Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, November 25, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Magic | 60% | 109 | 95 |
 | 22 | Hornets | 40% | 106 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Raptors | 46% | 109 | 100 |
 | 28 | Pistons | 54% | 110 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Pelicans | 30% | 110 | 110 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Mavericks | 54% | 117 | 129 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Celtics | 79% | 117 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Knicks | 47% | 117 | 145 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Nets | 20% | 108 | 128 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Thunder | 62% | 115 | 130 |
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Sunday, November 24, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Timberwolves | 26% | 107 | 105 |
| 1 | Celtics | 74% | 117 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 18 | Pacers | 75% | 123 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mavericks | 48% | 109 | 118 |
 | 11 | Heat | 52% | 110 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 55% | 110 | 125 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 28% | 110 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 29% | 107 | 108 |
| 7 | Kings | 71% | 116 | 103 |
Saturday, November 23, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Knicks | 75% | 124 | 106 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 29% | 99 | 100 |
| 12 | Magic | 71% | 107 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Grizzlies | 60% | 123 | 142 |
 | 23 | Bulls | 40% | 119 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Blazers | 20% | 104 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 33% | 110 | 119 |
 | 10 | Bucks | 67% | 117 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 54% | 114 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 45% | 116 | 127 |
 | 15 | Lakers | 55% | 118 | 102 |
Friday, November 22, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 44% | 109 | 98 |
| 21 | 76ers | 56% | 112 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 87% | 127 | 108 |
| 30 | Wizards | 13% | 110 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 80% | 118 | 112 |
| 29 | Pelicans | 20% | 105 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 37% | 113 | 117 |
| 10 | Bucks | 63% | 118 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 55% | 123 | 122 |
| 25 | Bulls | 45% | 121 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Blazers | 24% | 105 | 88 |
| 5 | Rockets | 76% | 115 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mavericks | 43% | 113 | 123 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 57% | 116 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kings | 49% | 111 | 88 |
| 17 | Clippers | 51% | 112 | 104 |
Thursday, November 21, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 49% | 111 | 121 |
| 26 | Hornets | 51% | 112 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | 65% | 115 | 105 |
| 24 | Raptors | 35% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 40% | 114 | 118 |
| 23 | Spurs | 60% | 117 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Magic | 43% | 107 | 119 |
| 15 | Lakers | 57% | 109 | 118 |
Wednesday, November 20, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pelicans | 10% | 100 | 100 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 90% | 119 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 31% | 116 | 106 |
| 13 | Bucks | 69% | 123 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 37% | 111 | 113 |
| 8 | Rockets | 63% | 116 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 76ers | 55% | 116 | 111 |
| 18 | Grizzlies | 45% | 114 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Blazers | 18% | 102 | 99 |
| 2 | Thunder | 82% | 116 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 54% | 114 | 138 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 30% | 114 | 97 |
| 4 | Warriors | 70% | 121 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Magic | 53% | 105 | 93 |
| 17 | Clippers | 47% | 104 | 104 |
Tuesday, November 19, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 34% | 114 | 117 |
| 1 | Celtics | 66% | 120 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 43% | 110 | 115 |
| 20 | Nets | 57% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nuggets | 36% | 111 | 122 |
| 16 | Grizzlies | 64% | 117 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pelicans | 18% | 103 | 91 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 82% | 117 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 74% | 115 | 104 |
| 26 | Spurs | 26% | 105 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 26% | 113 | 118 |
| 12 | Lakers | 74% | 123 | 124 |
Monday, November 18, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 41% | 114 | 122 |
| 21 | Pistons | 59% | 117 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 45% | 106 | 89 |
| 11 | Heat | 55% | 108 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 16% | 110 | 106 |
| 6 | Knicks | 84% | 125 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 56% | 118 | 119 |
| 22 | Raptors | 44% | 116 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 44% | 111 | 100 |
| 15 | Bucks | 56% | 113 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Magic | 57% | 108 | 109 |
| 18 | Suns | 43% | 105 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 33% | 112 | 109 |
| 13 | Kings | 67% | 119 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 62% | 116 | 99 |
| 17 | Clippers | 38% | 111 | 102 |
Sunday, November 17, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | 33% | 106 | 117 |
| 4 | Timberwolves | 67% | 112 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 46% | 112 | 110 |
| 13 | Pacers | 54% | 113 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 23% | 108 | 114 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 77% | 119 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 56% | 115 | 124 |
| 30 | Wizards | 44% | 112 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nuggets | 40% | 113 | 90 |
| 17 | Grizzlies | 60% | 117 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 64% | 117 | 110 |
| 29 | Blazers | 36% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 26% | 108 | 104 |
| 5 | Knicks | 74% | 117 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 63% | 119 | 143 |
| 21 | Bulls | 37% | 115 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Mavericks | 27% | 106 | 121 |
| 3 | Thunder | 73% | 115 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 26% | 111 | 105 |
| 16 | Clippers | 74% | 121 | 116 |
Saturday, November 16, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 59% | 113 | 114 |
| 24 | Hornets | 41% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 8% | 106 | 123 |
| 1 | Celtics | 92% | 127 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 72% | 117 | 104 |
| 30 | Pelicans | 28% | 108 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Spurs | 20% | 107 | 93 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 80% | 120 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 28% | 112 | 117 |
| 11 | Kings | 72% | 121 | 121 |
Friday, November 15, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 40% | 111 | 124 |
| 10 | Pacers | 60% | 115 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 39% | 102 | 86 |
| 12 | Magic | 61% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 55% | 113 | 99 |
| 26 | Raptors | 45% | 111 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 31% | 115 | 117 |
| 18 | Hawks | 69% | 122 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 25% | 114 | 126 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 75% | 124 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 23% | 106 | 122 |
| 4 | Knicks | 77% | 117 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lakers | 55% | 114 | 120 |
| 20 | Spurs | 45% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Clippers | 41% | 107 | 104 |
| 9 | Rockets | 59% | 111 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nuggets | 59% | 112 | 94 |
| 28 | Pelicans | 41% | 109 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Suns | 27% | 107 | 83 |
| 3 | Thunder | 73% | 116 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Grizzlies | 30% | 112 | 118 |
| 2 | Warriors | 70% | 120 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 44% | 110 | 130 |
| 7 | Kings | 56% | 112 | 126 |
Thursday, November 14, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 73% | 123 | 113 |
| 27 | Jazz | 27% | 113 | 115 |
Wednesday, November 13, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 48% | 111 | 90 |
| 13 | Magic | 52% | 112 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 71% | 117 | 139 |
| 21 | Nets | 29% | 109 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 23% | 112 | 124 |
| 3 | Knicks | 77% | 123 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 79% | 115 | 114 |
| 25 | 76ers | 21% | 103 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pelicans | 14% | 104 | 88 |
| 2 | Thunder | 86% | 120 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 49% | 109 | 103 |
| 14 | Rockets | 51% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 37% | 105 | 120 |
| 16 | Bucks | 63% | 110 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 29% | 108 | 130 |
| 17 | Spurs | 71% | 116 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 42% | 112 | 123 |
| 10 | Lakers | 58% | 115 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 76% | 115 | 98 |
| 30 | Blazers | 24% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 32% | 111 | 104 |
| 6 | Kings | 68% | 117 | 127 |
Tuesday, November 12, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 13% | 106 | 117 |
| 1 | Celtics | 87% | 122 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 55% | 110 | 121 |
| 21 | Pistons | 45% | 108 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 30% | 104 | 89 |
| 13 | Magic | 70% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 59% | 112 | 111 |
| 16 | 76ers | 41% | 109 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 33% | 110 | 85 |
| 18 | Bucks | 67% | 116 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Suns | 66% | 123 | 120 |
| 27 | Jazz | 34% | 117 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 44% | 115 | 117 |
| 3 | Warriors | 56% | 117 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 80% | 117 | 108 |
| 30 | Blazers | 20% | 104 | 122 |