | 14 | Magic | 76% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Pelicans | 60% | 113 | 104 |
 | 18 | Nets | 40% | 109 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Mavericks | 66% | 120 | 113 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Timberwolves | 46% | 106 | 112 |
Monday, March 18, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Cavaliers | 41% | 113 | 108 |
| 11 | Pacers | 59% | 117 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 11% | 102 | 94 |
| 2 | Celtics | 89% | 120 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 41% | 108 | 91 |
| 18 | 76ers | 59% | 111 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Blazers | 35% | 103 | 107 |
 | 21 | Bulls | 65% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 66% | 114 | 114 |
| 24 | Jazz | 34% | 108 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Knicks | 45% | 110 | 119 |
| 8 | Warriors | 55% | 112 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 32% | 109 | 111 |
| 13 | Kings | 68% | 115 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 12 | Lakers | 70% | 121 | 136 |
Sunday, March 17, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suns | 54% | 116 | 129 |
| 15 | Bucks | 46% | 115 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 67% | 114 | 104 |
| 28 | Pistons | 33% | 107 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 48% | 115 | 105 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 52% | 116 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Raptors | 32% | 106 | 96 |
| 16 | Magic | 68% | 113 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 93% | 124 | 130 |
| 30 | Wizards | 7% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 49% | 112 | 115 |
| 25 | Spurs | 51% | 113 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 28% | 111 | 110 |
| 4 | Clippers | 72% | 120 | 93 |
Saturday, March 16, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 59% | 109 | 103 |
| 20 | Rockets | 41% | 106 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 37% | 114 | 100 |
| 13 | Pacers | 63% | 119 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hornets | 21% | 105 | 98 |
| 18 | 76ers | 79% | 117 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Blazers | 19% | 105 | 107 |
| 2 | Pelicans | 81% | 118 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 31% | 107 | 98 |
| 21 | Bulls | 69% | 114 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 72% | 114 | 118 |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 28% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warriors | 45% | 114 | 128 |
| 10 | Lakers | 55% | 116 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 76% | 115 | 119 |
| 25 | Jazz | 24% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Knicks | 49% | 113 | 98 |
| 14 | Kings | 51% | 114 | 91 |
Friday, March 15, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 73% | 117 | 107 |
| 29 | Hornets | 27% | 108 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 68% | 115 | 108 |
| 27 | Pistons | 32% | 108 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 67% | 111 | 113 |
| 26 | Raptors | 33% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Clippers | 33% | 109 | 104 |
| 5 | Pelicans | 67% | 115 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nuggets | 72% | 117 | 117 |
| 24 | Spurs | 28% | 109 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 53% | 118 | 122 |
| 25 | Jazz | 47% | 117 | 124 |
Thursday, March 14, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 33% | 110 | 112 |
| 1 | Celtics | 67% | 116 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Clippers | 59% | 109 | 126 |
| 21 | Bulls | 41% | 106 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 30% | 108 | 119 |
| 18 | Rockets | 70% | 116 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | 36% | 113 | 105 |
| 7 | Bucks | 64% | 118 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Mavericks | 25% | 111 | 119 |
| 4 | Thunder | 75% | 121 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Knicks | 77% | 110 | 105 |
| 30 | Blazers | 23% | 99 | 93 |
Wednesday, March 13, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Raptors | 48% | 113 | 104 |
| 25 | Pistons | 52% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 43% | 105 | 106 |
| 17 | Magic | 57% | 108 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 39% | 112 | 132 |
| 11 | Pacers | 61% | 116 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nuggets | 56% | 111 | 100 |
| 13 | Heat | 44% | 109 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hornets | 42% | 103 | 110 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 58% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 38% | 108 | 116 |
| 4 | Pelicans | 62% | 113 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Warriors | 39% | 115 | 99 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 61% | 119 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 56% | 114 | 102 |
| 24 | Blazers | 44% | 111 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 55% | 118 | 107 |
| 16 | Kings | 45% | 116 | 120 |
Tuesday, March 12, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 42% | 109 | 79 |
| 14 | Knicks | 58% | 112 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 45% | 109 | 97 |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 55% | 111 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 39% | 116 | 121 |
| 7 | Thunder | 61% | 120 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Rockets | 59% | 111 | 103 |
| 23 | Spurs | 41% | 108 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 77% | 121 | 123 |
| 24 | Jazz | 23% | 110 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | 43% | 106 | 118 |
| 6 | Clippers | 57% | 108 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bucks | 55% | 119 | 94 |
| 15 | Kings | 45% | 118 | 129 |
Monday, March 11, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hornets | 41% | 109 | 97 |
| 26 | Pistons | 59% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 61% | 114 | 117 |
| 18 | Cavaliers | 39% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 54% | 114 | 127 |
| 20 | Bulls | 46% | 113 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Warriors | 64% | 115 | 112 |
| 23 | Spurs | 36% | 110 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Raptors | 16% | 104 | 119 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 84% | 119 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 84% | 118 | 121 |
| 25 | Blazers | 16% | 103 | 99 |
Sunday, March 10, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bucks | 63% | 117 | 124 |
| 20 | Clippers | 37% | 112 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pelicans | 65% | 118 | 116 |
| 22 | Hawks | 35% | 113 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 22% | 106 | 110 |
| 12 | Heat | 78% | 118 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 47% | 113 | 111 |
| 14 | Magic | 53% | 114 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Rockets | 45% | 113 | 112 |
| 15 | Kings | 55% | 115 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 37% | 108 | 79 |
| 13 | Knicks | 63% | 112 | 73 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 28% | 105 | 120 |
| 10 | Cavaliers | 72% | 114 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 20% | 102 | 93 |
| 3 | Thunder | 80% | 115 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 49% | 109 | 109 |
| 8 | Lakers | 51% | 110 | 120 |
Saturday, March 9, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 30% | 106 | 102 |
| 4 | Clippers | 70% | 114 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 70% | 111 | 99 |
| 30 | Hornets | 30% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 69% | 120 | 142 |
| 25 | Pistons | 31% | 113 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 66% | 113 | 117 |
| 11 | Suns | 34% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Spurs | 27% | 108 | 126 |
| 15 | Warriors | 73% | 117 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Jazz | 18% | 108 | 121 |
| 2 | Nuggets | 82% | 121 | 142 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 53% | 112 | 118 |
| 27 | Blazers | 47% | 111 | 128 |
Friday, March 8, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pelicans | 60% | 115 | 103 |
| 22 | 76ers | 40% | 111 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hornets | 48% | 112 | 100 |
| 30 | Wizards | 52% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | 46% | 103 | 104 |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 54% | 105 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 49% | 106 | 74 |
| 19 | Knicks | 51% | 107 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | 55% | 112 | 99 |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 45% | 111 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 30% | 107 | 100 |
| 4 | Thunder | 70% | 114 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bucks | 55% | 116 | 122 |
| 17 | Lakers | 45% | 115 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Rockets | 69% | 112 | 123 |
| 28 | Blazers | 31% | 104 | 107 |
Thursday, March 7, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 61% | 111 | 112 |
| 26 | Pistons | 39% | 107 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | 52% | 113 | 113 |
| 11 | Pacers | 48% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 41% | 113 | 108 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 59% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Raptors | 25% | 107 | 113 |
| 12 | Suns | 75% | 117 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 55% | 112 | 109 |
| 2 | Nuggets | 45% | 110 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 33% | 106 | 125 |
| 6 | Warriors | 67% | 113 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Spurs | 29% | 113 | 129 |
| 14 | Kings | 71% | 121 | 131 |