Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, November 6, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Raptors	21%	112	107	113.8	94	97.0
	5	Kings	79%	124	122	128.4	95	92.1

Scoring Opportunities

TOR

+12

-11

SAC

+21

-9

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.13 56.3%

SAC

1.14 57.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 29	34.6	10	63%	8	4	2	0	3	2	1	7	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-
RJ Barrett #9 · PF · 6'6" 214 · 24	32.5	23	55%	3	3	2	0	3	2	0	3	4-5	80%	8-14	57%	1-5	20%
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 26	32.4	20	91%	3	6	1	0	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	2-3	67%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	32.4	12	60%	2	2	1	0	0	3	0	2	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	2-7	29%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	23.9	7	32%	4	2	0	0	0	4	1	3	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-5	0%

Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 32	24.5	17	77%	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	3-6	50%
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	18.1	5	63%	5	3	1	0	1	3	4	1	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 22	15.8	5	50%	1	2	0	1	1	2	0	1	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 23	15.5	6	43%	2	2	0	0	2	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-5	40%
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 20	7.8	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 26	2.5	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 38	DND - Injury/Illness \| Back; Spasms
D.J. Carton #3 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ulrich Chomche #22 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Scottie Barnes #4 · SF · 6'8" 237 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Orbital; Fracture
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Pelvic; Contusion
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Arthroscopic Surgical Procedure
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lumbar; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	56%	34	25	7	1	11	23	8	26	11-15	73%	33-54	61%	10-34	29%

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25 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 29	34.6	10	63%	8	4	2	0	3	2	1	7	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-
RJ Barrett #9 · PF · 6'6" 214 · 24	32.5	23	55%	3	3	2	0	3	2	0	3	4-5	80%	8-14	57%	1-5	20%
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 26	32.4	20	91%	3	6	1	0	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	2-3	67%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	32.4	12	60%	2	2	1	0	0	3	0	2	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	2-7	29%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	23.9	7	32%	4	2	0	0	0	4	1	3	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-5	0%

Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 32	24.5	17	77%	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	3-6	50%
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	18.1	5	63%	5	3	1	0	1	3	4	1	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 22	15.8	5	50%	1	2	0	1	1	2	0	1	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 23	15.5	6	43%	2	2	0	0	2	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-5	40%
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 20	7.8	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 26	2.5	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 38	DND - Injury/Illness \| Back; Spasms
D.J. Carton #3 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ulrich Chomche #22 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Scottie Barnes #4 · SF · 6'8" 237 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Orbital; Fracture
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Pelvic; Contusion
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Arthroscopic Surgical Procedure
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lumbar; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	56%	34	25	7	1	11	23	8	26	11-15	73%	33-54	61%	10-34	29%

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5 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 35	35.3	27	64%	2	3	1	0	3	1	0	2	3-3	100%	9-17	53%	2-4	50%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	35.0	22	61%	12	3	0	1	1	2	7	5	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	3-8	38%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	33.8	21	48%	1	2	1	0	1	2	0	1	9-10	90%	3-9	33%	2-8	25%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	33.6	17	106%	11	13	1	0	0	0	4	7	5-5	100%	6-6	100%	0-0	-
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	23.6	11	69%	4	2	0	0	2	4	1	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	1-4	25%

Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	23.1	8	80%	3	1	2	0	0	2	3	0	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	21.2	13	46%	5	1	2	0	1	1	0	5	4-5	80%	3-8	38%	1-4	25%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	14.4	3	75%	6	0	0	4	1	1	0	6	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	10.5	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #3 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	4.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	2.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Isaac Jones #17 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 24	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	INACTIVE
Mason Jones #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	INACTIVE
Orlando Robinson #77 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left MCL; Sprain
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	57%	47	26	7	5	9	13	15	32	28-32	88%	32-55	58%	10-35	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.13 56.3%

SAC

1.14 57.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

73%

SAC

71%

Midrange

TOR

46%

SAC

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

15.0

29%

44%

SAC

15.0

29%

43%

Free Throws

TOR

73%

SAC

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Barrett	23	55%	11.5 / 21
D. Mitchell	20	91%	10.0 / 11
C. Boucher	17	77%	8.5 / 11
O. Agbaji	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. Poeltl	10	63%	5.0 / 8
G. Dick	7	32%	3.5 / 11
J. Battle	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Mogbo	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Shead	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Walter	2	33%	1.0 / 3
B. Fernando	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	27	64%	13.5 / 21
K. Murray	22	61%	11.0 / 18
D. Fox	21	48%	10.5 / 22
D. Sabonis	17	106%	8.5 / 8
M. Monk	13	46%	6.5 / 14
K. Huerter	11	69%	5.5 / 8
K. Ellis	8	80%	4.0 / 5
A. Len	3	75%	1.5 / 2
T. Lyles	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. McLaughlin	0	-	0.0 / 3
I. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 109.5 7 115.9	TOR 113.8 SAC 128.4 +14.6
Pace	9 100.6 19 98.9	TOR 97.0 +4.9 SAC 92.1
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 15 14.4	TOR 14.8 −0.8 SAC 15.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 52.2% 15 54.8%	TOR 54.5% +2.3% SAC 52.2%
TO %	26 14.5% 6 12.6%	TOR 11.3% SAC 8.8% −2.5%
ORB %	4 27.3% 16 25.4%	TOR 20.0% SAC 36.6% +16.6%
FTrt	25 23.2 21 23.5	TOR 17.0 SAC 35.6 +18.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 68.5% 22 61.5%	TOR 58.1% SAC 61.9% +3.8%
STL %	18 8.0% 23 7.6%	TOR 7.4% SAC 7.4%
BLK %	27 8.4% 23 8.8%	TOR 1.8% SAC 9.3% +7.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 53.8% 15 56.8%	TOR 56.3% SAC 57.0% +0.7%
Rim FG%	28 60.2% 2 67.6%	TOR 73.3% +1.9% SAC 71.4%
Mid FG%	21 41.5% 4 46.0%	TOR 45.8% +1.4% SAC 44.4%
3P %	23 34.8% 19 35.7%	TOR 29.4% +0.8% SAC 28.6%
FT %	29 74.8% 4 80.6%	TOR 73.3% SAC 87.5% +14.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 36.2% 28 26.8%	TOR 34.1% +3.0% SAC 31.1%
Mid Att. %	17 26.5% 29 34.1%	TOR 27.3% −2.7% SAC 30.0%
3P Att. %	29 37.3% 23 39.1%	TOR 38.6% SAC 38.9% +0.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Game Totals	TOR	SAC
Possessions	94	95
Possession Minutes	23.3	24.7
Points	107	122
Rebounds	34	47
Assists	25	26
Steals	7	7
Blocks	1	5
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	9 (1)
Fouls	23	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (4)	15 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (1)	32 (2)
Field Goals	43-88	42-90
At-the-Rim FG	22-30	20-28
Midrange FG	11-24	12-27
2-Point FG	33-54	32-55
3-Point FG	10-34	10-35
Free Throws	11-15	28-32
Fast Break Pts	12	8
2nd Chance Pts	18	25
Points in Paint	58	50
Pts off Turnovers	20	23
Bench Points	35	24
Biggest Lead	9	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg