Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, April 4, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	76ers	47%	109	109	110.1	99	92.4
	11	Heat	53%	110	105	107.1	98	105.5

Scoring Opportunities

PHI

+12

-11

100

MIA

+20

-15

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.09 54.5%

MIA

1.02 51.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

8 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23	41.4	37	69%	9	11	1	1	1	3	2	7	2-2	100%	10-12	83%	5-14	36%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 28	41.1	18	64%	8	0	2	1	3	2	1	7	0-0	-	6-8	75%	2-6	33%
Kyle Lowry #7 · SG · 6'0" 196 · 38	33.7	8	57%	6	5	1	0	1	2	0	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 30	32.7	29	54%	4	3	1	1	1	2	0	4	4-5	80%	8-19	42%	3-6	50%
Nicolas Batum #40 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 35	32.1	0	0%	4	7	2	1	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%

KJ Martin #1 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	21.3	4	33%	4	1	0	1	1	0	4	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Paul Reed #44 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 25	15.3	5	83%	4	0	2	2	0	0	0	4	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Buddy Hield #17 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 31	12.0	2	14%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-4	0%
Cameron Payne #22 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 30	10.4	6	150%	0	1	2	0	2	5	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Contusion
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lumbar Spine Bone Stress
Mo Bamba #5 · C · 7'0" 231 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Jeff Dowtin Jr. #11 · PG · 6'3" 177 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Terquavion Smith #23 · PG · 6'4" 160 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ricky Council IV #16 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Robert Covington #33 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise / Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	55%	41	28	11	7	11	15	8	33	9-11	82%	29-52	56%	14-40	35%

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8 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23	41.4	37	69%	9	11	1	1	1	3	2	7	2-2	100%	10-12	83%	5-14	36%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 28	41.1	18	64%	8	0	2	1	3	2	1	7	0-0	-	6-8	75%	2-6	33%
Kyle Lowry #7 · SG · 6'0" 196 · 38	33.7	8	57%	6	5	1	0	1	2	0	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 30	32.7	29	54%	4	3	1	1	1	2	0	4	4-5	80%	8-19	42%	3-6	50%
Nicolas Batum #40 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 35	32.1	0	0%	4	7	2	1	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%

KJ Martin #1 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	21.3	4	33%	4	1	0	1	1	0	4	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Paul Reed #44 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 25	15.3	5	83%	4	0	2	2	0	0	0	4	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Buddy Hield #17 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 31	12.0	2	14%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-4	0%
Cameron Payne #22 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 30	10.4	6	150%	0	1	2	0	2	5	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Contusion
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lumbar Spine Bone Stress
Mo Bamba #5 · C · 7'0" 231 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Jeff Dowtin Jr. #11 · PG · 6'3" 177 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Terquavion Smith #23 · PG · 6'4" 160 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ricky Council IV #16 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Robert Covington #33 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise / Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	55%	41	28	11	7	11	15	8	33	9-11	82%	29-52	56%	14-40	35%

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11 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 35	39.8	20	53%	4	5	0	0	1	0	2	2	5-5	100%	6-13	46%	1-4	25%
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30	32.9	22	52%	2	2	1	0	3	1	1	1	2-2	100%	1-7	14%	6-13	46%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 27	29.4	14	47%	11	3	0	1	2	2	4	7	1-1	100%	5-14	36%	1-1	100%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21	19.8	11	55%	5	1	0	0	2	1	0	5	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 30	19.6	2	25%	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%

Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 29	30.9	7	44%	0	3	0	0	3	2	0	0	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	1-6	17%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27	28.6	12	86%	9	2	4	1	1	1	3	6	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-4	50%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	20.4	6	50%	4	3	1	2	1	1	2	2	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 36	18.6	11	55%	16	4	0	0	2	2	4	12	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-6	17%
Delon Wright #4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #88 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alondes Williams #15 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Medial Tendinitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	51%	51	24	8	4	15	10	16	35	14-16	88%	26-51	51%	13-43	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.09 54.5%

MIA

1.02 51.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHI

58%

MIA

56%

Midrange

PHI

55%

MIA

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHI

21.0

35%

53%

MIA

19.5

30%

45%

Free Throws

PHI

82%

MIA

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Maxey	37	69%	18.5 / 27
J. Embiid	29	54%	14.5 / 27
K. Oubre	18	64%	9.0 / 14
K. Lowry	8	57%	4.0 / 7
C. Payne	6	150%	3.0 / 2
P. Reed	5	83%	2.5 / 3
K. Martin	4	33%	2.0 / 6
B. Hield	2	14%	1.0 / 7
N. Batum	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Rozier	22	52%	11.0 / 21
J. Butler	20	53%	10.0 / 19
B. Adebayo	14	47%	7.0 / 15
H. Highsmith	12	86%	6.0 / 7
N. Jović	11	55%	5.5 / 10
K. Love	11	55%	5.5 / 10
C. Martin	7	44%	3.5 / 8
J. Jaquez	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. Robinson	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 116.2 21 113.3	PHI 110.1 +3.0 MIA 107.1
Pace	18 98.2 29 97.0	PHI 92.4 MIA 105.5 +13.1
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.8 10 14.8	PHI 15.6 MIA 13.6 −1.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.2% 20 53.8%	PHI 54.3% +5.9% MIA 48.4%
TO %	1 11.4% 9 12.2%	PHI 10.2% −4.2% MIA 14.4%
ORB %	13 24.8% 26 21.8%	PHI 18.6% MIA 32.7% +14.1%
FTrt	6 26.4 8 25.7	PHI 12.0 MIA 17.0 +5.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	25 60.0% 11 64.8%	PHI 65.1% +3.6% MIA 61.5%
STL %	1 8.6% 11 7.7%	PHI 11.1% +2.9% MIA 8.2%
BLK %	5 10.8% 30 7.7%	PHI 13.7% +6.0% MIA 7.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 56.1% 17 56.2%	PHI 54.5% +3.5% MIA 51.0%
Rim FG%	27 60.9% 23 61.6%	PHI 57.9% +2.3% MIA 55.6%
Mid FG%	17 42.0% 13 44.3%	PHI 54.5% +8.7% MIA 45.8%
3P %	18 36.3% 12 37.0%	PHI 35.0% +4.8% MIA 30.2%
FT %	2 82.6% 5 81.8%	PHI 81.8% MIA 87.5% +5.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 34.8% 29 29.5%	PHI 20.7% MIA 28.7% +8.1%
Mid Att. %	21 28.0% 28 31.1%	PHI 35.9% MIA 25.5% −10.3%
3P Att. %	23 37.3% 14 39.4%	PHI 43.5% MIA 45.7% +2.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	PHI	MIA
Possessions	99	98
Possession Minutes	25.7	22.3
Points	109	105
Rebounds	41	51
Assists	28	24
Steals	11	8
Blocks	7	4
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	15 (2)
Fouls	15	10
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (4)	16 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	35 (2)
Field Goals	43-92	39-94
At-the-Rim FG	11-19	15-27
Midrange FG	18-33	11-24
2-Point FG	29-52	26-51
3-Point FG	14-40	13-43
Free Throws	9-11	14-16
Fast Break Pts	17	24
2nd Chance Pts	10	14
Points in Paint	38	44
Pts off Turnovers	23	20
Bench Points	17	36
Biggest Lead	16	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg