Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, April 3, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Blazers	45%	108	89	93.7	95	91.4
	26	Hornets	55%	110	86	90.5	95	98.9

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+21

-15

101

CHA

-9

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

0.88 44.1%

CHA

0.93 46.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jabari Walker #34 · PF · 6'7" 237 · 22	41.5	14	37%	22	2	0	1	0	4	3	19	5-5	100%	3-14	21%	1-3	33%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 26	37.2	24	55%	16	2	0	0	2	1	6	10	0-0	-	12-21	57%	0-1	0%
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	37.0	22	65%	1	10	1	0	6	3	0	1	0-2	0%	5-9	56%	4-7	57%
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	34.8	4	33%	5	1	1	0	3	4	1	4	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 24	32.1	6	50%	3	0	0	1	1	3	1	2	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%

Dalano Banton #5 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 24	33.9	12	43%	2	3	2	0	2	0	0	2	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	1-4	25%
Ashton Hagans #19 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25	12.6	0	0%	3	1	0	0	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	10.8	7	35%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Impingement
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Abdominal; Surgery
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinitis
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ilium; Contusion
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Tendinitis
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Rib; Fracture
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	44%	55	19	4	8	15	19	14	41	8-12	67%	30-67	45%	7-26	27%

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29 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jabari Walker #34 · PF · 6'7" 237 · 22	41.5	14	37%	22	2	0	1	0	4	3	19	5-5	100%	3-14	21%	1-3	33%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 26	37.2	24	55%	16	2	0	0	2	1	6	10	0-0	-	12-21	57%	0-1	0%
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	37.0	22	65%	1	10	1	0	6	3	0	1	0-2	0%	5-9	56%	4-7	57%
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	34.8	4	33%	5	1	1	0	3	4	1	4	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 24	32.1	6	50%	3	0	0	1	1	3	1	2	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%

Dalano Banton #5 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 24	33.9	12	43%	2	3	2	0	2	0	0	2	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	1-4	25%
Ashton Hagans #19 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25	12.6	0	0%	3	1	0	0	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	10.8	7	35%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Impingement
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Abdominal; Surgery
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinitis
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ilium; Contusion
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Tendinitis
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Rib; Fracture
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	44%	55	19	4	8	15	19	14	41	8-12	67%	30-67	45%	7-26	27%

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26 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 23	34.8	11	42%	3	2	3	0	2	1	0	3	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	0-6	0%
Grant Williams #2 · C · 6'7" 236 · 25	33.4	5	36%	7	11	0	0	1	3	0	7	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	29.9	21	50%	2	1	2	1	2	1	0	2	2-3	67%	8-12	67%	1-8	13%
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 22	27.4	9	90%	5	1	0	1	1	1	0	5	1-1	100%	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Davis Bertans #9 · SF · 6'10" 210 · 31	27.1	7	44%	1	4	4	0	1	3	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-6	17%

Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 22	20.6	11	55%	3	1	0	2	0	2	1	2	6-8	75%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 20	18.5	4	22%	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-2	0%
Bryce McGowens #7 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 21	18.4	7	39%	3	0	0	1	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-2	50%
Leaky Black #12 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 25	15.3	4	100%	1	1	0	2	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Marques Bolden #3 · C · 6'10" 249 · 26	14.6	7	88%	8	0	1	1	0	0	1	7	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Miles Bridges #0 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Contusion
Vasilije Micić #22 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Strain
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Tendinopathy
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Contusion
Cody Martin #11 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Nick Richards #4 · C · 6'11" 245 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Plantar Fascia; Discomfort
Amari Bailey #10 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	86	47%	36	22	10	2	9	15	2	34	17-22	77%	27-47	57%	5-31	16%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	CHA
Clock	Team	Event	POR	CHA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

0.88 44.1%

CHA

0.93 46.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

44%

CHA

54%

Midrange

POR

46%

CHA

61%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

10.5

27%

40%

CHA

7.5

16%

24%

Free Throws

POR

67%

CHA

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Ayton	24	55%	12.0 / 22
S. Henderson	22	65%	11.0 / 17
J. Walker	14	37%	7.0 / 19
D. Banton	12	43%	6.0 / 14
D. Reath	7	35%	3.5 / 10
K. Murray	6	50%	3.0 / 6
R. Rupert	4	33%	2.0 / 6
A. Hagans	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Miller	21	50%	10.5 / 21
T. Mann	11	42%	5.5 / 13
A. Pokusevski	11	55%	5.5 / 10
J. Thor	9	90%	4.5 / 5
D. Bertans	7	44%	3.5 / 8
B. McGowens	7	39%	3.5 / 9
M. Bolden	7	88%	3.5 / 4
G. Williams	5	36%	2.5 / 7
N. Smith	4	22%	2.0 / 9
L. Black	4	100%	2.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 107.7 28 108.7	POR 93.7 +3.2 CHA 90.5
Pace	21 97.9 23 97.8	POR 91.4 CHA 98.9 +7.5
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.6 13 14.7	POR 15.8 CHA 14.6 −1.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 50.3% 26 52.9%	POR 43.5% CHA 44.2% +0.7%
TO %	29 14.6% 20 13.2%	POR 14.0% CHA 11.1% −2.9%
ORB %	3 27.5% 27 21.1%	POR 29.2% +24.5% CHA 4.7%
FTrt	23 22.8 30 21.2	POR 12.9 CHA 28.2 +15.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 58.7% 18 62.0%	POR 51.4% CHA 68.8% +17.4%
STL %	12 7.7% 22 7.0%	POR 4.2% CHA 10.5% +6.3%
BLK %	20 9.0% 29 8.5%	POR 17.0% +14.0% CHA 3.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.28 and 2.28.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	30 52.6% 28 54.6%	POR 44.1% CHA 46.7% +2.6%
Rim FG%	29 58.1% 20 63.0%	POR 43.9% CHA 54.2% +10.3%
Mid FG%	30 38.7% 23 40.5%	POR 46.2% CHA 60.9% +14.7%
3P %	30 34.5% 21 35.5%	POR 26.9% +10.8% CHA 16.1%
FT %	9 79.1% 11 78.6%	POR 66.7% CHA 77.3% +10.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 34.7% 15 33.2%	POR 44.1% +13.3% CHA 30.8%
Mid Att. %	23 28.3% 19 27.7%	POR 28.0% −1.5% CHA 29.5%
3P Att. %	24 37.0% 15 39.1%	POR 28.0% CHA 39.7% +11.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Game Totals	POR	CHA
Possessions	95	95
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	89	86
Rebounds	55	36
Assists	19	22
Steals	4	10
Blocks	8	2
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	9 (2)
Fouls	19	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (7)	2 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	41 (0)	34 (3)
Field Goals	37-93	32-78
At-the-Rim FG	18-41	13-24
Midrange FG	12-26	14-23
2-Point FG	30-67	27-47
3-Point FG	7-26	5-31
Free Throws	8-12	17-22
Fast Break Pts	12	11
2nd Chance Pts	16	6
Points in Paint	44	44
Pts off Turnovers	4	9
Bench Points	19	33
Biggest Lead	11	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg