Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, March 9, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Bulls | 30% | 106 | 102 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Nets | 70% | 111 | 99 |
 | 30 | Hornets | 30% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Mavericks | 69% | 120 | 142 |
 | 25 | Pistons | 31% | 113 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Celtics | 66% | 113 | 117 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Raptors | 53% | 112 | 118 |
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Friday, March 8, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Pelicans | 60% | 115 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hornets | 48% | 112 | 100 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Timberwolves | 46% | 103 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Magic | 49% | 106 | 74 |
 | 19 | Knicks | 51% | 107 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Heat | 30% | 107 | 100 |
 | 4 | Thunder | 70% | 114 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Bucks | 55% | 116 | 122 |
 | 17 | Lakers | 45% | 115 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 28 | Blazers | 31% | 104 | 107 |
Thursday, March 7, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 61% | 111 | 112 |
| 26 | Pistons | 39% | 107 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | 52% | 113 | 113 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 41% | 113 | 108 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 59% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Raptors | 25% | 107 | 113 |
| 12 | Suns | 75% | 117 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 55% | 112 | 109 |
| 2 | Nuggets | 45% | 110 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 33% | 106 | 125 |
| 6 | Warriors | 67% | 113 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Spurs | 29% | 113 | 129 |
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Wednesday, March 6, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 65% | 114 | 119 |
| 28 | Wizards | 35% | 108 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 60% | 115 | 101 |
| 21 | Hawks | 40% | 112 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 39% | 106 | 115 |
| 22 | 76ers | 61% | 110 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 59% | 112 | 122 |
| 15 | Rockets | 41% | 109 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 56% | 114 | 119 |
| 23 | Jazz | 44% | 112 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bucks | 51% | 116 | 90 |
| 13 | Warriors | 49% | 115 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 80% | 117 | 128 |
| 30 | Blazers | 20% | 105 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 43% | 115 | 130 |
| 12 | Lakers | 57% | 118 | 120 |
Tuesday, March 5, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 72% | 111 | 101 |
| 29 | Hornets | 28% | 102 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 61% | 111 | 104 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 39% | 107 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 49% | 110 | 107 |
| 19 | Nets | 51% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 23% | 104 | 110 |
| 10 | Heat | 77% | 114 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 37% | 112 | 116 |
| 18 | Knicks | 63% | 117 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pelicans | 71% | 117 | 139 |
| 26 | Raptors | 29% | 109 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Spurs | 34% | 108 | 101 |
| 17 | Rockets | 66% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 38% | 120 | 137 |
| 8 | Mavericks | 62% | 124 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 35% | 108 | 117 |
| 3 | Nuggets | 65% | 114 | 107 |
Monday, March 4, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 26% | 100 | 106 |
| 18 | Nets | 74% | 110 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 52% | 115 | 106 |
| 19 | Bucks | 48% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Blazers | 14% | 97 | 114 |
| 2 | Timberwolves | 86% | 113 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 41% | 117 | 115 |
| 24 | Jazz | 59% | 120 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 42% | 110 | 113 |
| 14 | Kings | 58% | 113 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 51% | 116 | 104 |
| 10 | Lakers | 49% | 115 | 116 |
Sunday, March 3, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 38% | 117 | 120 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 62% | 121 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warriors | 30% | 108 | 88 |
| 1 | Celtics | 70% | 115 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 41% | 107 | 89 |
| 3 | Timberwolves | 59% | 111 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 31% | 104 | 91 |
| 17 | Magic | 69% | 112 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hornets | 31% | 108 | 106 |
| 23 | Raptors | 69% | 115 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Knicks | 38% | 105 | 107 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 62% | 110 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 61% | 120 | 105 |
| 24 | Spurs | 39% | 116 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 64% | 115 | 118 |
| 12 | Suns | 36% | 110 | 110 |
Saturday, March 2, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 44% | 113 | 102 |
| 19 | Nets | 56% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Jazz | 33% | 109 | 120 |
| 12 | Heat | 67% | 116 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Blazers | 37% | 102 | 107 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 63% | 107 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 51% | 115 | 124 |
| 11 | Lakers | 49% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Rockets | 35% | 108 | 118 |
| 4 | Suns | 65% | 114 | 109 |
Friday, March 1, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 78% | 115 | 110 |
| 27 | Pistons | 22% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hornets | 20% | 105 | 114 |
| 17 | 76ers | 80% | 117 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 24% | 110 | 110 |
| 1 | Celtics | 76% | 120 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warriors | 58% | 116 | 120 |
| 21 | Raptors | 42% | 113 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Blazers | 40% | 102 | 122 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 60% | 106 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 25% | 106 | 124 |
| 2 | Timberwolves | 75% | 116 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 39% | 116 | 102 |
| 9 | Pelicans | 61% | 120 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bucks | 49% | 111 | 113 |
| 18 | Bulls | 51% | 112 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 18% | 110 | 115 |
| 8 | Clippers | 82% | 123 | 140 |
Thursday, February 29, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 73% | 116 | 111 |
| 29 | Hornets | 27% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Jazz | 40% | 110 | 107 |
| 19 | Magic | 60% | 114 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | 45% | 113 | 97 |
| 20 | Nets | 55% | 115 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 55% | 113 | 110 |
| 15 | Knicks | 45% | 111 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 77% | 119 | 118 |
| 25 | Spurs | 23% | 108 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Rockets | 33% | 107 | 105 |
| 5 | Suns | 67% | 114 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 41% | 107 | 97 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 59% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 27% | 113 | 131 |
| 10 | Lakers | 73% | 122 | 134 |
Wednesday, February 28, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pelicans | 43% | 117 | 114 |
| 12 | Pacers | 57% | 119 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 56% | 118 | 136 |
| 23 | Raptors | 44% | 116 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 19% | 97 | 101 |
| 3 | Timberwolves | 81% | 110 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 65% | 111 | 123 |
| 21 | Bulls | 35% | 105 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 32% | 111 | 96 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 68% | 118 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 46% | 114 | 116 |
| 14 | Clippers | 54% | 116 | 112 |
Tuesday, February 27, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 33% | 110 | 119 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 67% | 117 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 41% | 104 | 81 |
| 21 | Magic | 59% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 73% | 121 | 123 |
| 28 | Wizards | 27% | 112 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Jazz | 45% | 120 | 97 |
| 22 | Hawks | 55% | 122 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 24% | 108 | 99 |
| 1 | Celtics | 76% | 118 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pelicans | 49% | 112 | 115 |
| 12 | Knicks | 51% | 113 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Spurs | 19% | 101 | 105 |
| 3 | Timberwolves | 81% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 26% | 104 | 105 |
| 18 | Bulls | 74% | 113 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 20% | 106 | 85 |
| 8 | Bucks | 80% | 118 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Rockets | 32% | 108 | 95 |
| 4 | Thunder | 68% | 115 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 68% | 111 | 106 |
| 30 | Blazers | 32% | 104 | 96 |
Monday, February 26, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 37% | 116 | 130 |
| 15 | Pacers | 63% | 121 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 19% | 105 | 111 |
| 12 | Knicks | 81% | 118 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 53% | 106 | 111 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 47% | 105 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 52% | 111 | 121 |
| 17 | Kings | 48% | 110 | 110 |
Sunday, February 25, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bucks | 49% | 117 | 119 |
| 15 | 76ers | 51% | 118 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Lakers | 38% | 112 | 113 |
| 5 | Suns | 62% | 116 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 53% | 123 | 111 |
| 18 | Pacers | 47% | 122 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 83% | 120 | 114 |
| 30 | Wizards | 17% | 106 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 48% | 112 | 92 |
| 23 | Hawks | 52% | 113 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 61% | 113 | 123 |
| 19 | Rockets | 39% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 35% | 106 | 114 |
| 11 | Pelicans | 65% | 112 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 48% | 112 | 119 |
| 9 | Warriors | 52% | 113 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Spurs | 36% | 115 | 109 |
| 22 | Jazz | 64% | 120 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hornets | 43% | 107 | 93 |
| 27 | Blazers | 57% | 109 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kings | 42% | 114 | 123 |
| 10 | Clippers | 58% | 117 | 107 |