Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, April 6, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Hawks	31%	110	110	103.8	106	108.1
	4	Nuggets	69%	118	142	135.2	105	103.0

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+12

-16

102

DEN

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.08 53.9%

DEN

1.45 72.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 28	35.9	14	41%	2	12	1	1	2	2	0	2	3-4	75%	1-7	14%	3-8	38%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22	33.9	17	47%	6	4	1	0	6	0	1	5	0-0	-	7-13	54%	1-5	20%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 32	30.9	18	82%	2	2	1	1	2	4	1	1	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	3-4	75%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	30.4	19	86%	12	3	1	0	1	2	5	7	9-12	75%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	29.4	18	64%	1	2	1	0	3	2	0	1	6-7	86%	3-3	100%	2-8	25%

Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 24	25.3	3	50%	5	2	1	0	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	19.2	11	79%	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 26	17.6	6	33%	6	2	0	0	1	5	2	4	0-0	-	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	13.7	4	33%	3	3	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	3.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dylan Windler #20 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 28	INACTIVE
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Torn Ligament
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Sprain
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	54%	38	30	8	2	16	18	11	27	24-29	83%	25-50	50%	12-37	32%

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20 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 28	35.9	14	41%	2	12	1	1	2	2	0	2	3-4	75%	1-7	14%	3-8	38%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22	33.9	17	47%	6	4	1	0	6	0	1	5	0-0	-	7-13	54%	1-5	20%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 32	30.9	18	82%	2	2	1	1	2	4	1	1	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	3-4	75%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	30.4	19	86%	12	3	1	0	1	2	5	7	9-12	75%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	29.4	18	64%	1	2	1	0	3	2	0	1	6-7	86%	3-3	100%	2-8	25%

Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 24	25.3	3	50%	5	2	1	0	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	19.2	11	79%	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 26	17.6	6	33%	6	2	0	0	1	5	2	4	0-0	-	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	13.7	4	33%	3	3	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	3.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dylan Windler #20 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 28	INACTIVE
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Torn Ligament
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Sprain
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	54%	38	30	8	2	16	18	11	27	24-29	83%	25-50	50%	12-37	32%

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4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	30.7	19	59%	14	11	2	0	4	1	1	13	5-6	83%	4-10	40%	2-3	67%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	27.9	24	109%	2	1	2	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	6-9	67%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 26	24.9	20	77%	3	2	1	0	1	4	1	2	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	4-8	50%
Christian Braun #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	24.6	5	83%	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	20.9	16	67%	3	6	0	1	3	1	0	3	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	2-4	50%

Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	27.1	13	72%	6	2	1	5	0	3	1	5	1-2	50%	6-7	86%	0-1	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	23.9	18	64%	5	3	0	0	1	3	2	3	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	3-6	50%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	23.6	8	133%	0	6	1	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	14.1	5	83%	5	1	1	0	0	2	0	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	12.2	5	50%	4	3	0	0	2	2	0	4	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	3.7	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	3.3	3	75%	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	3.3	4	100%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	INACTIVE
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	INACTIVE
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Strain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	142	72%	47	38	9	7	15	21	6	41	13-16	81%	30-47	64%	23-41	56%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.08 53.9%

DEN

1.45 72.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

42%

DEN

60%

Midrange

ATL

65%

DEN

71%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

18.0

32%

49%

DEN

34.5

56%

84%

Free Throws

ATL

83%

DEN

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Capela	19	86%	9.5 / 11
B. Bogdanović	18	82%	9.0 / 11
D. Hunter	18	64%	9.0 / 14
J. Johnson	17	47%	8.5 / 18
D. Murray	14	41%	7.0 / 17
G. Mathews	11	79%	5.5 / 7
B. Fernando	6	33%	3.0 / 9
K. Bufkin	4	33%	2.0 / 6
V. Krejčí	3	50%	1.5 / 3
M. Gueye	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Caldwell-Pope	24	109%	12.0 / 11
M. Porter	20	77%	10.0 / 13
N. Jokić	19	59%	9.5 / 16
R. Jackson	18	64%	9.0 / 14
J. Murray	16	67%	8.0 / 12
P. Watson	13	72%	6.5 / 9
J. Holiday	8	133%	4.0 / 3
C. Braun	5	83%	2.5 / 3
Z. Nnaji	5	83%	2.5 / 3
J. Strawther	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Huff	4	100%	2.0 / 2
J. Pickett	3	75%	1.5 / 2
H. Tyson	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 116.4 5 117.9	ATL 103.8 DEN 135.2 +31.5
Pace	6 100.9 26 97.4	ATL 108.1 +5.0 DEN 103.0
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.2 4 15.0	ATL 13.3 −0.7 DEN 14.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 53.9% 8 56.2%	ATL 49.4% DEN 73.3% +23.9%
TO %	13 12.5% 7 12.1%	ATL 13.8% −1.4% DEN 15.2%
ORB %	5 27.1% 6 25.5%	ATL 21.2% +3.0% DEN 18.2%
FTrt	12 25.1 24 22.4	ATL 33.3 +15.1 DEN 18.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 61.8% 5 66.9%	ATL 81.1% +9.4% DEN 71.7%
STL %	18 7.4% 20 7.3%	ATL 7.5% DEN 8.6% +1.1%
BLK %	21 9.0% 25 8.7%	ATL 4.3% DEN 14.0% +9.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 56.3% 11 57.5%	ATL 53.9% DEN 72.4% +18.5%
Rim FG%	28 60.3% 17 63.6%	ATL 42.4% DEN 60.0% +17.6%
Mid FG%	6 45.2% 3 47.0%	ATL 64.7% DEN 70.6% +5.9%
3P %	17 36.4% 10 37.4%	ATL 32.4% DEN 56.1% +23.7%
FT %	8 79.7% 25 76.2%	ATL 82.8% +1.5% DEN 81.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 32.8% 4 36.0%	ATL 37.9% +3.8% DEN 34.1%
Mid Att. %	11 26.5% 25 28.8%	ATL 19.5% DEN 19.3% −0.2%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 30 35.2%	ATL 42.5% DEN 46.6% +4.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	DEN
Possessions	106	105
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	110	142
Rebounds	38	47
Assists	30	38
Steals	8	9
Blocks	2	7
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	15 (2)
Fouls	18	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (1)	6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (1)	41 (1)
Field Goals	37-87	53-88
At-the-Rim FG	14-33	18-30
Midrange FG	11-17	12-17
2-Point FG	25-50	30-47
3-Point FG	12-37	23-41
Free Throws	24-29	13-16
Fast Break Pts	9	24
2nd Chance Pts	8	10
Points in Paint	34	48
Pts off Turnovers	14	18
Bench Points	24	58
Biggest Lead	3	32

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg