Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, November 14, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Mavericks | 73% | 123 | 113 |
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Wednesday, November 13, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 13 | Magic | 52% | 112 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Celtics | 71% | 117 | 139 |
 | 21 | Nets | 29% | 109 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Bulls | 23% | 112 | 124 |
 | 3 | Knicks | 77% | 123 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Pelicans | 14% | 104 | 88 |
 | 2 | Thunder | 86% | 120 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Pistons | 37% | 105 | 120 |
 | 16 | Bucks | 63% | 110 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Lakers | 58% | 115 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Timberwolves | 76% | 115 | 98 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, November 12, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 1 | Celtics | 87% | 122 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Heat | 55% | 110 | 121 |
| 21 | Pistons | 45% | 108 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Hornets | 30% | 104 | 89 |
| 13 | Magic | 70% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 59% | 112 | 111 |
| 16 | 76ers | 41% | 109 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Raptors | 33% | 110 | 85 |
| 18 | Bucks | 67% | 116 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Suns | 66% | 123 | 120 |
| 27 | Jazz | 34% | 117 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 44% | 115 | 117 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 80% | 117 | 108 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 20% | 104 | 122 |
Monday, November 11, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 70% | 121 | 119 |
| 24 | Bulls | 30% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 27% | 107 | 92 |
| 13 | Rockets | 73% | 116 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 51% | 108 | 107 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 49% | 107 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 33% | 108 | 128 |
| 4 | Thunder | 67% | 115 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kings | 55% | 114 | 96 |
| 17 | Spurs | 45% | 112 | 116 |
Sunday, November 10, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Rockets | 59% | 112 | 101 |
| 22 | Pistons | 41% | 109 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 63% | 118 | 113 |
| 14 | Bucks | 37% | 113 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Knicks | 58% | 117 | 121 |
| 11 | Pacers | 42% | 114 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 25% | 105 | 94 |
| 15 | Magic | 75% | 116 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 37% | 107 | 105 |
| 20 | 76ers | 63% | 112 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 30% | 105 | 95 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 70% | 112 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 32% | 110 | 127 |
| 2 | Thunder | 68% | 116 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 46% | 118 | 120 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kings | 45% | 115 | 127 |
| 9 | Suns | 55% | 117 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Grizzlies | 62% | 114 | 134 |
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 110 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 33% | 113 | 103 |
| 16 | Lakers | 67% | 119 | 123 |
Saturday, November 9, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 33% | 110 | 111 |
| 18 | Spurs | 67% | 117 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 43% | 118 | 125 |
| 19 | Hawks | 57% | 121 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 23% | 106 | 100 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 77% | 117 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 36% | 112 | 103 |
| 13 | Clippers | 64% | 117 | 105 |
Friday, November 8, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 59% | 118 | 83 |
| 25 | Hornets | 41% | 114 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 48% | 114 | 121 |
| 22 | Pistons | 52% | 115 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pelicans | 31% | 102 | 88 |
| 16 | Magic | 69% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 16% | 105 | 104 |
| 1 | Celtics | 84% | 120 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 39% | 111 | 117 |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 61% | 115 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 30% | 111 | 94 |
| 5 | Knicks | 70% | 118 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 43% | 119 | 114 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 57% | 121 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 33% | 112 | 104 |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 67% | 119 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rockets | 29% | 105 | 107 |
| 2 | Thunder | 71% | 113 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 17% | 103 | 102 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 83% | 117 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 37% | 112 | 122 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 63% | 116 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 42% | 108 | 106 |
| 17 | Lakers | 58% | 111 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 34% | 112 | 107 |
| 7 | Kings | 66% | 118 | 98 |
Thursday, November 7, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 73% | 119 | 135 |
| 26 | Bulls | 27% | 110 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 23% | 114 | 100 |
| 13 | Bucks | 77% | 125 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 108 | 105 |
| 22 | Spurs | 60% | 111 | 118 |
Wednesday, November 6, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 49% | 112 | 107 |
| 26 | Hornets | 51% | 113 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 42% | 113 | 111 |
| 10 | Pacers | 58% | 116 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Knicks | 67% | 116 | 116 |
| 23 | Hawks | 33% | 110 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 31% | 111 | 118 |
| 1 | Celtics | 69% | 119 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Spurs | 33% | 105 | 100 |
| 11 | Rockets | 67% | 111 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Lakers | 46% | 114 | 114 |
| 18 | Grizzlies | 54% | 116 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 76% | 116 | 131 |
| 30 | Pelicans | 24% | 105 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | 16% | 115 | 99 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 84% | 129 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 58% | 114 | 122 |
| 14 | Nuggets | 42% | 111 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 35% | 111 | 112 |
| 7 | Suns | 65% | 117 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 42% | 112 | 98 |
| 15 | Clippers | 58% | 115 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Raptors | 21% | 112 | 107 |
| 5 | Kings | 79% | 124 | 122 |
Monday, November 4, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 30% | 111 | 114 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 70% | 119 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 73% | 120 | 125 |
| 29 | Wizards | 27% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 54% | 111 | 103 |
| 24 | Pistons | 46% | 110 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 78% | 121 | 123 |
| 22 | Hawks | 22% | 110 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 55% | 114 | 104 |
| 18 | Nets | 45% | 112 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kings | 49% | 116 | 111 |
| 13 | Heat | 51% | 117 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 35% | 116 | 135 |
| 23 | Bulls | 65% | 122 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Knicks | 51% | 110 | 97 |
| 10 | Rockets | 49% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 22% | 106 | 93 |
| 12 | Timberwolves | 78% | 117 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 23% | 102 | 86 |
| 2 | Thunder | 77% | 113 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 108 | 118 |
| 25 | Pelicans | 57% | 111 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 35% | 117 | 134 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 65% | 122 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Raptors | 22% | 110 | 119 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 78% | 122 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 32% | 112 | 116 |
| 8 | Suns | 68% | 119 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Spurs | 39% | 109 | 104 |
| 14 | Clippers | 61% | 113 | 113 |
Sunday, November 3, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 38% | 109 | 106 |
| 18 | Nets | 62% | 113 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 46% | 113 | 126 |
| 24 | Pelicans | 54% | 114 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 32% | 108 | 85 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 68% | 115 | 108 |
Saturday, November 2, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 76% | 121 | 113 |
| 24 | Hornets | 24% | 111 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Grizzlies | 44% | 112 | 124 |
| 17 | 76ers | 56% | 114 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kings | 72% | 122 | 128 |
| 27 | Raptors | 28% | 114 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Warriors | 43% | 109 | 127 |
| 11 | Rockets | 57% | 112 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 47% | 116 | 114 |
| 14 | Bucks | 53% | 117 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 62% | 111 | 103 |
| 22 | Spurs | 38% | 106 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 70% | 118 | 118 |
| 29 | Wizards | 30% | 110 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 17% | 108 | 103 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 83% | 122 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Trail Blazers | 14% | 107 | 97 |
| 7 | Suns | 86% | 123 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 57% | 114 | 105 |
| 16 | Clippers | 43% | 111 | 92 |
Friday, November 1, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 80% | 123 | 124 |
| 26 | Hornets | 20% | 111 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 34% | 106 | 109 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 66% | 112 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 68% | 114 | 128 |
| 24 | Pistons | 32% | 108 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kings | 64% | 123 | 123 |
| 21 | Hawks | 36% | 118 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 42% | 117 | 112 |
| 19 | Nets | 58% | 120 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Lakers | 62% | 116 | 131 |
| 28 | Raptors | 38% | 111 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 52% | 116 | 118 |
| 23 | Pelicans | 48% | 115 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 44% | 111 | 116 |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 56% | 113 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 80% | 117 | 137 |
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 20% | 105 | 114 |