Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, November 25, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Blazers	26%	111	98	94.2	104	100.1
	9	Grizzlies	74%	121	123	118.3	104	108.2

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+23

-11

116

MEM

+18

-18

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

0.84 42.2%

MEM

1.18 59.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

26 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 25	29.8	5	18%	4	4	2	0	1	5	2	2	0-0	-	1-7	14%	1-7	14%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	29.6	15	54%	4	2	0	2	1	0	2	2	6-6	100%	3-6	50%	1-6	17%
Toumani Camara #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	28.1	10	31%	8	3	2	0	1	3	6	2	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	1-8	13%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 31	20.9	11	46%	2	1	2	0	0	3	0	2	5-7	71%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	11.8	6	50%	3	1	1	3	0	1	3	0	4-4	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 24	31.9	17	50%	8	6	1	1	3	4	1	7	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	2-7	29%
Dalano Banton #5 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 25	24.3	11	50%	2	2	0	0	3	2	0	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	2-7	29%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 22	22.6	9	50%	6	2	1	0	0	2	2	4	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	22.4	9	45%	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	1	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Taze Moore #76 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 26	7.8	2	50%	4	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	6.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	4.8	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Index Finger; Deep contusion
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Sternum; Bruised
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	42%	44	22	10	7	11	21	19	25	22-28	79%	26-56	46%	8-46	17%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

26 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 25	29.8	5	18%	4	4	2	0	1	5	2	2	0-0	-	1-7	14%	1-7	14%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	29.6	15	54%	4	2	0	2	1	0	2	2	6-6	100%	3-6	50%	1-6	17%
Toumani Camara #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	28.1	10	31%	8	3	2	0	1	3	6	2	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	1-8	13%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 31	20.9	11	46%	2	1	2	0	0	3	0	2	5-7	71%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	11.8	6	50%	3	1	1	3	0	1	3	0	4-4	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 24	31.9	17	50%	8	6	1	1	3	4	1	7	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	2-7	29%
Dalano Banton #5 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 25	24.3	11	50%	2	2	0	0	3	2	0	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	2-7	29%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 22	22.6	9	50%	6	2	1	0	0	2	2	4	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	22.4	9	45%	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	1	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Taze Moore #76 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 26	7.8	2	50%	4	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	6.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	4.8	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Index Finger; Deep contusion
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Sternum; Bruised
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	42%	44	22	10	7	11	21	19	25	22-28	79%	26-56	46%	8-46	17%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

9 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 25	28.5	21	81%	6	1	1	3	4	3	2	4	3-3	100%	6-10	60%	2-2	100%
Brandon Clarke #15 · C · 6'8" 215 · 28	25.3	11	69%	9	0	1	3	1	3	3	6	1-3	33%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	24.0	8	40%	7	2	0	1	2	3	0	7	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	23.1	22	69%	2	11	0	1	2	1	1	1	8-10	80%	4-9	44%	2-3	67%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 21	15.9	5	42%	4	1	0	0	2	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	22.0	13	54%	17	2	0	0	1	1	7	10	0-1	0%	5-11	45%	1-1	100%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 28	21.6	11	79%	2	3	0	1	0	0	1	1	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	20.1	8	100%	5	5	1	2	3	1	0	5	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	19.5	12	55%	4	0	1	1	1	2	0	4	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	2-4	50%
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	18.6	6	50%	0	4	2	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	14.1	3	30%	4	4	1	1	0	1	2	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	3.7	3	150%	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	3.7	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Colin Castleton #8 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fifth Metatarsal; Repair
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	59%	60	35	7	13	18	20	16	44	25-34	74%	31-59	53%	12-28	43%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	POR	MEM

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

0.84 42.2%

MEM

1.18 59.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

45%

MEM

68%

Midrange

POR

50%

MEM

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

12.0

17%

26%

MEM

18.0

43%

64%

Free Throws

POR

79%

MEM

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Avdija	17	50%	8.5 / 17
S. Sharpe	15	54%	7.5 / 14
J. Grant	11	46%	5.5 / 12
D. Banton	11	50%	5.5 / 11
T. Camara	10	31%	5.0 / 16
J. Walker	9	50%	4.5 / 9
R. Rupert	9	45%	4.5 / 10
R. Williams	6	50%	3.0 / 6
A. Simons	5	18%	2.5 / 14
D. Reath	3	75%	1.5 / 2
T. Moore	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Morant	22	69%	11.0 / 16
J. Jackson	21	81%	10.5 / 13
S. Aldama	13	54%	6.5 / 12
J. Huff	12	55%	6.0 / 11
B. Clarke	11	69%	5.5 / 8
L. Kennard	11	79%	5.5 / 7
D. Bane	8	40%	4.0 / 10
J. LaRavia	8	100%	4.0 / 4
M. Smart	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Wells	5	42%	2.5 / 6
S. Pippen	3	30%	1.5 / 5
J. Konchar	3	150%	1.5 / 1
Y. Kawamura	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 110.9 6 117.2	POR 94.2 MEM 118.3 +24.0
Pace	16 99.5 1 103.7	POR 100.1 MEM 108.2 +8.1
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.3 28 13.4	POR 14.4 MEM 13.3 −1.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 52.1% 12 55.4%	POR 37.3% MEM 56.3% +19.0%
TO %	29 15.1% 25 14.4%	POR 8.8% −6.9% MEM 15.7%
ORB %	2 29.2% 3 28.7%	POR 30.2% MEM 39.0% +8.8%
FTrt	13 24.6 10 24.9	POR 27.5 MEM 39.1 +11.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 58.7% 15 63.5%	POR 64.7% MEM 81.4% +16.7%
STL %	13 8.2% 7 8.5%	POR 9.6% +2.9% MEM 6.7%
BLK %	9 10.0% 3 10.8%	POR 11.9% MEM 23.2% +11.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 54.1% 10 57.4%	POR 42.2% MEM 59.1% +16.9%
Rim FG%	27 60.7% 11 65.3%	POR 45.0% MEM 67.6% +22.6%
Mid FG%	28 39.1% 9 45.4%	POR 50.0% +18.0% MEM 32.0%
3P %	26 34.2% 12 36.7%	POR 17.4% MEM 42.9% +25.5%
FT %	26 76.2% 12 78.6%	POR 78.6% +5.1% MEM 73.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 36.6% 22 30.5%	POR 39.2% +0.1% MEM 39.1%
Mid Att. %	3 21.6% 26 29.0%	POR 15.7% −13.0% MEM 28.7%
3P Att. %	17 41.8% 20 40.6%	POR 45.1% +12.9% MEM 32.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	MEM
Possessions	104	104
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	98	123
Rebounds	44	60
Assists	22	35
Steals	10	7
Blocks	7	13
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	18 (1)
Fouls	21	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	19 (4)	16 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (4)	44 (4)
Field Goals	34-102	43-87
At-the-Rim FG	18-40	23-34
Midrange FG	8-16	8-25
2-Point FG	26-56	31-59
3-Point FG	8-46	12-28
Free Throws	22-28	25-34
Fast Break Pts	7	15
2nd Chance Pts	29	14
Points in Paint	48	58
Pts off Turnovers	13	18
Bench Points	51	56
Biggest Lead	0	28

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg