Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 26, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Warriors	61%	111	113	121.5	93	96.8
	21	Heat	39%	106	92	98.9	93	90.8

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+10

-10

MIA

+16

-8

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.22 60.8%

MIA

0.91 45.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 21	31.7	18	64%	7	3	0	1	1	3	3	4	2-3	67%	8-11	73%	0-2	0%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 36	31.0	17	57%	2	6	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	3-10	30%
Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	31.0	28	70%	5	2	0	1	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	5-6	83%	6-14	43%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 29	30.6	17	65%	7	1	0	2	1	1	0	7	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	1-5	20%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 34	27.7	4	40%	9	8	2	0	1	5	0	9	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%

Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 39	23.0	0	0%	2	7	2	0	3	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 21	22.0	6	60%	5	1	1	0	1	1	1	4	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 28	18.7	7	58%	6	1	0	0	0	3	1	5	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Gary Payton II #0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 31	13.5	2	33%	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 22	6.0	9	113%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 22	1.6	5	125%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Lester Quinones #25 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 23	1.6	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jerome Robinson #18 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 27	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dario Šarić #20 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Usman Garuba #12 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	61%	43	31	6	5	10	20	7	36	6-10	60%	34-47	72%	13-38	34%

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3 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 21	31.7	18	64%	7	3	0	1	1	3	3	4	2-3	67%	8-11	73%	0-2	0%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 36	31.0	17	57%	2	6	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	3-10	30%
Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	31.0	28	70%	5	2	0	1	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	5-6	83%	6-14	43%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 29	30.6	17	65%	7	1	0	2	1	1	0	7	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	1-5	20%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 34	27.7	4	40%	9	8	2	0	1	5	0	9	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%

Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 39	23.0	0	0%	2	7	2	0	3	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 21	22.0	6	60%	5	1	1	0	1	1	1	4	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 28	18.7	7	58%	6	1	0	0	0	3	1	5	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Gary Payton II #0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 31	13.5	2	33%	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 22	6.0	9	113%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 22	1.6	5	125%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Lester Quinones #25 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 23	1.6	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jerome Robinson #18 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 27	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dario Šarić #20 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Usman Garuba #12 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	61%	43	31	6	5	10	20	7	36	6-10	60%	34-47	72%	13-38	34%

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21 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 27	38.6	24	52%	9	5	1	1	1	1	3	6	3-4	75%	9-18	50%	1-3	33%
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30	32.5	15	42%	4	2	0	1	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	6-12	50%	1-6	17%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21	30.9	11	46%	6	4	0	0	0	0	2	4	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	2-7	29%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	25.9	12	50%	2	1	0	0	2	2	1	1	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Patty Mills #88 · SG · 6'0" 185 · 36	17.6	2	20%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%

Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28	34.3	10	38%	5	6	0	0	0	0	1	4	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-4	0%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27	30.0	15	107%	6	2	2	0	0	1	2	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-3	100%
Delon Wright #4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32	16.0	0	0%	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	7.8	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	1.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Alondes Williams #15 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	1.6	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Head; Illness (Non-Covid
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Medial Tendinitis
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Facet; Syndrome
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	46%	39	24	3	2	8	9	11	28	10-13	77%	29-59	49%	8-33	24%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.22 60.8%

MIA

0.91 45.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

79%

MIA

53%

Midrange

GSW

63%

MIA

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

19.5

34%

51%

MIA

12.0

24%

36%

Free Throws

GSW

60%

MIA

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Thompson	28	70%	14.0 / 20
J. Kuminga	18	64%	9.0 / 14
S. Curry	17	57%	8.5 / 15
A. Wiggins	17	65%	8.5 / 13
M. Moody	9	113%	4.5 / 4
K. Looney	7	58%	3.5 / 6
B. Podziemski	6	60%	3.0 / 5
G. Santos	5	125%	2.5 / 2
D. Green	4	40%	2.0 / 5
G. Payton	2	33%	1.0 / 3
C. Paul	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo	24	52%	12.0 / 23
T. Rozier	15	42%	7.5 / 18
H. Highsmith	15	107%	7.5 / 7
J. Jaquez	12	50%	6.0 / 12
N. Jović	11	46%	5.5 / 12
C. Martin	10	38%	5.0 / 13
A. Williams	3	150%	1.5 / 1
P. Mills	2	20%	1.0 / 5
D. Wright	0	-	0.0 / 3
T. Bryant	0	-	0.0 / 3
C. Swider	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 116.9 21 113.3	GSW 121.5 +22.6 MIA 98.9
Pace	11 100.0 29 97.0	GSW 96.8 +6.0 MIA 90.8
Avg. Poss. Time	17 14.4 10 14.8	GSW 14.9 −1.0 MIA 15.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.7% 20 53.8%	GSW 62.9% +18.3% MIA 44.6%
TO %	23 13.6% 9 12.2%	GSW 11.8% MIA 8.4% −3.4%
ORB %	4 27.5% 26 21.8%	GSW 20.0% MIA 23.4% +3.4%
FTrt	29 21.9 8 25.7	GSW 11.8 MIA 14.1 +2.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 67.1% 11 64.8%	GSW 66.0% +1.1% MIA 64.9%
STL %	24 6.9% 11 7.7%	GSW 6.5% +3.3% MIA 3.2%
BLK %	23 8.8% 30 7.7%	GSW 8.5% +4.2% MIA 4.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	12 57.2% 17 56.2%	GSW 60.8% +15.3% MIA 45.5%
Rim FG%	5 66.3% 23 61.6%	GSW 78.6% +25.3% MIA 53.3%
Mid FG%	19 41.4% 13 44.3%	GSW 63.2% +18.4% MIA 44.8%
3P %	7 38.0% 12 37.0%	GSW 34.2% +10.0% MIA 24.2%
FT %	17 78.0% 5 81.8%	GSW 60.0% MIA 76.9% +16.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 31.0% 29 29.5%	GSW 32.9% +0.3% MIA 32.6%
Mid Att. %	12 26.5% 28 31.1%	GSW 22.4% −9.2% MIA 31.5%
3P Att. %	6 42.5% 14 39.4%	GSW 44.7% +8.8% MIA 35.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	MIA
Possessions	93	93
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.6
Points	113	92
Rebounds	43	39
Assists	31	24
Steals	6	3
Blocks	5	2
Turnovers (Team)	10 (2)	8 (1)
Fouls	20	9
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (3)	11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (3)	28 (3)
Field Goals	47-85	37-92
At-the-Rim FG	22-28	16-30
Midrange FG	12-19	13-29
2-Point FG	34-47	29-59
3-Point FG	13-38	8-33
Free Throws	6-10	10-13
Fast Break Pts	18	10
2nd Chance Pts	13	6
Points in Paint	52	46
Pts off Turnovers	13	14
Bench Points	29	28
Biggest Lead	22	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg