Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, April 3, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 26 | Hornets | 55% | 110 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Lakers | 69% | 120 | 125 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Pistons | 24% | 110 | 113 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Thunder | 16% | 106 | 100 |
 | 1 | Celtics | 84% | 120 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Nets | 44% | 115 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 12 | Bucks | 71% | 115 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Raptors | 14% | 98 | 85 |
 | 3 | Timberwolves | 86% | 114 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Magic | 39% | 105 | 117 |
 | 7 | Pelicans | 61% | 109 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, April 2, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 75% | 120 | 128 |
| 28 | Raptors | 25% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bucks | 73% | 120 | 113 |
| 26 | Wizards | 27% | 112 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Thunder | 38% | 110 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Knicks | 52% | 108 | 99 |
 | 12 | Heat | 48% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 2 | Timberwolves | 68% | 109 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cavaliers | 68% | 117 | 129 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Mavericks | 47% | 116 | 100 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Monday, April 1, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 91% | 120 | 118 |
| 27 | Hornets | 9% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 57% | 110 | 110 |
| 29 | Pistons | 43% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 29% | 112 | 111 |
| 11 | Pacers | 71% | 120 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Blazers | 18% | 97 | 103 |
| 15 | Magic | 82% | 111 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | 45% | 112 | 113 |
 | 20 | Bulls | 55% | 114 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 41% | 111 | 124 |
| 6 | Pelicans | 59% | 114 | 111 |
Sunday, March 31, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 46% | 109 | 101 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 54% | 110 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Lakers | 54% | 114 | 116 |
| 21 | Nets | 46% | 112 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | 77% | 118 | 130 |
| 26 | Hornets | 23% | 107 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 74% | 116 | 135 |
| 29 | Raptors | 26% | 107 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 72% | 115 | 119 |
| 25 | Wizards | 28% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 47% | 112 | 113 |
| 6 | Knicks | 53% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 55% | 115 | 125 |
| 17 | Rockets | 45% | 113 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 30% | 102 | 109 |
| 3 | Timberwolves | 70% | 109 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 69% | 117 | 117 |
| 23 | Spurs | 31% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 26% | 110 | 106 |
| 18 | Kings | 74% | 119 | 127 |
Saturday, March 30, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 62% | 114 | 104 |
| 9 | Pelicans | 38% | 109 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 35% | 102 | 88 |
| 17 | Magic | 65% | 107 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 56% | 117 | 122 |
| 21 | Hawks | 44% | 115 | 113 |
Friday, March 29, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 78% | 118 | 115 |
| 28 | Hornets | 22% | 107 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Lakers | 44% | 119 | 90 |
| 13 | Pacers | 56% | 121 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 49% | 109 | 100 |
| 12 | Magic | 51% | 110 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pistons | 40% | 115 | 96 |
| 25 | Wizards | 60% | 119 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 47% | 108 | 108 |
| 22 | Nets | 53% | 109 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 37% | 108 | 114 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 63% | 113 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Blazers | 24% | 103 | 82 |
| 16 | Heat | 76% | 113 | 142 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 49% | 114 | 103 |
| 15 | Thunder | 51% | 115 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | 67% | 114 | 126 |
| 23 | Spurs | 33% | 107 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Timberwolves | 48% | 106 | 111 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 52% | 107 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Rockets | 68% | 117 | 101 |
| 26 | Jazz | 32% | 110 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 53% | 118 | 107 |
| 17 | Kings | 47% | 116 | 103 |
Thursday, March 28, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 80% | 122 | 122 |
| 22 | Hawks | 20% | 109 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 46% | 114 | 100 |
| 5 | Pelicans | 54% | 115 | 107 |
Wednesday, March 27, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Cavaliers | 75% | 113 | 111 |
| 27 | Hornets | 25% | 103 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 44% | 108 | 101 |
| 12 | Magic | 56% | 111 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 62% | 116 | 122 |
| 26 | Wizards | 38% | 112 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Blazers | 26% | 106 | 106 |
| 21 | Hawks | 74% | 115 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 51% | 114 | 108 |
| 17 | 76ers | 49% | 113 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | 81% | 115 | 145 |
| 29 | Raptors | 19% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 55% | 117 | 99 |
| 19 | Bulls | 45% | 115 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 46% | 111 | 136 |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 54% | 113 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pistons | 10% | 99 | 91 |
| 3 | Timberwolves | 90% | 117 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Rockets | 43% | 109 | 132 |
| 13 | Thunder | 57% | 111 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Spurs | 44% | 115 | 118 |
| 24 | Jazz | 56% | 117 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 47% | 112 | 104 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 53% | 113 | 97 |
Tuesday, March 26, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 61% | 111 | 113 |
| 21 | Heat | 39% | 106 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | 38% | 116 | 128 |
| 4 | Bucks | 62% | 121 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 47% | 112 | 119 |
| 7 | Pelicans | 53% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 49% | 117 | 132 |
| 15 | Kings | 51% | 118 | 96 |
Monday, March 25, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 25% | 102 | 92 |
| 18 | Cavaliers | 75% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 77% | 121 | 118 |
| 21 | Hawks | 23% | 110 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pistons | 9% | 101 | 99 |
| 9 | Knicks | 91% | 121 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 66% | 114 | 96 |
| 28 | Raptors | 34% | 108 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 28% | 109 | 107 |
| 19 | Bulls | 72% | 117 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Blazers | 22% | 101 | 92 |
| 17 | Rockets | 78% | 112 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Suns | 73% | 120 | 102 |
| 25 | Spurs | 27% | 111 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 28% | 103 | 103 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 72% | 112 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 69% | 124 | 115 |
| 24 | Jazz | 31% | 117 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 38% | 112 | 96 |
| 15 | Kings | 62% | 116 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 43% | 117 | 133 |
| 13 | Clippers | 57% | 120 | 116 |
Sunday, March 24, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pelicans | 82% | 119 | 114 |
| 30 | Pistons | 18% | 106 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 37% | 111 | 121 |
| 10 | Clippers | 63% | 116 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Cavaliers | 51% | 107 | 84 |
| 17 | Heat | 49% | 106 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 48% | 116 | 93 |
| 5 | Bucks | 52% | 117 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 42% | 107 | 110 |
| 4 | Timberwolves | 58% | 110 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 48% | 117 | 145 |
| 16 | Lakers | 52% | 118 | 150 |
Saturday, March 23, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 31% | 105 | 93 |
| 9 | Knicks | 69% | 112 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 45% | 108 | 109 |
| 12 | Magic | 55% | 110 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 29% | 108 | 91 |
| 22 | Hawks | 71% | 116 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Raptors | 40% | 113 | 109 |
| 26 | Wizards | 60% | 117 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 64% | 112 | 124 |
| 20 | Bulls | 36% | 106 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Jazz | 29% | 108 | 119 |
| 16 | Rockets | 71% | 116 | 147 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 70% | 118 | 131 |
| 23 | Spurs | 30% | 111 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nuggets | 77% | 110 | 114 |
| 30 | Blazers | 23% | 99 | 111 |
Friday, March 22, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 87% | 121 | 129 |
| 29 | Pistons | 13% | 104 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 84% | 121 | 123 |
| 30 | Raptors | 16% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pelicans | 51% | 108 | 111 |
| 17 | Heat | 49% | 107 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cavaliers | 38% | 104 | 91 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 62% | 109 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 46% | 108 | 99 |
| 23 | Spurs | 54% | 109 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 38% | 116 | 123 |
| 6 | Warriors | 62% | 121 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 76% | 116 | 125 |
| 27 | Blazers | 24% | 106 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 39% | 112 | 94 |
| 11 | Lakers | 61% | 116 | 101 |
Thursday, March 21, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pelicans | 58% | 109 | 106 |
| 16 | Magic | 42% | 106 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kings | 69% | 121 | 102 |
| 28 | Wizards | 31% | 114 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 41% | 106 | 117 |
| 18 | Rockets | 59% | 109 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 35% | 112 | 108 |
| 10 | Bucks | 65% | 117 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Jazz | 18% | 113 | 97 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 82% | 126 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | 37% | 108 | 100 |
| 2 | Nuggets | 63% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 28% | 112 | 115 |
| 5 | Suns | 72% | 121 | 128 |