Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, November 6, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Thunder	58%	114	122	111.9	109	111.4
	14	Nuggets	42%	111	124	113.8	109	106.7

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

+15

-14

110

DEN

+16

-18

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.11 55.5%

DEN

1.16 57.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

2 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 26	38.8	28	64%	2	6	1	1	8	1	0	2	8-10	80%	10-16	63%	0-3	0%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 24	36.0	29	66%	10	9	3	0	1	4	2	8	3-5	60%	7-12	58%	4-8	50%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 23	35.5	15	50%	10	0	0	1	3	3	3	7	3-3	100%	3-11	27%	2-3	67%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 26	25.7	11	79%	6	3	3	2	1	4	0	6	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 25	25.1	11	50%	5	3	1	0	0	3	4	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-9	33%

Alex Caruso #9 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 31	21.6	2	11%	6	4	4	2	0	5	1	5	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-3	0%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	20.3	4	25%	2	2	2	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-3	0%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	17.4	13	72%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21	10.5	6	100%	4	0	0	0	0	2	2	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	9.2	3	75%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malevy Leons #17 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	56%	47	29	15	6	14	28	13	34	18-23	78%	28-60	47%	16-40	40%

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2 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 26	38.8	28	64%	2	6	1	1	8	1	0	2	8-10	80%	10-16	63%	0-3	0%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 24	36.0	29	66%	10	9	3	0	1	4	2	8	3-5	60%	7-12	58%	4-8	50%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 23	35.5	15	50%	10	0	0	1	3	3	3	7	3-3	100%	3-11	27%	2-3	67%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 26	25.7	11	79%	6	3	3	2	1	4	0	6	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 25	25.1	11	50%	5	3	1	0	0	3	4	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-9	33%

Alex Caruso #9 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 31	21.6	2	11%	6	4	4	2	0	5	1	5	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-3	0%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	20.3	4	25%	2	2	2	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-3	0%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	17.4	13	72%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21	10.5	6	100%	4	0	0	0	0	2	2	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	9.2	3	75%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malevy Leons #17 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	56%	47	29	15	6	14	28	13	34	18-23	78%	28-60	47%	16-40	40%

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14 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	41.4	24	67%	7	3	1	0	1	3	1	6	4-4	100%	1-6	17%	6-10	60%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	39.5	23	50%	20	16	2	2	5	2	7	13	4-6	67%	8-17	47%	1-3	33%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	36.5	24	71%	8	0	2	1	2	2	1	7	6-6	100%	3-6	50%	4-8	50%
Peyton Watson #8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 22	33.3	10	45%	3	3	1	3	2	3	0	3	1-4	25%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	32.2	29	76%	6	6	1	0	4	4	1	5	6-9	67%	7-11	64%	3-4	75%

Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	27.3	9	38%	5	6	0	0	2	4	2	3	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-7	14%
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	18.7	2	50%	4	0	1	0	2	4	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	11.2	3	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	INACTIVE
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	58%	55	34	8	6	18	22	13	42	24-33	73%	26-51	51%	16-38	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.11 55.5%

DEN

1.16 57.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

50%

DEN

63%

Midrange

OKC

39%

DEN

25%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

24.0

40%

60%

DEN

24.0

42%

63%

Free Throws

OKC

78%

DEN

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Williams	29	66%	14.5 / 22
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	28	64%	14.0 / 22
C. Holmgren	15	50%	7.5 / 15
A. Wiggins	13	72%	6.5 / 9
L. Dort	11	79%	5.5 / 7
I. Joe	11	50%	5.5 / 11
O. Dieng	6	100%	3.0 / 3
C. Wallace	4	25%	2.0 / 8
A. Mitchell	3	75%	1.5 / 2
A. Caruso	2	11%	1.0 / 9

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Westbrook	29	76%	14.5 / 19
M. Porter	24	67%	12.0 / 18
C. Braun	24	71%	12.0 / 17
N. Jokić	23	50%	11.5 / 23
P. Watson	10	45%	5.0 / 11
J. Strawther	9	38%	4.5 / 12
Z. Nnaji	3	50%	1.5 / 3
H. Tyson	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 119.2 4 118.9	OKC 111.9 DEN 113.8 +1.8
Pace	5 100.9 8 100.6	OKC 111.4 +4.7 DEN 106.7
Avg. Poss. Time	25 13.9 22 14.2	OKC 12.9 −0.6 DEN 13.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 56.0% 2 57.3%	OKC 52.0% DEN 56.2% +4.2%
TO %	1 10.9% 15 13.3%	OKC 11.3% −3.5% DEN 14.8%
ORB %	21 24.2% 7 26.7%	OKC 23.6% DEN 27.7% +4.1%
FTrt	28 22.0 5 25.9	OKC 23.0 DEN 37.1 +14.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 60.2% 4 68.3%	OKC 65.9% DEN 81.0% +15.1%
STL %	1 10.2% 19 7.9%	OKC 13.8% +6.5% DEN 7.3%
BLK %	2 11.9% 21 9.0%	OKC 11.8% +1.8% DEN 10.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.52 and 2.52.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 57.9% 2 58.8%	OKC 55.5% DEN 57.9% +2.4%
Rim FG%	10 65.7% 7 66.2%	OKC 50.0% DEN 62.9% +12.9%
Mid FG%	7 45.7% 8 45.5%	OKC 38.9% +13.9% DEN 25.0%
3P %	6 37.4% 5 37.6%	OKC 40.0% DEN 42.1% +2.1%
FT %	1 81.9% 23 77.0%	OKC 78.3% +5.6% DEN 72.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 29.5% 1 38.3%	OKC 42.0% +2.7% DEN 39.3%
Mid Att. %	25 28.6% 13 26.1%	OKC 18.0% DEN 18.0% −0.0%
3P Att. %	16 41.9% 30 35.6%	OKC 40.0% DEN 42.7% +2.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	OKC	DEN
Possessions	109	109
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	122	124
Rebounds	47	55
Assists	29	34
Steals	15	8
Blocks	6	6
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	18 (0)
Fouls	28	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (2)	13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (0)	42 (3)
Field Goals	44-100	42-89
At-the-Rim FG	21-42	22-35
Midrange FG	7-18	4-16
2-Point FG	28-60	26-51
3-Point FG	16-40	16-38
Free Throws	18-23	24-33
Fast Break Pts	29	21
2nd Chance Pts	18	15
Points in Paint	50	50
Pts off Turnovers	23	16
Bench Points	28	14
Biggest Lead	16	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg