Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Cavaliers49%11397
13Lakers51%114116
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Donovan Mitchell
G · 6'3" 215 · 27.6
38.1
31.8
10
36%
5
7
3
1
2
5
0
5
0-2
0%
2-4
4-8
50%
55%
2-9
22%
Darius Garland
G · 6'1" 192 · 24.2
34.9
33.2
26
52%
2
2
5
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
7-16
4-8
44%
52%
4-9
44%
Jarrett Allen
C · 6'9" 243 · 26.0
33.8
31.4
12
50%
12
3
1
1
0
1
5
7
0-0
-
6-12
7-12
50%
64%
0-0
-
Max Strus
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.0
29.6
31.1
5
31%
6
4
0
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
58%
1-5
20%
Evan Mobley
C · 6'11" 215 · 22.8
28.9
30.5
8
52%
3
3
2
1
1
3
1
2
3-4
75%
1-4
6-10
25%
60%
1-2
50%
Caris LeVert
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.6
28.3
28.3
21
67%
7
2
0
1
0
1
1
6
4-4
100%
7-11
3-6
64%
50%
1-3
33%
Georges Niang
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.8
22.6
18.8
12
100%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
58%
2-3
67%
Sam Merrill
G · 6'4" 205 · 27.9
12.4
18.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-4
0%
Marcus Morris Sr.
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.6
4.5
12.3
3
52%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Craig Porter Jr.
G · 6'1" 180 · 24.1
1.6
11.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
53%
0-0
-
Isaiah Mobley
F · 6'8" 238 · 24.5
1.6
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 28.8
1.6
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
68%
0-0
-
Pete Nance
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.1
1.6
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 33.1
0.8
5.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
57%
0-0
-
Emoni Bates
F · 6'9" 170 · 20.2
Isaac Okoro
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 23.2
Ty Jerome
G-F · 6'5" 195 · 26.7
Dean Wade
F-C · 6'9" 228 · 27.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 31.1
36.3
33.2
22
74%
13
4
3
1
6
0
4
9
7-9
78%
6-10
8-14
60%
58%
1-1
100%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 39.3
35.9
31.4
24
59%
5
12
1
1
1
5
0
5
3-5
60%
9-13
6-11
69%
59%
1-5
20%
Austin Reaves
G · 6'5" 197 · 25.9
33.5
31.0
7
58%
2
6
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
4-6
100%
59%
1-4
25%
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'3" 193 · 28.1
31.0
32.9
28
82%
5
2
1
1
1
6
0
5
0-0
-
5-5
3-6
100%
52%
6-12
50%
Rui Hachimura
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.2
27.1
28.1
7
35%
5
0
0
1
1
1
0
5
0-2
0%
2-4
4-7
50%
59%
1-5
20%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'5" 215 · 31.0
25.1
21.7
6
60%
2
2
3
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
2-4
50%
Taurean Prince
F · 6'6" 218 · 30.0
20.9
18.4
18
100%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
52%
4-5
80%
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.8
14.3
14.7
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jaxson Hayes
C-F · 7'0" 220 · 23.9
11.7
12.9
4
100%
3
0
1
0
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-2
100%
69%
0-0
-
Max Christie
G · 6'5" 190 · 21.2
1.6
9.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-1
0%
Maxwell Lewis
F · 6'7" 195 · 21.7
1.6
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Colin Castleton
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.9
1.1
4.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
56%
0-0
-
Cam Reddish
F-G · 6'8" 208 · 24.6
6.7
0
0-1
49%
Skylar Mays
G · 6'4" 205 · 26.6
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 28.5
Harry Giles III
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26.0
Jalen Hood-Schifino
G · 6'6" 215 · 20.8
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'8" 214 · 25.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.