Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, November 6, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 49% | 112 | 107 | |
| 26 | Hornets | 51% | 113 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 42% | 113 | 111 | |
| 9 | Pacers | 58% | 116 | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Knicks | 67% | 116 | 116 | |
| 23 | Hawks | 33% | 110 | 121 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 31% | 111 | 118 | |
| 1 | Celtics | 69% | 119 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Spurs | 33% | 105 | 100 | |
| 11 | Rockets | 67% | 111 | 127 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Lakers | 46% | 114 | 114 | |
| 18 | Grizzlies | 54% | 116 | 131 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cavaliers | 76% | 116 | 131 | |
| 30 | Pelicans | 24% | 105 | 122 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | 16% | 115 | 99 | |
| 3 | Mavericks | 84% | 129 | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 58% | 114 | 122 | |
| 14 | Nuggets | 42% | 111 | 124 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 35% | 111 | 112 | |
| 7 | Suns | 65% | 117 | 115 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 42% | 112 | 98 | |
| 15 | Clippers | 58% | 115 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Raptors | 21% | 112 | 107 | |
| 5 | Kings | 79% | 124 | 122 | |
Monday, November 4, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 30% | 111 | 114 | |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 70% | 119 | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 73% | 120 | 125 | |
| 29 | Wizards | 27% | 111 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 54% | 111 | 103 | |
| 24 | Pistons | 46% | 110 | 115 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 78% | 121 | 123 | |
| 22 | Hawks | 22% | 110 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 55% | 114 | 104 | |
| 18 | Nets | 45% | 112 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kings | 49% | 116 | 111 | |
| 13 | Heat | 51% | 117 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 35% | 116 | 135 | |
| 23 | Bulls | 65% | 122 | 126 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Knicks | 51% | 110 | 97 | |
| 10 | Rockets | 49% | 109 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 22% | 106 | 93 | |
| 12 | Timberwolves | 78% | 117 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 23% | 102 | 86 | |
| 2 | Thunder | 77% | 113 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Blazers | 43% | 108 | 118 | |
| 25 | Pelicans | 57% | 111 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 35% | 117 | 134 | |
| 3 | Mavericks | 65% | 122 | 127 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Raptors | 22% | 110 | 119 | |
| 11 | Nuggets | 78% | 122 | 121 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 32% | 112 | 116 | |
| 8 | Suns | 68% | 119 | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Spurs | 39% | 109 | 104 | |
| 14 | Clippers | 61% | 113 | 113 | |
Sunday, November 3, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 38% | 109 | 106 | |
| 18 | Nets | 62% | 113 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 46% | 113 | 126 | |
| 24 | Pelicans | 54% | 114 | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 32% | 108 | 85 | |
| 3 | Mavericks | 68% | 115 | 108 | |
Saturday, November 2, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 76% | 121 | 113 | |
| 24 | Hornets | 24% | 111 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Grizzlies | 44% | 112 | 124 | |
| 17 | 76ers | 56% | 114 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kings | 72% | 122 | 128 | |
| 27 | Raptors | 28% | 114 | 131 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Warriors | 43% | 109 | 127 | |
| 11 | Rockets | 57% | 112 | 121 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 47% | 116 | 114 | |
| 14 | Bucks | 53% | 117 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 62% | 111 | 103 | |
| 22 | Spurs | 38% | 106 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 70% | 118 | 118 | |
| 29 | Wizards | 30% | 110 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 17% | 108 | 103 | |
| 6 | Nuggets | 83% | 122 | 129 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Blazers | 14% | 107 | 97 | |
| 7 | Suns | 86% | 123 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 57% | 114 | 105 | |
| 16 | Clippers | 43% | 111 | 92 | |
Friday, November 1, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 80% | 123 | 124 | |
| 26 | Hornets | 20% | 111 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 34% | 106 | 109 | |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 66% | 112 | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | 68% | 114 | 128 | |
| 24 | Pistons | 32% | 108 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kings | 64% | 123 | 123 | |
| 21 | Hawks | 36% | 118 | 115 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 42% | 117 | 112 | |
| 19 | Nets | 58% | 120 | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Lakers | 62% | 116 | 131 | |
| 28 | Raptors | 38% | 111 | 125 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 52% | 116 | 118 | |
| 23 | Pelicans | 48% | 115 | 125 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 44% | 111 | 116 | |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 56% | 113 | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 80% | 117 | 137 | |
| 27 | Blazers | 20% | 105 | 114 | |
Thursday, October 31, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 61% | 120 | 99 | |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 39% | 116 | 122 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Rockets | 30% | 111 | 108 | |
| 2 | Mavericks | 70% | 119 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Spurs | 49% | 113 | 106 | |
| 30 | Jazz | 51% | 114 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 61% | 117 | 125 | |
| 16 | Clippers | 39% | 113 | 119 | |
Wednesday, October 30, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Raptors | 41% | 112 | 133 | |
| 26 | Hornets | 59% | 115 | 138 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 40% | 110 | 110 | |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 60% | 113 | 134 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 65% | 118 | 132 | |
| 16 | Pacers | 35% | 112 | 135 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 35% | 111 | 105 | |
| 19 | 76ers | 65% | 117 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 59% | 120 | 120 | |
| 29 | Wizards | 41% | 117 | 133 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 49% | 111 | 116 | |
| 15 | Heat | 51% | 112 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | 63% | 118 | 99 | |
| 22 | Bulls | 37% | 113 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 24% | 111 | 119 | |
| 18 | Grizzlies | 76% | 121 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Spurs | 18% | 103 | 93 | |
| 2 | Thunder | 82% | 116 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 35% | 110 | 89 | |
| 13 | Warriors | 65% | 115 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Blazers | 28% | 110 | 106 | |
| 17 | Clippers | 72% | 119 | 105 | |
Tuesday, October 29, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 63% | 117 | 144 | |
| 23 | Nets | 37% | 112 | 139 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 37% | 112 | 120 | |
| 4 | Timberwolves | 63% | 117 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kings | 66% | 125 | 113 | |
| 27 | Jazz | 34% | 119 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pelicans | 44% | 114 | 106 | |
| 16 | Warriors | 56% | 117 | 124 | |
Monday, October 28, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 41% | 110 | 115 | |
| 17 | Magic | 59% | 113 | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 39% | 114 | 121 | |
| 21 | Hawks | 61% | 118 | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 27% | 112 | 108 | |
| 1 | Celtics | 73% | 121 | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 30% | 109 | 98 | |
| 13 | Heat | 70% | 117 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 51% | 113 | 110 | |
| 10 | Knicks | 49% | 112 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 78% | 119 | 127 | |
| 29 | Raptors | 22% | 108 | 125 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 34% | 116 | 126 | |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 66% | 122 | 123 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rockets | 57% | 112 | 106 | |
| 23 | Spurs | 43% | 110 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 15% | 114 | 102 | |
| 3 | Mavericks | 85% | 130 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 42% | 115 | 105 | |
| 7 | Suns | 58% | 118 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Blazers | 15% | 113 | 98 | |
| 6 | Kings | 85% | 128 | 111 | |
Sunday, October 27, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 40% | 115 | 118 | |
| 14 | Pacers | 60% | 118 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 67% | 121 | 102 | |
| 24 | Nets | 33% | 114 | 115 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pelicans | 67% | 121 | 103 | |
| 27 | Blazers | 33% | 114 | 125 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | 23% | 110 | 104 | |
| 3 | Thunder | 77% | 121 | 128 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 30% | 113 | 112 | |
| 7 | Warriors | 70% | 120 | 104 | |
Saturday, October 26, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Clippers | 27% | 111 | 109 | |
| 4 | Nuggets | 73% | 121 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 74% | 117 | 114 | |
| 29 | Hornets | 26% | 107 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 79% | 120 | 124 | |
| 25 | Pistons | 21% | 108 | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 71% | 118 | 135 | |
| 30 | Wizards | 29% | 109 | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 78% | 120 | 114 | |
| 23 | Bulls | 22% | 108 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | 55% | 111 | 111 | |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 45% | 109 | 124 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Raptors | 11% | 101 | 101 | |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 89% | 120 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Rockets | 48% | 114 | 106 | |
| 22 | Spurs | 52% | 115 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 52% | 122 | 102 | |
| 11 | Suns | 48% | 121 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kings | 51% | 116 | 127 | |
| 8 | Lakers | 49% | 115 | 131 | |
Friday, October 25, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 30% | 106 | 101 | |
| 14 | Magic | 70% | 114 | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 67% | 118 | 107 | |
| 29 | Raptors | 33% | 111 | 115 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 37% | 112 | 120 | |
| 20 | Hawks | 63% | 116 | 125 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 24% | 108 | 101 | |
| 10 | Cavaliers | 76% | 119 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 41% | 112 | 98 | |
| 12 | Knicks | 59% | 115 | 123 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Grizzlies | 46% | 110 | 108 | |
| 16 | Rockets | 54% | 111 | 128 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 24% | 115 | 133 | |
| 8 | Bucks | 76% | 125 | 122 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | 63% | 123 | 127 | |
| 26 | Jazz | 37% | 118 | 86 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Suns | 46% | 113 | 116 | |
| 9 | Lakers | 54% | 114 | 123 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pelicans | 66% | 122 | 105 | |
| 28 | Blazers | 34% | 116 | 103 | |
Thursday, October 24, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 83% | 118 | 122 | |
| 30 | Wizards | 17% | 104 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Spurs | 27% | 109 | 109 | |
| 3 | Mavericks | 73% | 118 | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 47% | 111 | 102 | |
| 5 | Nuggets | 53% | 112 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Timberwolves | 47% | 112 | 117 | |
| 10 | Kings | 53% | 113 | 115 | |