Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, April 4, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Hawks	26%	114	95	91.3	104	110.9
	2	Mavericks	74%	123	109	104.8	104	97.9

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+12

-21

DAL

+12

-14

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.00 50.0%

DAL

1.06 52.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

21 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	36.5	13	50%	3	3	1	0	4	5	0	3	5-7	71%	1-3	33%	2-7	29%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22	36.4	6	25%	16	4	1	0	2	1	1	15	0-0	-	3-11	27%	0-1	0%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 32	36.4	17	53%	7	2	1	0	4	3	1	6	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	3-10	30%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 28	35.3	16	44%	5	4	1	0	4	1	2	3	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	3-9	33%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	28.6	6	38%	13	2	1	1	5	2	5	8	0-2	0%	3-7	43%	0-0	-

Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 26	19.4	10	56%	5	2	1	1	1	2	1	4	4-6	67%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	15.3	14	117%	2	0	0	0	1	2	1	1	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	3-3	100%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 24	14.9	4	100%	2	3	0	0	0	2	0	2	1-1	100%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	12.7	9	56%	3	1	1	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	4.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dylan Windler #20 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right UCL; Sprain
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Torn Ligament
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Sprain
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	50%	56	21	7	7	21	22	11	45	14-21	67%	21-47	45%	13-38	34%

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21 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	36.5	13	50%	3	3	1	0	4	5	0	3	5-7	71%	1-3	33%	2-7	29%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22	36.4	6	25%	16	4	1	0	2	1	1	15	0-0	-	3-11	27%	0-1	0%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 32	36.4	17	53%	7	2	1	0	4	3	1	6	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	3-10	30%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 28	35.3	16	44%	5	4	1	0	4	1	2	3	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	3-9	33%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	28.6	6	38%	13	2	1	1	5	2	5	8	0-2	0%	3-7	43%	0-0	-

Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 26	19.4	10	56%	5	2	1	1	1	2	1	4	4-6	67%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	15.3	14	117%	2	0	0	0	1	2	1	1	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	3-3	100%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 24	14.9	4	100%	2	3	0	0	0	2	0	2	1-1	100%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	12.7	9	56%	3	1	1	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	4.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dylan Windler #20 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right UCL; Sprain
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Torn Ligament
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Sprain
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	50%	56	21	7	7	21	22	11	45	14-21	67%	21-47	45%	13-38	34%

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2 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 25	37.0	25	48%	12	8	2	1	5	3	0	12	3-3	100%	2-10	20%	6-15	40%
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	36.1	19	79%	8	3	1	1	1	2	1	7	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	5-8	63%
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 32	34.9	26	62%	5	1	0	1	4	1	2	3	3-3	100%	7-14	50%	3-7	43%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 27	28.7	14	64%	5	0	1	1	1	0	2	3	5-6	83%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 26	22.7	6	60%	3	1	1	2	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-

Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 29	22.4	0	0%	5	2	1	0	0	1	0	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Maxi Kleber #42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 32	21.0	7	58%	6	2	0	1	1	2	2	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	20.8	8	44%	2	3	1	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-7	29%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 33	8.1	2	100%	3	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 22	6.1	2	25%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Brandon Williams #00 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
A.J. Lawson #9 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 24	0.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 22	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Alex Fudge #3 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Greg Brown III #13 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Josh Green #8 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle Sprain
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	53%	53	20	7	2	14	17	11	42	15-17	88%	20-45	44%	18-49	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	DAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.00 50.0%

DAL

1.06 52.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

37%

DAL

63%

Midrange

ATL

55%

DAL

34%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

19.5

34%

51%

DAL

27.0

37%

55%

Free Throws

ATL

67%

DAL

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Bogdanović	17	53%	8.5 / 16
D. Murray	16	44%	8.0 / 18
G. Mathews	14	117%	7.0 / 6
D. Hunter	13	50%	6.5 / 13
B. Fernando	10	56%	5.0 / 9
K. Bufkin	9	56%	4.5 / 8
J. Johnson	6	25%	3.0 / 12
C. Capela	6	38%	3.0 / 8
V. Krejčí	4	100%	2.0 / 2
W. Matthews	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Irving	26	62%	13.0 / 21
L. Dončić	25	48%	12.5 / 26
P. Washington	19	79%	9.5 / 12
D. Jones	14	64%	7.0 / 11
T. Hardaway	8	44%	4.0 / 9
M. Kleber	7	58%	3.5 / 6
D. Gafford	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. Powell	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Hardy	2	25%	1.0 / 4
D. Exum	0	-	0.0 / 4
B. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 116.4 8 117.0	ATL 91.3 DAL 104.8 +13.5
Pace	6 100.9 7 100.6	ATL 110.9 +13.0 DAL 97.9
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.2 20 14.3	ATL 13.0 −1.7 DAL 14.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 53.9% 7 56.2%	ATL 47.6% DAL 50.0% +2.4%
TO %	13 12.5% 5 12.0%	ATL 18.2% DAL 12.1% −6.1%
ORB %	5 27.1% 24 22.2%	ATL 20.8% +1.2% DAL 19.6%
FTrt	12 25.1 13 25.1	ATL 24.7 +6.6 DAL 18.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 61.8% 26 59.6%	ATL 61.8% +9.2% DAL 52.6%
STL %	18 7.4% 27 6.8%	ATL 6.7% DAL 6.7%
BLK %	21 9.0% 26 8.7%	ATL 15.6% +11.3% DAL 4.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 56.3% 8 58.1%	ATL 50.0% DAL 52.9% +2.9%
Rim FG%	28 60.3% 3 68.0%	ATL 37.0% DAL 62.5% +25.5%
Mid FG%	6 45.2% 10 44.7%	ATL 55.0% +20.5% DAL 34.5%
3P %	17 36.4% 13 36.9%	ATL 34.2% DAL 36.7% +2.5%
FT %	8 79.7% 27 75.8%	ATL 66.7% DAL 88.2% +21.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 32.8% 30 29.3%	ATL 31.8% +14.7% DAL 17.0%
Mid Att. %	11 26.5% 13 26.6%	ATL 23.5% −7.3% DAL 30.9%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 2 44.1%	ATL 44.7% DAL 52.1% +7.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	DAL
Possessions	104	104
Possession Minutes	22.5	25.5
Points	95	109
Rebounds	56	53
Assists	21	20
Steals	7	7
Blocks	7	2
Turnovers (Team)	21 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls	22	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (1)	11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	45 (1)	42 (1)
Field Goals	34-85	38-94
At-the-Rim FG	10-27	10-16
Midrange FG	11-20	10-29
2-Point FG	21-47	20-45
3-Point FG	13-38	18-49
Free Throws	14-21	15-17
Fast Break Pts	9	19
2nd Chance Pts	12	16
Points in Paint	32	34
Pts off Turnovers	7	15
Bench Points	37	19
Biggest Lead	8	17

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg