Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, April 4, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Nuggets	53%	113	100	100.0	100	95.9
	18	Clippers	47%	112	102	102.0	100	104.4

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

-13

LAC

+12

-6

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.04 52.1%

LAC

0.96 48.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

10 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	40.1	36	69%	17	10	0	0	5	2	1	16	5-6	83%	11-16	69%	3-8	38%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	37.9	14	39%	9	1	0	1	2	4	1	8	0-0	-	4-8	50%	2-10	20%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	37.5	16	62%	4	3	1	1	1	4	0	4	0-1	0%	2-6	33%	4-7	57%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	35.6	18	56%	6	7	1	2	1	4	2	4	8-14	57%	5-8	63%	0-2	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	21.5	7	50%	2	3	0	0	2	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	33.9	7	39%	8	3	1	0	0	2	2	6	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	18.2	2	33%	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	8.6	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	4.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	2.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	52%	51	27	3	4	13	19	6	45	17-25	68%	25-48	52%	11-35	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

10 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	40.1	36	69%	17	10	0	0	5	2	1	16	5-6	83%	11-16	69%	3-8	38%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	37.9	14	39%	9	1	0	1	2	4	1	8	0-0	-	4-8	50%	2-10	20%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	37.5	16	62%	4	3	1	1	1	4	0	4	0-1	0%	2-6	33%	4-7	57%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	35.6	18	56%	6	7	1	2	1	4	2	4	8-14	57%	5-8	63%	0-2	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	21.5	7	50%	2	3	0	0	2	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	33.9	7	39%	8	3	1	0	0	2	2	6	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	18.2	2	33%	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	8.6	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	4.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	2.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	52%	51	27	3	4	13	19	6	45	17-25	68%	25-48	52%	11-35	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

18 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 35	38.3	20	40%	6	8	1	0	1	0	1	5	6-7	86%	4-10	40%	2-13	15%
Paul George #13 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 34	36.6	28	58%	4	2	3	0	3	2	0	4	6-8	75%	8-15	53%	2-6	33%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27	34.8	14	50%	15	1	1	0	0	4	1	14	6-6	100%	4-11	36%	0-0	-
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	18.1	6	43%	3	1	2	0	0	3	1	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
P.J. Tucker #17 · SF · 6'6" 245 · 39	16.6	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 31	35.4	11	42%	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	2	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	2-7	29%
Russell Westbrook #0 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 35	23.7	12	55%	6	5	1	1	2	1	1	5	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Amir Coffey #7 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 27	23.5	9	75%	6	1	1	0	0	1	0	6	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Mason Plumlee #44 · C · 7'0" 254 · 34	13.1	2	100%	2	0	0	1	0	5	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Brandon Boston #4 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daniel Theis #10 · C · 6'9" 243 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bones Hyland #5 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kobe Brown #21 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Xavier Moon #22 · SG · 6'2" 165 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moussa Diabaté #25 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jordan Miller #11 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Joshua Primo #12 · SG · 6'4" 189 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	48%	48	22	10	2	6	20	7	41	27-32	84%	27-57	47%	7-33	21%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.04 52.1%

LAC

0.96 48.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

67%

LAC

58%

Midrange

DEN

33%

LAC

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

16.5

31%

47%

LAC

10.5

21%

32%

Free Throws

DEN

68%

LAC

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	36	69%	18.0 / 26
A. Gordon	18	56%	9.0 / 16
K. Caldwell-Pope	16	62%	8.0 / 13
M. Porter	14	39%	7.0 / 18
R. Jackson	7	50%	3.5 / 7
C. Braun	7	39%	3.5 / 9
P. Watson	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Holiday	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. George	28	58%	14.0 / 24
J. Harden	20	40%	10.0 / 25
I. Zubac	14	50%	7.0 / 14
R. Westbrook	12	55%	6.0 / 11
N. Powell	11	42%	5.5 / 13
A. Coffey	9	75%	4.5 / 6
T. Mann	6	43%	3.0 / 7
M. Plumlee	2	100%	1.0 / 1
P. Tucker	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.9 4 118.0	DEN 100.0 LAC 102.0 +2.0
Pace	26 97.4 20 97.9	DEN 95.9 LAC 104.4 +8.5
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.0 7 14.9	DEN 15.0 LAC 13.8 −1.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.2% 9 56.1%	DEN 50.0% +8.3% LAC 41.7%
TO %	7 12.1% 11 12.5%	DEN 13.0% LAC 6.3% −6.7%
ORB %	6 25.5% 16 24.4%	DEN 12.8% LAC 13.5% +0.7%
FTrt	24 22.4 10 25.6	DEN 30.1 LAC 35.6 +5.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 66.9% 24 60.4%	DEN 75.0% +10.3% LAC 64.7%
STL %	20 7.3% 7 8.0%	DEN 3.0% LAC 10.0% +7.0%
BLK %	25 8.7% 24 8.8%	DEN 7.0% +2.8% LAC 4.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.5% 7 58.4%	DEN 52.1% +4.0% LAC 48.1%
Rim FG%	17 63.6% 14 64.7%	DEN 66.7% +8.6% LAC 58.1%
Mid FG%	3 47.0% 5 45.6%	DEN 33.3% LAC 34.6% +1.3%
3P %	10 37.4% 6 38.1%	DEN 31.4% +10.2% LAC 21.2%
FT %	25 76.2% 3 82.5%	DEN 68.0% LAC 84.4% +16.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 36.0% 22 32.1%	DEN 32.5% LAC 34.4% +1.9%
Mid Att. %	25 28.8% 27 29.6%	DEN 25.3% −3.6% LAC 28.9%
3P Att. %	30 35.2% 19 38.3%	DEN 42.2% +5.5% LAC 36.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	LAC
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	25.0	23.0
Points	100	102
Rebounds	51	48
Assists	27	22
Steals	3	10
Blocks	4	2
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	6 (1)
Fouls	19	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (3)	7 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	45 (2)	41 (1)
Field Goals	36-83	34-90
At-the-Rim FG	18-27	18-31
Midrange FG	7-21	9-26
2-Point FG	25-48	27-57
3-Point FG	11-35	7-33
Free Throws	17-25	27-32
Fast Break Pts	20	15
2nd Chance Pts	8	7
Points in Paint	48	50
Pts off Turnovers	9	10
Bench Points	9	34
Biggest Lead	17	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg