Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 20, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Kings	72%	119	123	124.2	99	96.1
	29	Raptors	28%	110	89	90.8	98	101.0

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+21

-15

105

TOR

+13

-21

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.17 58.6%

TOR

0.98 48.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

13 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	30.7	10	42%	8	1	1	2	2	3	3	5	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-5	0%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	28.4	20	63%	4	5	2	0	3	0	0	4	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	3-7	43%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	27.6	13	65%	17	10	0	1	1	2	6	11	5-6	83%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	25.3	6	50%	1	2	4	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	19.0	16	80%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	3-5	60%

Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 26	21.4	8	57%	2	3	2	0	3	0	2	0	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	19.7	17	61%	2	2	1	0	3	3	0	2	4-4	100%	5-5	100%	1-7	14%
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	19.2	14	100%	5	2	0	0	1	0	2	3	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	2-2	100%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	16.0	6	100%	3	4	0	1	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 24	12.0	9	56%	3	1	1	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-5	20%
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	8.4	2	50%	2	0	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	7.9	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	4.4	2	20%	3	0	2	1	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Mason Jones #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Dislocation
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	59%	53	32	14	6	15	16	18	35	15-18	83%	36-53	68%	12-40	30%

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13 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	30.7	10	42%	8	1	1	2	2	3	3	5	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-5	0%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	28.4	20	63%	4	5	2	0	3	0	0	4	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	3-7	43%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	27.6	13	65%	17	10	0	1	1	2	6	11	5-6	83%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	25.3	6	50%	1	2	4	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	19.0	16	80%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	3-5	60%

Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 26	21.4	8	57%	2	3	2	0	3	0	2	0	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	19.7	17	61%	2	2	1	0	3	3	0	2	4-4	100%	5-5	100%	1-7	14%
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	19.2	14	100%	5	2	0	0	1	0	2	3	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	2-2	100%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	16.0	6	100%	3	4	0	1	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 24	12.0	9	56%	3	1	1	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-5	20%
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	8.4	2	50%	2	0	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	7.9	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	4.4	2	20%	3	0	2	1	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Mason Jones #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Dislocation
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	59%	53	32	14	6	15	16	18	35	15-18	83%	36-53	68%	12-40	30%

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29 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gary Trent Jr. #33 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 25	32.4	18	50%	6	2	1	0	0	2	3	3	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	4-9	44%
Gradey Dick #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 20	32.2	5	28%	1	3	1	0	2	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-6	17%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 24	30.0	13	59%	3	1	3	0	2	2	2	1	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 33	29.6	9	64%	3	4	0	2	3	4	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 28	25.8	9	50%	5	6	1	0	4	1	2	3	3-3	100%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%

Jahmi'us Ramsey #37 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	22.2	11	69%	3	1	1	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Javon Freeman-Liberty #0 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	21.0	4	40%	4	1	1	0	0	3	1	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 26	17.4	13	81%	2	0	1	0	5	1	0	2	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
Jalen McDaniels #2 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 26	13.5	4	50%	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Mouhamadou Gueye #16 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 26	13.4	3	19%	2	0	1	1	3	1	1	1	1-4	25%	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Jontay Porter #34 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 24	2.7	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Scottie Barnes #4 · SF · 6'8" 237 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture
D.J. Carton #3 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Partial tear - MCL
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Torn ligament - fifth metacarpal
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	Inactive – Personal
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 24	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	49%	31	21	11	3	21	15	11	20	13-18	72%	23-49	47%	10-31	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	TOR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.17 58.6%

TOR

0.98 48.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

80%

TOR

50%

Midrange

SAC

44%

TOR

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

18.0

30%

45%

TOR

15.0

32%

48%

Free Throws

SAC

83%

TOR

72%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Fox	20	63%	10.0 / 16
M. Monk	17	61%	8.5 / 14
H. Barnes	16	80%	8.0 / 10
C. Duarte	14	100%	7.0 / 7
D. Sabonis	13	65%	6.5 / 10
K. Murray	10	42%	5.0 / 12
K. Edwards	9	56%	4.5 / 8
D. Mitchell	8	57%	4.0 / 7
K. Ellis	6	50%	3.0 / 6
A. Len	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Slawson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. McGee	2	20%	1.0 / 5
C. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Trent	18	50%	9.0 / 18
O. Agbaji	13	59%	6.5 / 11
J. Nwora	13	81%	6.5 / 8
J. Ramsey	11	69%	5.5 / 8
K. Olynyk	9	64%	4.5 / 7
B. Brown	9	50%	4.5 / 9
G. Dick	5	28%	2.5 / 9
J. Freeman-Liberty	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. McDaniels	4	50%	2.0 / 4
M. Gueye	3	19%	1.5 / 8
J. Porter	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 116.3 24 111.9	SAC 124.2 +33.4 TOR 90.8
Pace	14 99.4 12 99.9	SAC 96.1 TOR 101.0 +4.9
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.1 28 13.9	SAC 15.0 TOR 14.3 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 55.6% 21 53.5%	SAC 58.1% +10.6% TOR 47.5%
TO %	12 12.5% 21 13.4%	SAC 13.7% −6.3% TOR 20.0%
ORB %	14 24.5% 17 24.2%	SAC 47.4% +23.5% TOR 23.9%
FTrt	22 22.9 16 24.1	SAC 19.4 TOR 22.5 +3.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 65.4% 2 67.4%	SAC 66.7% +3.1% TOR 63.6%
STL %	14 7.6% 13 7.7%	SAC 14.1% +2.9% TOR 11.2%
BLK %	27 8.6% 15 9.5%	SAC 12.2% +6.5% TOR 5.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 57.0% 22 55.5%	SAC 58.6% +9.7% TOR 48.9%
Rim FG%	6 66.0% 13 64.8%	SAC 80.0% +30.0% TOR 50.0%
Mid FG%	9 44.9% 22 40.8%	SAC 44.4% +2.3% TOR 42.1%
3P %	16 36.6% 27 34.7%	SAC 30.0% TOR 32.3% +2.3%
FT %	30 74.5% 29 75.6%	SAC 83.3% +11.1% TOR 72.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 30.0% 5 35.6%	SAC 37.6% +0.1% TOR 37.5%
Mid Att. %	14 26.8% 17 27.5%	SAC 19.4% −4.4% TOR 23.8%
3P Att. %	3 43.2% 26 36.9%	SAC 43.0% +4.3% TOR 38.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAC	TOR
Possessions	99	98
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	123	89
Rebounds	53	31
Assists	32	21
Steals	14	11
Blocks	6	3
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	21 (1)
Fouls	16	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	18 (3)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (1)	20 (5)
Field Goals	48-93	33-80
At-the-Rim FG	28-35	15-30
Midrange FG	8-18	8-19
2-Point FG	36-53	23-49
3-Point FG	12-40	10-31
Free Throws	15-18	13-18
Fast Break Pts	36	20
2nd Chance Pts	28	4
Points in Paint	68	38
Pts off Turnovers	33	17
Bench Points	58	35
Biggest Lead	38	1

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg