Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, April 3, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Raptors	14%	98	85	81.0	105	106.2
	3	Timberwolves	86%	114	133	127.9	104	102.9

Scoring Opportunities

TOR

+14

-20

MIN

+12

-9

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

0.86 42.9%

MIN

1.24 62.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen McDaniels #2 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 26	37.3	13	43%	8	4	0	0	3	4	2	6	1-1	100%	6-14	43%	0-1	0%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 20	33.8	16	44%	8	0	1	0	4	2	0	8	3-3	100%	5-11	45%	1-6	17%
Garrett Temple #17 · SF · 6'5" 195 · 38	33.5	7	32%	2	0	0	1	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-5	20%
Malik Williams #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	31.1	0	0%	5	1	1	2	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	0-5	0%	0-2	0%
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	28.6	16	47%	1	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	5-10	50%	2-7	29%

Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 26	29.7	14	64%	13	5	0	0	4	0	3	10	5-6	83%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Javon Freeman-Liberty #0 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	27.3	16	73%	5	6	1	0	5	1	0	5	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	2-4	50%
Mouhamadou Gueye #16 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 26	18.8	3	30%	6	0	0	3	1	3	3	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Gary Trent Jr. #33 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Back; Spasms
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 33	DND – Rest
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Contusion
Scottie Barnes #4 · SF · 6'8" 237 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture; Third Metacarpal
D.J. Carton #3 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Patrial MCL Tear
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Torn Ligament; Fifth Finger
Jontay Porter #34 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 24	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	85	43%	48	19	4	6	20	15	10	38	12-14	86%	26-60	43%	7-30	23%

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27 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen McDaniels #2 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 26	37.3	13	43%	8	4	0	0	3	4	2	6	1-1	100%	6-14	43%	0-1	0%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 20	33.8	16	44%	8	0	1	0	4	2	0	8	3-3	100%	5-11	45%	1-6	17%
Garrett Temple #17 · SF · 6'5" 195 · 38	33.5	7	32%	2	0	0	1	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-5	20%
Malik Williams #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	31.1	0	0%	5	1	1	2	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	0-5	0%	0-2	0%
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	28.6	16	47%	1	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	5-10	50%	2-7	29%

Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 26	29.7	14	64%	13	5	0	0	4	0	3	10	5-6	83%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Javon Freeman-Liberty #0 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	27.3	16	73%	5	6	1	0	5	1	0	5	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	2-4	50%
Mouhamadou Gueye #16 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 26	18.8	3	30%	6	0	0	3	1	3	3	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Gary Trent Jr. #33 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Back; Spasms
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 33	DND – Rest
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Contusion
Scottie Barnes #4 · SF · 6'8" 237 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture; Third Metacarpal
D.J. Carton #3 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Patrial MCL Tear
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Torn Ligament; Fifth Finger
Jontay Porter #34 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 24	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	85	43%	48	19	4	6	20	15	10	38	12-14	86%	26-60	43%	7-30	23%

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3 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	30.1	28	56%	3	6	2	0	0	0	0	3	3-5	60%	5-11	45%	5-12	42%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	27.5	11	55%	15	3	1	2	4	3	5	10	5-8	63%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Naz Reid #11 · PF · 6'9" 264 · 25	25.8	23	72%	7	1	1	2	2	0	1	6	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	6-10	60%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	25.1	8	44%	4	2	2	3	1	1	1	3	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 26	22.5	14	100%	2	3	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-6	67%

Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	24.8	13	81%	4	5	1	2	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-5	60%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 31	17.5	3	38%	3	5	1	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	16.6	0	0%	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
T.J. Warren #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 31	13.9	8	67%	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	9.5	16	73%	2	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	2-3	67%	7-9	78%	0-1	0%
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	8.2	2	50%	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	6.8	0	0%	1	3	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	6.8	2	50%	1	1	1	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	5.1	5	125%	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Meniscus; Tear
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	62%	50	37	13	9	9	12	9	41	15-22	68%	29-53	55%	20-43	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	MIN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

0.86 42.9%

MIN

1.24 62.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

46%

MIN

67%

Midrange

TOR

41%

MIN

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

10.5

23%

35%

MIN

30.0

47%

70%

Free Throws

TOR

86%

MIN

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Dick	16	44%	8.0 / 18
I. Quickley	16	47%	8.0 / 17
J. Freeman-Liberty	16	73%	8.0 / 11
J. Nwora	14	64%	7.0 / 11
J. McDaniels	13	43%	6.5 / 15
G. Temple	7	32%	3.5 / 11
M. Gueye	3	30%	1.5 / 5
M. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	28	56%	14.0 / 25
N. Reid	23	72%	11.5 / 16
L. Garza	16	73%	8.0 / 11
N. Alexander-Walker	14	100%	7.0 / 7
M. Morris	13	81%	6.5 / 8
R. Gobert	11	55%	5.5 / 10
J. McDaniels	8	44%	4.0 / 9
T. Warren	8	67%	4.0 / 6
L. Miller	5	125%	2.5 / 2
K. Anderson	3	38%	1.5 / 4
W. Moore	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Minott	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. McLaughlin	0	-	0.0 / 2
D. Nix	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	24 111.9 17 114.7	TOR 81.0 MIN 127.9 +46.9
Pace	12 99.9 22 97.9	TOR 106.2 +3.3 MIN 102.9
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.9 3 15.0	TOR 13.6 −0.4 MIN 14.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.5% 10 55.9%	TOR 40.6% MIN 61.5% +20.9%
TO %	21 13.4% 22 13.6%	TOR 17.9% MIN 7.8% −10.1%
ORB %	17 24.2% 22 23.1%	TOR 19.6% +0.5% MIN 19.1%
FTrt	16 24.1 5 27.0	TOR 15.6 MIN 22.9 +7.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 67.4% 12 64.6%	TOR 57.6% MIN 75.5% +17.9%
STL %	13 7.7% 6 8.0%	TOR 3.8% MIN 12.5% +8.7%
BLK %	15 9.5% 4 11.0%	TOR 11.3% MIN 15.0% +3.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.5% 10 57.7%	TOR 42.9% MIN 62.1% +19.2%
Rim FG%	13 64.8% 15 64.3%	TOR 46.2% MIN 66.7% +20.5%
Mid FG%	22 40.8% 16 42.6%	TOR 41.2% +2.1% MIN 39.1%
3P %	27 34.7% 3 38.7%	TOR 23.3% MIN 46.5% +23.2%
FT %	29 75.6% 18 77.7%	TOR 85.7% +17.5% MIN 68.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 35.6% 14 34.1%	TOR 28.9% MIN 31.3% +2.4%
Mid Att. %	17 27.5% 16 27.5%	TOR 37.8% MIN 24.0% −13.8%
3P Att. %	26 36.9% 17 38.4%	TOR 33.3% MIN 44.8% +11.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	TOR	MIN
Possessions	105	104
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	85	133
Rebounds	48	50
Assists	19	37
Steals	4	13
Blocks	6	9
Turnovers (Team)	20 (1)	9 (0)
Fouls	15	12
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (1)	41 (3)
Field Goals	33-90	49-96
At-the-Rim FG	12-26	20-30
Midrange FG	14-34	9-23
2-Point FG	26-60	29-53
3-Point FG	7-30	20-43
Free Throws	12-14	15-22
Fast Break Pts	20	24
2nd Chance Pts	12	18
Points in Paint	40	46
Pts off Turnovers	6	28
Bench Points	33	49
Biggest Lead	5	48

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg